Lindquist snagged Adolis Garcia HR at +700 against Tigers rookie Reese Olson, highlighting Olson’s looming regression (11° average launch angle allowed, limited ground-ball skills) and Garcia’s reverse splits (sub-.600 OPS vs LHP but 700+ vs RHP). Batting cleanup, Garcia should see multiple RBI opportunities, and the mis-priced +700 tag—since moved closer to +650—provided enough edge for Lindquist to fire before markets adjusted.

Lindquist jumped on Cedric Mullins to hit a HR at an opening price of +800 before books corrected to the +650 range. He likes Mullins’ 23° average launch angle, noting that once the left-hander squares one, his elevated fly-ball profile plays anywhere—even in Arlington, which typically dampens lefty power. Mullins is also a potential trade chip, so Lindquist expects the Orioles to showcase him in a premium lineup spot, giving him an extra plate appearance and another crack at the juicy odds he already locked in.

The Bettor Mark backed Detroit on the money-line at ‑120. His core angle is a straight fade of Patrick Corbin, the left-hander Texas will start. Corbin is carrying ugly home/road splits and a 5.44 ERA, plus the Rangers’ new park has played surprisingly pitcher-friendly, limiting the home-run upside that normally props up the Texas offense. Detroit counters with Reese Olson, who Mark noted has been “fantastic” in recent outings and gives the Tigers a clear starting-pitching edge. Texas came into the break hot, but Mark expects regression coming straight out of the All-Star layoff and trusts Olson to steady a Tigers club looking to snap a four-game skid.

Bill Harrelson advised taking Matt Vierling UNDER 1.5 total bases against the Rangers. Vierling has failed to reach two bases in 9 of his last 10 and 18 of his last 20 games (90%). In his past six matchups with Texas he has produced only two total bases combined, meaning the prop would have lost in every one of those games. For the 2025 season he has gone under in 12 of 13 appearances, and even last year he stayed below this mark 63% of the time across 150 games. Harrelson added that Vierling is averaging just 0.4 bases over his last 16 contests despite 3.5–4 plate appearances per night, underscoring how little pop he is showing right now.

Millz Young bet Riley Greene over 1.5 total bases and tacked on a home-run sprinkle. Greene has cashed this line in three of his last five games (60% hit rate), and Young trusts those recent numbers against a mediocre post-break pitching staff. He expects the Tigers outfielder’s pop and speed to translate into another multi-base performance.

Jay Yang backed the Detroit Tigers at -115 on the moneyline for their first game after the All-Star break. He highlighted starter Reese Olsen’s excellent command and elite ground-ball rate that has made him one of Detroit’s most reliable arms all year, routinely avoiding crooked innings by keeping the ball down. On the flip side, Yang called Texas starter Patrick Corbin a hittable left-hander with a fly-ball heavy profile and a pronounced weakness against right-handed bats—a problem against a Tigers lineup loaded with righties who can do damage. While Detroit’s bullpen has struggled (4.35 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 59 % save rate, all bottom-10 marks), Yang noted that group was over-worked in the first half, often covering 4–5 innings; the four-day break should erase that fatigue and restore velocity. Texas owns a solid bullpen but has had trouble scoring runs all season, giving Olsen and a rested Detroit relief corps the matchup edge. With the better starter, the platoon advantage at the plate, and fresh arms in the bullpen, Yang felt the short price on Detroit was worth laying.

Lonte Smith went ahead and pulled the trigger on Detroit at –120 and sprinkled the over as well. He framed it as a revenge spot after Texas took two of three in May behind deGrom and Eovaldi. Detroit owns a .289 wOBA versus lefties but somehow converts that into 5.5 runs per game, and Smith believes they can capitalize on Patrick Corbin’s elevated hit rate. Reese Olson has tossed two solid outings since returning from the IL and sports a 2.31 road ERA since June 1. Texas is merely 5-5 in its last 10 and continues to search for consistent offense outside Corey Seager. Add in Detroit’s league-best 18-9 record when facing a left-handed starter and Smith thinks the Tigers are undervalued; the over rides alongside because both offenses have combined for more than 11 runs per nine over the last week and a half.

B Wade played Marcus Semien over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs, pointing out Semien has cleared this mark in 8 of his last 10 meetings with Detroit. The Ranger leadoff man is 3-for-6 with a homer off Friday starter Reese Olson and produced four combined bases on May 11 when these two squared off. Wade downplayed recent-form splits because the All-Star layoff resets momentum, instead leaning on Semien’s long-running success against both Olson and the Tigers’ bullpen. Given his table-setting lineup spot and proven power/speed combo, Wade expects at least two counting stats Friday night.

B Wade backed Reese Olson to record over 4.5 strikeouts in Texas, noting Olson has beaten this number in 8 of his 11 starts (73%). Wade emphasized the post-All-Star rest, arguing the extra recovery should have the 24-year-old’s velocity and slider sharp. Olson has punched out five or more hitters in both career outings against the Rangers and actually owns a higher strikeout average on the road (5.3) where he has cashed 4 of 6 times. The combination of favorable matchup history, road uptick, and fresh legs coming out of the break led Wade to invest in the over.