Dan Tom told listeners not to sleep on Alonzo Menifield’s submission prop at a massive +2200. Menifield owns one of the strangest finishes on the roster—a face-crank/guillotine hybrid he learned while cross-training with Fortis MMA and Pat Barry’s Denver crew—and Tom reminded viewers we briefly saw “D-1 Menifield” during that stint. He expects Oumar Sy to shoot multiple takedowns because the 6-foot-4 Frenchman likes to change levels despite his height advantage. Those long limbs could leave Sy’s neck draped in the danger zone if he gets tagged and panic-shoots. Books clearly have no clue which man finishes—Sy SUB is only +140 while Sy TKO is +250—so Tom is sprinkling the 22-1 Menifield SUB for a tiny exposure in case the Fortis guillotine shows up. The main bet is still Sy, but Menifield’s squeeze is the degenerate hedge Tom prefers over laying –900 chalk.

Madlab is picking Oumar Sy to win but urges bettors to steer clear of the –900 money-line, calling it reckless for light-heavyweight volatility. Sy boasts a 6-foot-4 frame, 83-inch reach (seven inches longer than Menifield), clean footwork and a credible grappling game, yet in Madlab’s words “one punch can end it all” at 205 lbs. Menifield’s raw power, plus-money submission upside, and tendency to reverse positions and unload ground-and-pound create a live dog scenario that makes Sy an awful parlay leg. Madlab’s bottom line: the technical edge is real, but the price ignores the ever-present knockout landmine, so pass on the chalk or look for smaller, more creative props.