For the three-man Top Australasian market, DaSilva took Jason Day +100 over Min Woo Lee (+160) and Ryan Fox (+333). Day’s ten straight top-25s at Pebble, including nine top-10s, make him the clear course horse and justify the even-money price in such a limited field.

Pamela Maldonado highlighted Maverick McNealy ($8,800 DK) as a strong DFS option thanks to elite putting on both Poa greens and at Pebble specifically. McNealy ranks top-10 in overall putting, top-10 in strokes-gained at Pebble Beach, and has shown improving iron play to create more birdie looks. The trade-off is average distance and occasional accuracy lapses off the tee, which cap his outright win equity and make him a tougher click in betting markets. For fantasy lineups, however, his proven course history and putter-driven scoring give him a clear path to 5x salary returns without needing a -20 winning score.

Pamela Maldonado stated she prefers rostering Chris Gotterup at $9,000 on DraftKings rather than betting his Top-20 line at -102. Gotterup owns two wins in his last three starts and ranks 6th in both strokes-gained off the tee and driving distance, traits that can overwhelm Pebble from tee to green. In DFS that spike potential can carry an entire lineup. The issue for betting markets is his cap on conversion: Gotterup sits just 73rd in Poa-annua putting and has only a middling overall birdie rate, making his likelihood of a steady Top-20 finish lower than his boom-or-bust ceiling suggests. Maldonado wants the volatility in tournaments, not as a cash-style anchor bet.

Pamela Maldonado flagged Pierceson Coody as a Top-20 wager at +152, arguing that his numbers quietly stack up with the favorites. Coody is 5th in strokes-gained off the tee and 5th in driving distance, giving him shorter approach shots and easier birdie chances on Pebble’s tiny greens. His overall baseline is sturdy—6th tee-to-green and 12th in birdie-or-better rate—so even an average putting week keeps him in the mix. The sneaky key is Poa putting, where Coody ranks 2nd on Tour; if that club heats up, his ceiling jumps. Recent finishes of T2 at Torrey Pines and T10 in Scottsdale reinforce current form. Maldonado dismissed the safer Top-30 (-102) as defensive, insisting the Top-20 line captures the proper risk-reward for Coody’s upside.

Pamela Maldonado recommended a Top-20 bet on Jake Knapp at +114 and called him a perfect course fit for Pebble Beach. She noted Knapp ranks top-5 in both strokes-gained off the tee and driving distance while also sitting top-10 in putting, birdie-or-better percentage, and Poa-annua putting splits. Recent form backs the ceiling: T5 at Torrey Pines when both the driver and flatstick were firing, T8 in Scottsdale, and a solid week at Waialae. Last year’s mediocre Pebble showing was blamed on cold putting, but Maldonado believes the 2026 version of Knapp converts far more looks. She added that gamblers seeking more upside can slide to the Top-10 (+270) or Top-5 (+590) markets, understanding the golfer’s boom-or-bust profile means he either contends or misses the cut.

DaSilva recommended Hisatsune +200 to be top Japanese player over heavy favorite Matsuyama (-250). He cited Hisatsune’s strong 2026 start and Matsuyama’s weak Pebble record, arguing the odds fail to reflect their current trajectories on this course.

In the BetMGM head-to-head, DaSilva urged taking McIlroy +250 over Scottie Scheffler (-325), calling the number 'flat-out absurd.' McIlroy won here last year, is in solid European form, and benefits from the no-cut structure, so DaSilva believes the gap between the two stars should be far narrower.

DaSilva prefers Justin Rose ‑105 over Hideki Matsuyama (-118). Rose owns a win plus 11th and 3rd the last three years, whereas Matsuyama’s only two recent trips ended 48th and 71st. With both veterans in decent current form, DaSilva trusts Rose’s Pebble comfort to decide the duel.

Pamela Maldonado advised fading Michael Thorbjornsen at $8,600 on DraftKings despite T18 (Torrey) and T3 (Phoenix) finishes that will draw ownership. She argued Pebble punishes inconsistent putters, and Thorbjornsen loses strokes on Poa while relying on ball-striking spikes to bail him out. The driver is fine, but negative putting and week-to-week volatility mean small greens and awkward lies can turn into bogey runs quickly. Maldonado believes his salary reflects recency bias rather than true fit and prefers pivoting to steadier profiles in that price range.

DaSilva endorsed Ryo Hisatsune +230 for a top-20 even though it’s his first Pebble start. The young Japanese star arrives off consecutive finishes of 2nd and 10th in his last two PGA Tour appearances. DaSilva believes the market is discounting that surge because of course inexperience, creating an opportunity to ride the clear form advantage.

DaSilva pegged Tom Hoge +275 for a top-20. Hoge captured Pebble in 2022, followed with 6th in 2024 and 17th last year. Although he missed the cut in Phoenix, he logged a T-8 at The American Express in January, confirming the irons remain hot. Given his long-term ball-striking success on coastal poa annua, DaSilva expects another solid finish well inside the top-20 threshold.

DaSilva suggested Sam Stevens +210 for a top-20. Stevens has finished 34th and 17th in two prior Pebble starts and has not placed worse than 35th in four tournaments this season. The steady early-season form combined with incremental course improvement signals value in the +210 price for a no-cut event where he only needs another incremental jump.

DaSilva urged playing Justin Rose +220 for a top-10. Rose won this event in 2023 and followed with finishes of 11th and 3rd, plus a solo 3rd at the 2019 U.S. Open at Pebble. Those three straight top-11s, combined with his recent uptick in strokes-gained approach, convinced DaSilva the Englishman remains tailor-made for Pebble’s narrow fairways and tiny greens.

DaSilva highlighted Jason Day +250 for a top-10, citing an eye-popping resume: ten consecutive top-25s at Pebble and nine career top-10s in 15 Pro-Am starts, plus a T-21 at the 2019 U.S. Open on the same course. With the limited 80-man, no-cut format ensuring four rounds on a venue he dominates, DaSilva feels bettors are still being paid a premium for a result Day has produced 60% of the time.

DaSilva advised grabbing Russell Henley +450 for a top-5 finish because Pebble Beach rewards laser iron play and steady putting—Henley’s calling cards. Henley ranked top-10 on Tour in fairways hit and strokes-gained putting last season and finished 5th here a year ago. DaSilva believes his precision into Pebble’s postage-stamp greens positions him for another Sunday run, making +450 attractive versus his true probability.

Cameron DaSilva recommended betting Rory McIlroy +225 for a top-5 finish. He noted McIlroy is the defending champion, rebounding from a 66th-place showing in 2024 to win last year. Although this is McIlroy’s 2026 PGA Tour debut, DaSilva pointed to several strong recent results on the DP World Tour as proof the Northern Irishman’s game is sharp. With no cut and Pebble’s short layout rewarding elite wedge play, DaSilva argued McIlroy’s combination of distance control and scoring upside makes the +225 number mis-priced.

Chris Durell advised jumping on Ryan Gerard at +400 for a Top 10 and +170 for a Top 20, calling him the hottest player on tour outside of Scheffler. Gerard has opened 2026 with runner-up finishes at the Sony Open and American Express plus an 11th at the Farmers, piling up birdies totals of 19, 20 and 27. Statistically he is 5th in Birdie or Better, 11th in SG: Approach, 5th in SG: Putting, 8th in Good Drive Percentage and top-5 in both Par-4 and Par-5 scoring. Durell believes that profile translates to Pebble’s low-scoring environment and makes Gerard a strong secondary-market target.

Chris Durell recommended betting Justin Rose at +2300 without Scheffler and +215 for a Top 10 after Rose’s runaway Farmers victory, where he led the field with 27 birdies or better. Over his last 24 rounds, Rose ranks 11th in SG: Approach, 3rd in 100-150-yard proximity, 7th in SG: Putting on Poa-annua surfaces and 5th in SG: Total on the West Coast. The Englishman returns to Pebble with elite history in the signature-event era—first in 2023 followed by finishes of 11th and 3rd. Given the tournament’s double-digit birdie requirement, Durell believes Rose’s scoring ability and course comfort make him a top-tier outright and placement play.

Chris Durell backed Viktor Hovland in the non-Scheffler outright pool at +2200 and for a +210 Top 10. Hovland closed 2025 strong (T7 BMW, 12th Tour Championship) and kept the momentum on the DP World Tour with four straight Top 25s, two of which were Top 10s. Making his 2026 PGA debut last week, he gained +1.18 SG: Approach, +0.69 SG: Around-the-Green and +0.92 SG: Putting at TPC Scottsdale. Durell argued that Hovland’s balanced tee-to-green profile matches Pebble’s demand for precision irons and tidy short game, giving him legitimate win equity behind Scheffler.

Chris Durell urged bettors to fire on Sahith Theegala at +560 for a Top 10 and +225 for a Top 20. Theegala ranks #1 in Durell’s short-game model, gaining 1.75 strokes per round around and on the greens through four 2026 starts. He has paired that with solid iron work (+0.37 SG: Approach), finishing 31st or better in all four events and logging back-to-back Top 10s at the American Express and Farmers. With Pebble’s tiny greens putting a premium on scrambling and putting, Durell sees Theegala’s short-game edge as the path to another high finish.

Chris Durell recommended grabbing Jason Day at +3700 without Scheffler and +305 for a Top 10, noting that Day checks every statistical box. Day is averaging 1.39 SG: Approach (4th best in the field) through two starts and ranks 1st in 100-125-yard proximity, a critical distance at Pebble. He also sports a jaw-dropping tournament résumé, making the cut in all 15 appearances with one runner-up, five Top 5s, nine Top 10s and 13 Top 25s. Durell believes that blend of peak iron form and elite course history makes Day one of the most under-priced outright and placement plays on the board.

Chris Durell said Russell Henley is his favorite outright ticket in the non-Scottie Scheffler pool at +2450 and a worthwhile +220 Top 10. Durell pointed to Henley’s outrageous consistency—10 straight Top 20s that include six Top 10s, three Top 5s and two runner-up finishes—as well as elite wedge play. Henley ranks 3rd in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach for 2026 and sits 16th and 5th in proximity from 100-125 and 125-150 yards, the two most common approach buckets at Pebble. His trademark fairway accuracy neuters the narrow sightlines, and a 5th-place showing here last season confirms course fit. Durell views Henley as a high-floor, high-ceiling bet to contend yet again.

Tyler Duke advised bettors not to hop off the Si Woo Kim train, recommending the +186 top-ten ticket. Kim’s last four starts read T11, T6, T2, and T3, and he leads the entire field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his previous 24 rounds. Pebble’s second-shot emphasis dovetails perfectly with that strength, and Kim has posted consecutive top-15s here. Duke admitted a slight worry about cumulative fatigue after so many Sundays in contention, but with a model rank of 4th and plus money still available, he views the top-ten as a buy.

Tyler Duke spotlighted Maverick McNealy as a top-five value at +475. McNealy finished runner-up in this event in 2020 and 2021, has opened 2026 in steady form, and ranks 14th in Strokes Gained: Putting on poa annua greens—an important edge on Pebble’s notoriously bumpy surfaces. Duke added that the Stanford product circles this week on his calendar every year, giving bettors an extra motivational angle. With a model rank of 11th and one of the Tour’s higher floors, Duke expects McNealy to contend deep into Sunday.

Tyler Duke urged bettors to pump the brakes on Rory McIlroy’s +1300 outright odds, noting Pebble Beach "is simply not his best course fit" and ranking him only 26th in his model. Pebble limits driver advantage and forces a high volume of wedges into tiny greens—areas where McIlroy is merely good, not elite. While acknowledging last year’s win, Duke said it would genuinely surprise him if McIlroy goes back-to-back. The recommendation is to fade Rory in outright and head-to-head markets and look for better course fits elsewhere on the board.

Tyler Duke identified Russell Henley’s +475 top-five number as one of his favorite bets. Henley has not finished worse than 19th since last May and logged a T5 at Pebble in 2025. His iron play is as bankable as it gets—4th in Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 24 rounds—while the putter has quietly turned into a strength. Duke’s model ranks him 2nd overall because Pebble’s wedge-heavy layout accentuates those skill sets. With form, course history, and stats all pointing the same direction, Duke expects Henley to be in one of Sunday’s final groups.

Tyler Duke said Scottie Scheffler should be the first name on every Pebble Beach card and pointed bettors to the ‑154 top-five line. Scheffler overcame a disastrous opening round last week yet still finished one stroke shy of a playoff, underscoring the floor his game provides. He owns T6 and T9 results in his two previous Pebble trips, sits No. 1 in Duke’s weighted model, and ranks 1st on Tour in Strokes Gained: Total on short courses over his last 24 rounds. With Pebble neutralizing driver distance and rewarding elite second-shot players, Duke expects Scheffler to live on leaderboards all week and views the juiced top-five as a safe betting anchor rather than chasing the skinny +290 outright price.

Dennis Esser warned against chasing Tom Hoge’s $6,500 salary despite a 2022 Pebble win and three additional top-17 finishes in his last five appearances. Hoge has lost more than 14 strokes tee-to-green across his past two starts, a collapse Esser called "hard to hide on tiny greens." He views Hoge strictly as a high-risk dart throw and prefers lower-owned punts like Ryan Fox or Lucas Glover in the same range.

Dennis Esser suggested Russell Henley ($9,200) as a sharp DFS alternative to the chalkier Cantlay and McNealy. Henley poured in 9.4 strokes on approach across his first two 2026 starts and parlayed a spike putting week into a T5 here last year. While past Pebble results are uneven, Esser sees elite iron form as the tiebreaker at a price point that fits balanced builds.

Dennis Esser is leaning toward using Jason Day in one-and-done pools. Day owns 11 top-13 finishes in 15 Pebble starts and is dialed in with his irons, gaining over eight strokes on approach across his first two events of 2026, including a T2 at The American Express. Esser expects Day’s combination of course comfort and current ball-striking groove to translate into a lucrative pay-day for season-long pools.

Dennis Esser penciled Justin Rose ($9,400) into his primary DraftKings builds. Rose arrives off a wire-to-wire victory at the Farmers Insurance Open and boasts sparkling Pebble credentials: a past win, a T3 and two additional top-11 finishes in seven career starts. Esser likes pairing Rose with Rory McIlroy as dual anchors, arguing Rose’s price lets gamers jam elite win equity without sacrificing lineup depth.

Dennis Esser advised anchoring large-field DFS lineups with Scottie Scheffler at $14,000 after DraftKings shaved $900 off last week’s price despite a top-3 finish in Phoenix. Esser cannot justify the salary in cash games but likes single stud-and-dud GPP constructions that open with Scheffler, Ryo Hisatsune and Jacob Bridgeman. He trusts Scheffler’s elite ball-striking to separate in tough conditions and believes the discount offsets the roster-build headache.

DaSilva likes Sepp Straka +375 for a top-10. Straka improved from 26th in 2024 to 7th last year at Pebble and has made a habit of popping in elevated events. He rolls in after a T-18 at the WM Phoenix Open, giving him form and course history. DaSilva thinks the Austrian’s high-floor tee-to-green game translates to another leaderboard climb.

Dennis Esser highlighted Akshay Bhatia at +6600 as a live longshot. Bhatia finished inside the top 30 in both prior Pebble starts and was in the hunt last week at the WM Phoenix Open, gaining 6.9 strokes combined off the tee and on approach. More importantly, a balky putter flipped: he picked up 5.5 strokes on the greens in Phoenix. Esser believes a repeat performance with the flat stick could make Bhatia dangerous on Pebble’s minuscule surfaces at an appetizing 66-1.

Dennis Esser grabbed Patrick Cantlay at +4000, leaning on his Pebble résumé—five top-11 finishes in the last eight appearances. Although Cantlay’s season opened quietly (T13 at The American Express, MC at Farmers), Esser noted his tee-to-green numbers remain steady; only the putter lagged. If the flat stick cooperates on poa, Cantlay’s win equity far exceeds the 40-1 price.

Dennis Esser is backing Maverick McNealy at +3300, citing his Northern California roots, comfort on seaside layouts and elite course history (T5 in 2020, runner-up in 2021). McNealy has gained strokes in every major category for three straight tournaments, a signal Esser views as the final piece before a debut Tour win. "I don’t see a reason why I wouldn’t back him this week," Esser concluded.

Dennis Esser called Viktor Hovland a must-bet at +2800. Hovland owns a 2018 U.S. Amateur title on this track and two top-22 finishes in four PGA Tour starts here, despite historically shaky work around the green. Since the Ryder Cup, he has gained more than eight total strokes around the green and over 17 strokes on approach in just four worldwide events. Esser thinks the Norwegian is on the verge of putting it all together and labeled 28-1 a "nice number" given the trajectory.

Dennis Esser backed Rory McIlroy at +1300, pointing to last year’s dominant Pebble victory and encouraging global form (T3 at the Dubai Invitational and T33 at the Dubai Desert Classic). McIlroy led those Middle-East starts in strokes gained off the tee and on approach but bled shots around and on the greens—areas that historically neutralize at Pebble’s tiny poa putting surfaces. Esser believes the number bakes in recent putting woes and offers a rare discount on the defending champion.

Dennis Esser said the +300 outright price on Scottie Scheffler is simply unplayable before the opening tee shot. Scheffler is the clear favorite, but Esser noted you can often grab a better live price once the field settles, making an early ticket a bad bet relative to the risk. He is passing on any pre-tournament action and will instead monitor the live market.

James Mason recommended taking a flier on Jason Day at +4700, calling him the ultimate Pebble Beach “course horse.” Day owns a sparkling record here: runner-up in 2018, four additional top-5s, and ten top-10s in 15 career starts, finishing outside the top-15 only three times. Mason noted the Aussie’s current form is trending up after a solo 2nd to Scottie Scheffler at The American Express earlier this season. With that combination of elite historical performance, early-season momentum, and an attractive near 50-1 price, Mason expects Day to contend yet again and potentially snag the elusive first Pebble Beach title for bettors willing to embrace the upside.

James Mason advised betting Justin Rose at +3000 on the outright market, citing a perfect storm of recent form and course fit. The 45-year-old just captured the Farmers Insurance Open for his second career win at Torrey Pines, propelling him to 3rd in the world—his best position since 2019. Rose already owns the 2023 Pebble Beach trophy, followed that with a T11 title defense, and shared 3rd here last season. Statistically he sits 3rd in greens in regulation and 7th in putting average, two metrics Mason says historically drive success on Pebble’s postage-stamp greens. A pair of runner-up finishes at the Open Championship underscores Rose’s comfort on weather-exposed links venues, so Mason believes back-to-back wins on U.S. soil are firmly in play.

James Mason said Russell Henley is worth a wager at +3100 to win the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Mason highlighted Henley’s hot start to 2026 (T19 at the Sony Open followed by T8 at The American Express) that vaulted him to world #6. Pebble’s tiny greens reward sharp iron play and Henley ranks 18th on tour in greens-in-regulation and 5th in strokes gained: approach. Course history is another selling point: six prior starts here include a top-5 last year—four shots behind Rory McIlroy—and he was low amateur when T16 at the 2010 US Open on the same property. Mason added that Henley’s recent links-coast form (5th at the 2024 Open Championship and T10 in 2025) proves he can handle the wind and weather expected along the Monterey Peninsula, making him “the one to beat.”

Noonan is off Aberg at 33-1. The Swede MC’d at Torrey, withdrew from the AmEx, and arrives with little momentum. Pebble minimizes driver advantage, highlighting wedges—Aberg’s weakest link. Noonan notes the runner-up finish in the 2024 weather-shortened edition came in far better form, and asking for a repeat against the year’s deepest field feels overly optimistic.

Stewart is fading Schauffele at 22-1, noting two forgettable 2026 starts (MC and T-41) plus zero top-50 finishes in two prior Pro-Am appearances. Around-the-green play remains inconsistent after last year’s rib injury. Until all facets return, Stewart sees no value in backing Xander on a venue emphasizing scrambling and wedges.

Noonan tacked on Henley +320 for a top-10, citing the Georgia Bulldog’s record on "short" or "very short" layouts: nine starts since 2025, eight T-19 or better, six T-10 or better. Henley was T-5 here last year while ranking seventh in SG/approach and first in putting. With Pebble again demanding wedges and accuracy, Noonan sees another high-floor, high-ceiling week incoming.

Stewart played McNealy +290 for a top-10. The Stanford product owns a runner-up and a top-five in seven Pro-Am appearances and is +6.8 SG/total per start across three 2026 events, gaining in every major category. Stewart expects the California native’s comfort on Poa and short-course skill set to cash double-digit equity.

Andy Lack took Patrick Cantlay -105 over Cameron Young. Cantlay owns multiple top-5s at Pebble while Young has yet to crack the top 70 in three tries and just lost strokes on approach in Phoenix. Lack sees nothing in Young’s current profile to overcome that course-fit disparity.

Noonan laid -111 on Berger over Shane Lowry. Over the past eight seasons at Pebble and comparable layouts, only Scottie Scheffler and Patrick Cantlay have gained more strokes tee-to-green than Berger. A Sunday 65 at Scottsdale featured 5.4 SG via ball-striking, convincing Noonan the 2021 champ’s form is trending higher than Lowry’s despite the Irishman’s hot irons.

Stewart bet Jason Day +100 over Harris English, noting English’s lukewarm 22-28-28 finishes to open 2026 and a Pebble resume that tops out at T-40 with one missed cut. Day owns nine top-10s in 15 career Pro-Am starts and arrives with a hot iron game, making the even-money price an easy click.

Mayo played Straka +112 in a head-to-head versus Keegan Bradley. Straka’s T-18 at the WM Phoenix Open flew under the radar but signaled his irons are dialed. Bradley has followed a missed cut at the American Express with a lukewarm T-43 at Torrey and historically loses strokes putting on Poa annua. Mayo expects Straka’s steadier profile to prevail.