Guy Boston Sports called this a classic split ticket: play the first-three-innings under thanks to a Freddie Peralta–Logan Webb showdown, then hammer the Brewers team total over for the full game. Peralta’s four-seam heater (“Fastball Freddie”) and Webb’s sinker/slider combo make clean early frames likely, yet the tout prefers Milwaukee’s bats once bullpens enter. He trusts the Brewers lineup, which has been red-hot and just walked off behind William Contreras, far more than a Giants offense he "doesn’t believe in." Even acknowledging San Francisco’s success versus fastballs, he still sees Milwaukee opening things up late while the total sits at only 7.5.

Freddy Peralta has been lights-out in American Family Field: 73.2 innings, 1.95 ERA, .203 BAA and just one run in his last 17 frames. Logan Webb’s road ERA climbs to 4.41, and the Giants have lost six of seven while averaging 3.2 runs. Milwaukee scores 5.13 per game overall and needs every win in the standings race. Cash Out Sports Picks lays the chalk on the Brewers moneyline.

Kenny G backed Milwaukee at –135, citing the Brewers’ league-best 42-20 home mark and a Giants squad that is just 31-34 away from Oracle Park. He doubts Logan Webb can repeat his last gem against a Milwaukee lineup that owns a 111 wRC+ versus right-handers since the All-Star break. Meanwhile the Giants’ bullpen has worn down after leading MLB in innings pitched this month. With American Family Field’s spacious outfield suppressing San Francisco’s power and Corbin Burnes waiting in relief if needed, Kenny expects enough Milwaukee offense to cash the moneyline.

Kenny G recommended betting Milwaukee at -135. Freddy Peralta sits at 15-1 with a 2.78 ERA and has allowed one earned run total in his last three starts, during which the Brewers are 3-0. Milwaukee also boasts MLB’s best home record (42-20), a bullpen trimmed to 3.74 ERA, and an offense that remains third in runs and OBP despite averaging 4.0 over its last six. Logan Webb (3.19 ERA) is solid, but San Francisco’s lineup is dreadful—25th in runs, 28th average, 27th slug—scoring 4-4-1-1-4-7-1 across its recent stretch. With the total at 7.5 and both clubs trending under in their parks, Kenny expects a tight, low-scoring affair in which Milwaukee scratches out enough against Webb and the Giants’ bullpen to secure the victory.

B Wade locked in Bryce Terang over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at plus money, calling it a gift. Terang has cleared the line in 15 of his last 18 games and is 4-for-9 (.444) lifetime off Logan Webb. He cashed the prop on Friday and has now hit it in four straight versus San Francisco. Pairing Terang’s heater with Wade’s Webb-over-hits play adds correlation and increases the parlay’s probability of success.

B Wade expects Logan Webb to surrender over 5.5 hits. Webb has eclipsed that number in 65 % of his starts this season and in 15 of his last 20, including each of his past four road appearances. He already allowed six knocks to Milwaukee three months ago and consistently pitches deep enough to accumulate volume because he strands runners well. With the Brewers’ lineup red-hot, Wade sees no reason to buck the trend and is comfortable betting on at least six safeties against the Giants’ ace.