Will Hill bet J.J. McCarthy Under 208.5 passing yards. The young quarterback has yet to top 160 yards in any of his three career starts and now faces a Ravens defense allowing the league’s fewest explosive passes. Hill expects Minnesota to hide McCarthy behind a run-heavy approach, especially after last week’s upset formula of defense and clock control paid off.

Tafur grabbed Minnesota +4, praising Kevin O’Connell’s staff for out-coaching Detroit off extended rest last week and expecting a run-heavy script to work again versus Baltimore. He refused to 'forget how good the Vikings’ coaching staff is' and sees the home dog capable of establishing the ground game and beating the number.

Brooke Cersosimo called Lamar Jackson "the ultimate chess piece" and expects him to dictate terms against Brian Flores’ blitz-centric defense. Minnesota harassed Jared Goff last week, but Cersosimo stressed that Goff is not a two-time MVP with Derrick Henry riding shotgun in the backfield. Baltimore’s defense has held opponents to 13 points per game since Week 6, giving Jackson favorable scripts. She likes the Ravens to cover ‑4.5 and projects top-five fantasy output from Jackson via explosive scrambles and play-action shots.

Calling it both his +4 pick and +170 moneyline "upset special," Tafur leaned on coaching and prep edges for Minnesota. He reminded readers that Kevin O’Connell’s staff out-schemed Detroit coming off extra rest last week and trusts them to exploit another extended prep window. Expecting the Vikings ground game to find traction against Baltimore’s front, Tafur sees value on both the points and the outright win.

Anthony Dabbundo bet the Vikings team total under 22.5 (–110) and outlined why he is skeptical of their offense. Quarterback J.J. McCarthy carries a league-worst 17.5% sack rate, posted negative EPA per play last week, tossed an interception, and took multiple drive-killing sacks. Minnesota’s run game ranks just 21st in EPA per rush and is merely average in success rate. Dabbundo added that 27 of the Vikings’ points against Detroit came on short-field drives created by turnovers and special-teams plays—a script unlikely to repeat with Baltimore on extra rest. Given the Ravens’ pass rush and Minnesota’s penchant for negative plays, he projects a difficult scoring environment and prefers the team total under.

Passing along analysis from the CBS Sports pick column, Giannotto highlighted that the Ravens have surrendered the fifth-most passing yards per game and have inexplicably never won in Minnesota. That vulnerability lines up with Justin Jefferson, who owns a 32% target share at home and has cleared 100 yards in four straight at U.S. Bank Stadium. With Baltimore’s corners allowing 1.93 yards per route (27th), Giannotto likes Vikings +4 and is targeting Jefferson alternate yardage props, projecting 8-10 catches and 110-plus yards.

MacMillan bought into Baltimore’s post-bye surge—two wins by a combined 58-22—highlighting Lamar Jackson’s renewed efficiency and a defense finally healthy. He doubts J.J. McCarthy, who completed just 56% for 143 yards last week, can keep pace. He laid Ravens ‑3.5 at ‑105 (DraftKings).