Shubham Soni highlighted Eugenio Suarez at +360, pointing to the veteran’s heater of 4 homers and 14 RBIs in his last eight games while slugging .793. Suarez also draws Chase Dollander, whom Soni calls 'vulnerable' because of his difficulty keeping the ball in the park. The combination of Suarez’s current locked-in swing and Dollander’s gopher-ball tendencies presents what Soni views as clear value on a long-ball wager.

Shubham Soni backed Corbin Carroll at +285 to go yard, citing Carroll’s blazing .612 slugging percentage, 14 homers, 93.9 mph average exit velocity and 41.6 % hard-hit rate. The Diamondbacks outfielder faces Rockies right-hander Chase Dollander, lugging a 6.88 ERA into altitude-boosted Coors Field. Soni noted the combination of Carroll’s elite power/speed profile, a struggling pitcher who gives up loud contact, and Denver’s homer-friendly environment creates ideal conditions for another fireworks display.

The tout also played the UNDER in the desert. Colorado has scored three or fewer in nine of its last 12 games and ranks 29th in MLB at 3.20 runs per contest—just 2.14 on the road. Rockies totals sit 24-18-1 to the under, with road games averaging only 7.23 runs. The Diamondbacks’ games are 21-19-4 to the under, and they score less at home (4.83) than on the road. With Arizona’s starter rolling and Colorado’s offense in neutral, Cash Out Sports Picks projected a modest tally that stays beneath the posted number.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the runs with Arizona, noting Colorado’s 2-20 road record and a lineup averaging only 2.14 runs per game away from Coors Field. The Rockies hand the ball to a debuting or rusty arm that hasn’t worked in nearly a month, while the Diamondbacks’ starter has surrendered just two earned runs over his last 18.1 innings, sports a 1.96 ERA at Chase Field, and held the Dodgers scoreless in his previous outing. Arizona has won seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings. Given Colorado’s 18 recent losses with just one decided by a single run, the tout advised laying the favorite run line.

Lonte Smith plans to play Diamondbacks team-total Overs every game of the set, forecasting 7–8 runs per night against a Rockies staff surrendering an MLB-worst .302 batting average and 1.6 HR/9 on the road. He acknowledged Arizona just slogged through a brutal stretch versus the Dodgers and Phillies, but believes this matchup allows them to ‘stretch their legs’ and rack up crooked numbers. Even with Tommy Burns dealing, Smith still leans D-backs –1.5 and –2.5 because the Rockies lineup has posted a .267 wOBA away from Coors, so blowouts are firmly on the table.

Scott Reichel said it is Diamondbacks –1.5 or nothing against a Rockies club that is 2-20 on the road and owns a 7.36 staff ERA away from Coors. Arizona rookie Tommy Burns just held the Dodgers to one run over six frames and brings a 2.95 ERA into the softest matchup of his young career. Reichel expects Colorado’s still-TBD starter to be another AAA placeholder, meaning Arizona’s top-10 offense should feast. With the Snakes bullpen fresh after an off day, he projected something like 8-3 and will even consider –2.5 at plus money.

Just A Bet Outside advised taking Corbin Burnes to record a win at –130, calling the price a full tier too cheap compared to the Diamondbacks’ –395 money-line and almost –200 run-line. Burnes has righted the ship after a shaky April, stacking back-to-back victories over the Mets and Dodgers while surrendering only one earned run on nine hits across those two outings. Even with his strikeout rate trending down, he is limiting hard contact and continues to pitch deep enough to qualify for decisions. The host hammered Colorado’s futility against right-handed pitching: a 67 wRC+, .226 average and league-worst production over the last three weeks, numbers that already include some Coors Field inflation and crater even further on the road. Six of the last seven right-handed starters have been credited with a W versus the Rockies, and Arizona’s offense—top-10 in virtually every category—should have no trouble handing Burnes an early cushion against an unnamed spot starter and a bullpen that ranks bottom-three in xFIP. As long as Burnes logs five frames and exits ahead, the tout expects the ticket to cash and recommended a full one-unit wager.

Lindquist recommended taking even-money on Corbin Burnes to stay under 6.5 strikeouts. Burnes carries a career-worst profile so far: 46.9% hard-hit rate, 4.40 xSLG and an 11.4% walk rate while striking out fewer than 20% of hitters. He is throwing his cutter 53% of the time with none of the secondaries missing bats. Although the matchup with Colorado is friendly—the Rockies strike out 26% of the time against righties—Lindquist believes books are overrating Burnes’ past reputation and ignoring Chase Field’s open-roof conditions that have inflated offense early in the year. His model lands at 5.6 Ks, making even money on the under a half-unit play down to –105.

At first glance –426 feels untouchable, but Data Skrive’s projection gives Arizona an 83% win probability (6-4 final), implying fair odds around –488 and creating a rare edge even on massive chalk. Corbin Burnes (2.95 ERA, 28% K-rate, 0.9 HR/9) draws a Rockies lineup that owns the worst road OPS in baseball (.593) and has already set a modern-era record by dropping 36 of its first 43 games. Colorado counters with debutant Carson Palmquist, a southpaw with just 23 AA innings and a career 4.25 minor-league walk rate. With the Rockies bullpen posting an 8.12 ERA over the last two weeks, the model simply cannot get the visitors above 2.9 projected runs. Burnes and the D-backs are playable in moneyline parlays or straight if books keep the line below –450.

Wilfinger recommended laying -1.5 runs with Arizona at -172 despite the juice, citing a massive mismatch on the mound and in the bullpen. Corbin Burnes owns a 2.95 ERA and has allowed just one earned run over his last 13 innings against the Mets and Dodgers. Colorado has yet to name a starter and drags MLB’s worst overall pitching ERA (5.73) and a homer-prone bullpen into Chase Field. With the Rockies widely regarded as the league’s weakest roster and Arizona’s offense primed to tee off, Wilfinger expects the Diamondbacks to carry a multi-run lead into the late innings and is comfortable playing the run line to -185.