Joe Orrico pumped the brakes on the Dalton Rushing hype after Dave Roberts said the rookie will back up Will Smith, pinch-hit as a lefty bat, and *not* see time in the outfield. That schedule equates to only two-to-three starts per week, slashing his fantasy usefulness even in deep two-catcher formats. Orrico would rather roster Cubs prospect Moises Ballesteros, who could gain everyday reps if Chicago shifts Michael Busch to third. Rushing still brings intriguing pull-side power in Dodger Stadium, but unless an injury opens playing time Orrico views him as a stash for only the deepest leagues and certainly behind Jordan Lawlar in priority.

Guy Boston endorsed Freddie Freeman over 1.5 total bases at –120 on FanDuel. Freeman is scorching right now, clearing this line in seven of his last ten games and in four straight, piling up 4.4 total bases per contest over that recent five-game span. Season-long numbers back it up—he has hit the over in 15 of 26 outings (58 %) with a 2.58 TB average. The matchup amplifies things: Freeman has cashed in seven of his last 13 meetings with Arizona (2.62 TB/G) and five of the last seven. Versus tonight’s starter Brandon Pfaadt he owns a .364 average and .818 slugging across 11 plate appearances, producing nine total bases and three extra-base hits. Boston also spotlighted Freeman’s absurd splits against right-handed pitching in 2025—a .388 average, .403 ISO, 50 % extra-base-hit rate—compared to Pfaadt’s 3.79 ERA and .272 average allowed overall, with both ERA and slugging worsening when he faces left-handed bats. Boston concluded that the convergence of red-hot form, elite righty splits, and favorable head-to-head data makes the –120 price a “fantastic” buy for the over.

Dylan Rockford pounced on Los Angeles –104 at FanDuel, calling it a ‘buy-the-dip’ spot. He acknowledged mixed feelings on both starters but trusts the Dodgers’ red-hot lineup (15, 12, 7 and 9 runs in four straight) to overcome any Sasaki wobble. Schwellenbach’s stuff plays, yet his 45% hard-hit rate the last two outings suggests hitters are adjusting. The Braves are already an under team offensively and have not seen pitching close to the Dodgers’ bullpen, which sports MLB’s third-best xFIP. Rockford made the Dodgers –125 and said any number south of –110 is an autoplay, especially given their 13-6 record versus right-handers.

Scott Reichel swallowed his unease about rookie Kenta Sasaki’s inconsistency and took Los Angeles –115 because the number rarely dips that low on a 20-win team. Sasaki’s road ERA is a tidy 2.77 and he has finally cleared five innings in three straight, while Allan Schwellenbach has regressed—three runs or more allowed in three consecutive starts despite an overall 1.29 home ERA. Reichel added that Atlanta’s offense still ranks 24th in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching, whereas the Dodgers just erupted for 43 runs in a four-game set. With even the full-season projections making L.A. a –130 favorite, Reichel felt compelled to grab the bargain.

Bettor Mark played Teoscar Hernandez over 1.5 total bases at +110, leaning on the outfielder’s red-hot form. Hernandez has cleared this number with room to spare in five straight games, logging 4+ total bases each time and compiling recent hits-runs-RBI lines of 6, 3, 4, 10, and 5. Mark likes the matchup in Atlanta, noting Truist Park is homer-friendly and the Braves are starting a pitcher with a 5.00 ERA. With Yoshinobu Yamamoto keeping the game close and Shohei Ohtani heating up behind Hernandez in the order, he expects the Dodgers’ right fielder to see plenty of hittable fastballs and at least two bags worth of production. Mark called the plus-money price "too good to pass up" given Hernandez’s current tear.

Bettor Mark laid the juice with the Dodgers on the run line, calling ‑1.5 at ‑105 his "best bet" for L.A.–Atlanta. He acknowledged Los Angeles has failed to cash many road run lines this season but believes the matchup breaks in their favor: Yoshinobu Yamamoto takes the mound with a sub-3.00 ERA while the Braves counter with a starter sitting on a 5.00 ERA. Mark emphasized how the baseball carries in Truist Park and pointed to a surging Dodger lineup that now features a locked-in Shohei Ohtani and a blistering-hot Teoscar Hernandez. With the full lineup finally healthy and Yamamoto suppressing runs, he expects L.A. to win by multiple runs and is comfortable skipping the heavier ‑170 moneyline in favor of the discounted run-line payout.

Chris Welsh said it is time to get out on Tyler Glasnow while you still can. Glasnow was placed on the 15-day IL with right-shoulder inflammation, the same shoulder that has already forced multiple shutdowns over the past two seasons. Welsh pointed out that fantasy managers have been "battling it and battling it" with Glasnow’s recurring setbacks, and this latest flare-up makes him fear an extended absence or even another lost season. With the Dodgers already missing Blake Snell and leaning on rehabbing arms like Clayton Kershaw and Tony Gonsolin, Welsh worries the team will be extra cautious. He advised either trading Glasnow now or at least recalibrating projections because you can no longer count on a full second half from him.