Lonte Smith likes Toronto -1.5 and the full-game Over because interim manager Ray Montgomery has shortened Angels starters’ leashes. Only 3 of 9 starters under him have hit 90 pitches, and Kochanowicz has failed to reach the sixth inning in six of his last eight outings. That means an overtaxed bullpen will have to cover at least four frames against a Jays offense that already ranks top-10 in hard-hit rate at home. Kochanowicz’s 41% fly-ball rate makes him susceptible to Rogers Centre’s short porches, and Smith expects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and company to capitalize quickly. Even if Max Scherzer is merely average, Smith projects Toronto to win by multiple runs in a 7-4 type game.