Chris Raybon said Philadelphia’s Week 1 team-total market is too low and is already building bets around a stack of alt overs (20.5, 22.5 and 23.5 points). His case: with Jalen Hurts under center the Eagles have scored 21-plus in 27 of their last 29 home games—roughly an 88 % hit rate—yet the current prices imply probabilities 10-15 % lower. He expects early-season growing pains from Dallas’ defense under new coordinator Matt Eberflus (third DC in three years, rookies being asked to play immediately, Micah Parsons coming off an injury-marred season). Given that uncertainty and Hurts’ own history of fast starts (31.0 PPG in four previous Week 1 starts, never below 25), Raybon believes the safest way to attack the opener is by isolating Philly’s points rather than the full-game total.