Cody Williams sprinkled Kurt Kitayama Top-10 at +250, noting Kitayama ranks third in SG: Approach over the last 24 rounds, is the field’s best at converting birdie or better, and just won the 3M Open before adding a T9 in Memphis. Williams admitted the putter can be a "bugaboo" but believes as long as it’s not actively harmful, the tee-to-green dominance is too strong for Kitayama to finish outside the top fifth of a 49-man field.

Brian Kirschner played Cam Young Top-10 at +225, arguing the New Yorker’s "elite length off the tee" aligns perfectly with Caves Valley’s new par-70 setup, while his current "serious prowess with the flatstick" removes the typical short-game question marks. With Young’s recent form already pointing up, Kirschner sees little reason that trend stops in a trimmed-down field fighting for Tour Championship positioning.

MacMillan doubled down on Cantlay with a Top-5 ticket at +400, citing the T9 last week in Memphis where Cantlay ranked third in strokes gained: approach (+1.81 per round). Returning to a venue he won in 2021, MacMillan believes the combination of dialed-in irons and proven green-reading on these surfaces makes a weekend leaderboard appearance highly probable.

Brian Giuffra chased Sam Burns at +3000 for first-round leader, recalling Burns opened with a 64 en route to eighth place at Caves Valley in 2021, gaining more than one stroke putting per round and nearly a full stroke off the tee that week. Burns is coming off an event where he gained 1.55 strokes putting per round and has registered positive OTT numbers in six of his last eight starts, convincing Giuffra another Thursday 64 is firmly in play.

MacMillan’s first-round-leader dart lands on Harry Hall at +4000 because Hall is second on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage (25.78%) and third in Round-1 scoring average (68.17). Those early-round fireworks, coupled with a historically hot putter, make Hall a logical candidate to post something in the mid-60s before the firmer greens fully bake out.

Brian Giuffra called Hideki Matsuyama a value long-shot at +5000, explaining that "whatever the hell was going on" mid-season has been fixed. Matsuyama has gained more than three strokes per round on approach across his last two events and turned the putter from liability into positive territory. Giuffra argued Matsuyama is capable of "going low all four rounds," a trait that’s critical in a small field where sustained scoring is mandatory to contend on Sunday.

For a long-shot ticket, Iain MacMillan grabbed Kurt Kitayama at +6000 after noticing the American is "fourth in true strokes-gained tee-to-green over the past three months" and has posted four Top-15 finishes in his last five starts, highlighted by a win at the 3M Open and a T9 at last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship. MacMillan views that sustained ball-striking plus recent winning experience as a profile that should be nowhere near 60-1 in a 49-man field.

Cody Williams selected Ludvig Aberg at +2500, noting the Swede owns three consecutive Top-25 finishes (two Top-10s) and is "10th in SG: Off-the-Tee" while sitting 11th in Strokes Gained: Approach over his last 24 rounds. Williams emphasized Aberg’s rare combo of distance and accuracy will be even more valuable on a firmer, faster, par-70 Caves Valley. He also pointed out that in a similarly set-up BMW a year ago, Aberg finished T2, arguing "let’s do one better this week" on a course he clearly likes and a statistical profile that mirrors every key metric the panel is targeting.

Brian Kirschner backed Patrick Cantlay outright at +2500, reminding readers Cantlay already "went back-to-back at the BMW" and won the 2021 edition at Caves Valley after a historic putting week. Kirschner argued this season’s "struggles have been overrated": Cantlay gained almost eight strokes on approach last week and has carried elite iron numbers all year. With the renovation tightening fairways and hardening greens, Kirschner expects Cantlay’s precise approach play plus proven course comfort to make another win entirely realistic.

Iain MacMillan said Justin Thomas is his favorite outright bet at +2500 because last week Thomas "gained strokes in all four major areas," a signal the all-around game is finally back. MacMillan highlighted that Thomas ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in birdie-or-better percentage (25.49%), a trait he believes will be "pivotal" if Caves Valley firms up and still rewards aggressive scoring. After several steady but unspectacular months, MacMillan views the across-the-board ball-striking gains as proof Thomas’ ceiling is returning at exactly the right time.

Matt Cooper’s final selection is 1-point each-way on Ben Griffin at 35/1, citing the 29-year-old’s relentless top-20 production (13 this season, eight in his last 10 starts) and proven success on Tom Fazio courses. Griffin’s 2025 résumé includes wins at the Zurich Classic pairs event and the Charles Schwab Challenge, plus a 36-hole lead at Muirfield Village where he posted his best driving metrics of the year before finishing runner-up. He followed that with T11 at Sedgefield (second in putting) and seventh at Southwind. Cooper added that Griffin owns five top-25s in eight career starts on original Fazio designs, including a fourth at PGA National. Blending recent confidence, balanced tee-to-green numbers and architectural familiarity, Cooper believes Griffin remains undervalued at 35/1 with each-way payouts to five places.

Matt Cooper staked 1-point each-way on Sam Burns at 35/1, leaning on Burns’ proven history at Caves Valley and surging form with his two signature clubs. Burns opened with 64 and carded a Saturday 65 en route to eighth here four years ago, ranking sixth Off-the-Tee and calling the course a 'really cool, big property' that fits his eye. Over the four starts preceding Memphis he finished top-20 in SG Off-the-Tee each time, then led last week’s St Jude field in putting after a sluggish opening round. Cooper argues Burns tends to win whenever driver and putter click (five PGA victories) and the weekend bounce suggests that combo is close. With Ryder Cup stakes adding extra fire, Cooper views 35/1 with five-place terms as an attractive mid-tier punt.

Matt Cooper recommended 1-point each-way at 45/1 on Sepp Straka, noting that the Austrian’s recent Strokes Gained Off-the-Tee spikes mirror the profile of past Caves Valley winners. Although Straka sits 35th in the season-long OTT table, he ranked first in that stat during his third-place finish at Muirfield Village and third last week at TPC Southwind, all while maintaining a hot putter through the summer. Cooper pointed to Straka’s back-to-back top-5s at Muirfield (third this year, fifth last) as evidence he thrives on long, bent-grass, rough-heavy tracks that resemble Caves Valley. His maiden PGA title also came on a Fazio layout (PGA National), reinforcing architectural comfort. With a seventh at the Scottish Open and T17 in Memphis signaling form returning ahead of a potential Ryder Cup debut, Cooper believes 45/1 underrates both ceiling and motivation.

Matt Cooper advised a 1-point each-way wager on Cameron Young at 30/1 for the BMW Championship, stressing that Caves Valley accentuates Young’s two elite weapons: power driving and an increasingly reliable flat stick. Young ranked second in Strokes Gained Off-the-Tee when breaking through at the Wyndham two weeks ago and first last week while finishing fifth at the St Jude, proof that his mid-season slide (35th OTT on the year) is behind him. Young has publicly declared his putting mechanics 'better than ever,' a claim backed by season-long gains on bent-grass greens. Cooper also highlighted course fit—Caves Valley is a Tom Fazio design, and Young’s Korn Ferry win at The Glen Club came on another Fazio track. Historically, the New Yorker piles results together (prior heaters of 2-3-2 and 4-4 immediately after wins), so Cooper sees 30/1 plus five-place terms as premium value on a player riding obvious momentum.

Kyle Murray suggested 0.25 units on Kurt Kitayama to win at +4500 and 1 unit on a Top-10 at +320. Kitayama surged into the FedExCup playoffs by winning the 3M Open a few weeks ago and followed it with a T-9 last week. Murray said his model grades Kitayama as a top-eight player in this field thanks to powerful driving and sharp ball-striking—two skills that fit the 7,601-yard Caves Valley layout. With form trending up and no cut to halt momentum, Murray believes the number offers solid value for bettors looking beyond the favorites.

Kyle Murray advised wagering 0.25 units on Chris Gotterup outright at +4000 and 1 unit on a Top-10 at +260. He pointed out that Gotterup ripped off three consecutive top-10s, highlighted by his Scottish Open win, before a minor step back last week. Murray’s model loves Gotterup at Caves Valley because the course rewards length: Gotterup ranks 1st in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 2nd in driving distance. With a late push for a Ryder Cup berth providing added motivation, Murray expects the bomber to leverage that tee-to-green edge and stay on the leaderboard.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Iain MacMillan advised bettors to avoid an outright ticket on Tommy Fleetwood and instead target the top-5 or top-10 markets. Fleetwood went one over par across the closing three holes at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, missing a playoff by a stroke and adding yet another late-round stumble to his resume. Despite the tendency to falter on Sundays, sportsbooks still list him among the favorites this week. MacMillan argued that his high baseline of ball-striking should keep him in the hunt, but the track record of closing failures makes shorter placement bets the smarter play.

Iain MacMillan spotlighted Harry Hall as a live long-shot at +6500. Hall ranks second on Tour in birdie percentage (25.78%) and is the best putter in the field, gaining +1.26 strokes on the greens per round during the last three months. His recent consistency is impressive: ten straight finishes of T28 or better, including T19 at the PGA Championship and T28 at The Open. MacMillan noted that if Hall’s ball-striking even approaches field average while the putter stays hot, the Englishman will be firmly in contention on a course that demands birdies.

Iain MacMillan recommended a wager on Kurt Kitayama at +6000, arguing the number does not reflect how well he is playing. Kitayama owns four top-15 finishes in his last five starts, highlighted by a victory at the 3M Open and a T9 at last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship. Over the past three months he ranks fourth in this field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green, and his 25.54% birdie or better rate is third on the entire Tour. With Caves Valley expected to reward aggressive scorers, MacMillan believes Kitayama has genuine win equity at 60-1.

Iain MacMillan said this year’s BMW Championship should once again turn into a birdie shoot-out after Patrick Cantlay posted 27-under at Caves Valley in 2021, so he wants players who routinely hang circles on the card. Justin Thomas fits that profile, ranking fourth on the PGA Tour in birdie or better percentage at 25.49%. MacMillan added that Thomas gained strokes in all four major categories last week and, crucially, kept his normally wayward driver mostly straight. With Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy sitting at prohibitively short prices, MacMillan called Thomas the best outright value on the board at +2500.

Baz Plummer recommended a 2-point wager on Matt Fitzpatrick to finish inside the top 10 at +240 on BetMGM. Fitzpatrick has surged 40 spots in the OWGR over the last six tournaments thanks to four top-8 results and has not missed a cut since the week before the Masters. According to Plummer, a top-10 ticket would have paid in 5 of Fitzpatrick’s previous 10 starts, a 50% hit rate that becomes even more attractive in this trimmed 50-man playoff field. Plummer believes the former U.S. Open champion’s steady ball-striking form positions him to end the season strongly, with outright upside if the putter cooperates.

Baz Plummer labeled Chris Gotterup his sleeper play, investing 1 point on an outright ticket at +4000 and 2 points on a top-10 finish at +230 with BetMGM. Plummer cited Gotterup’s scorching recent run—a second PGA Tour win in Scotland, a third-place at The Open Championship, and a top-10 at the 3M Open—which vaulted him from 158th to 27th in the Official World Golf Ranking. Although Gotterup underwhelmed last week at TPC Southwind, Plummer argues Caves Valley is a more suitable venue because Gotterup sits 2nd in the field for driving distance and 11th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green, matching the very metrics his model flags for success. Plummer sees those strengths translating into both realistic win equity and a strong floor for placement markets.

Baz Plummer said Rory McIlroy is his lone outright bet this week, staking 5 points at +700 on BetMGM to win the BMW Championship 2025. Plummer highlighted McIlroy's electric season—four wins and six top-7s in his last 15 worldwide starts plus a Masters victory that completed the Career Grand Slam. His data model flags driving distance and short-game touch as keys at Caves Valley; McIlroy ranks 1st in the field in driving distance and 14th in Strokes Gained: Around the Green. After skipping last week’s FedEx St. Jude, McIlroy arrives rested, and Plummer believes that fresh legs combined with the statistical edge give him the highest win probability while still offering better value than market favorite Scottie Scheffler.

Will Gray suggested betting Rickie Fowler for a Top-10 finish at +350, noting Fowler was one of the final qualifiers into the limited BMW field and has been trending upward for a month. Fowler gained over 1.2 strokes per round tee-to-green across the last three events and ranked 3rd in SG: Putting in Memphis. Gray thinks the momentum, coupled with Fowler’s knack for scoring on soft greens, gives him a realistic shot to extend his postseason run another week and cash a top-10 ticket.

Will Gray recommended Chris Gotterup for a Top-5 finish at +600. Although Gotterup struggled in Memphis, Gray expects the bomber to "fire at a few flags" this week as he tries to capture captain Keegan Bradley’s attention for a potential Presidents Cup nod. Gotterup ranks 4th on TOUR in driving distance and 8th in birdie rate over the last 24 rounds, stats Gray believes will translate on a renovated Caves Valley that now stretches over 7,500 yards but still rewards aggressive iron play. Gray sees enough upside volatility to justify the short-odds top-five stab.

Will Gray highlighted Harris English at +5000 as mis-priced. English sits one spot shy of an automatic Ryder Cup berth, giving him extra incentive, and he already owns two runner-up finishes in majors this season. Gray pointed out that English has gained strokes with the putter in six straight starts and ranked inside the top 10 in proximity from 150-175 yards during the FedExCup Playoffs opener in Memphis. With that ball-striking/putting combo and Ryder Cup motivation, Gray called the 50-1 number "intriguing value" for an outright wager.

Will Gray backed Cameron Young to win the BMW Championship at +3000. Gray noted Young’s victory at the Wyndham Championship two weeks ago and said the ball-striking numbers actually looked even cleaner in Memphis, where Young drove the ball longer and straighter than the field average but could not buy a putt. Gray believes the recent win has flipped a confidence switch and that Caves Valley’s generous fairways will allow Young to keep leaning on his driver – the club that fueled a closing 63 at Wyndham. With momentum peaking and odds still in the mid-30-to-1 range, Gray called Young "a good time to gain traction" for outright tickets.

Quoting Sports Illustrated’s betting preview, Giannotto presented Kurt Kitayama (+4500) as a mis-priced contender. Kitayama has finished inside the top-15 in four of his last five starts, a stretch that includes a 3M Open victory and a T-9 last week in Memphis. Over the past three months he ranks fourth in this field in true SG tee-to-green and sits third on Tour in birdie-or-better rate at 25.54%. Giannotto expects another low-scoring shootout at Caves Valley, a scenario that aligns perfectly with Kitayama’s recent scoring surge.

Giannotto circled Taylor Pendrith at +6600 using BetMGM analysis that dubbed Caves Valley one of the most ‘first-shot’ tracks on Tour. Pendrith’s resume this season includes top-15s at other driver-heavy venues—Memorial Park, Quail Hollow, Muirfield Village, Renaissance Club—signaling a predictable spike when length is the premium skill. With only 50 players in the field, Giannotto sees Pendrith’s elite carry distance as a differentiator that can pay off in finishing-position markets.

Giannotto called Sungjae Im (+6000) a sleeper after relaying Sportsbook Wire’s reminder that Im finished third here in 2021 at 23-under. Im booked a T-17 in Memphis despite a closing-round 71, gaining strokes on approach every day. With the playoff cut line looming, Giannotto believes Im’s proven comfort on these greens and historically reliable iron play create a strong top-10 and each-way target at a juicy number.

Referencing PGATour.com’s expert picks, Giannotto noted Cameron Young at +2500 as a mid-tier outright with ceiling. Young captured the Wyndham Championship two weeks ago and, according to PGA Tour ShotLink data, actually gained more strokes ball-striking in Memphis than he did during the win. With driver back in peak form and confidence high, Giannotto expects Young to continue gaining momentum at a venue that rewards long, aggressive play off the tee.

Giannotto pointed bettors to Patrick Cantlay at +2000, citing BetMGM data that still ranks him 10th on the PGA Tour in SG: Total — ahead of most Ryder Cup hopefuls he is competing against this week. Despite sitting 22nd in the OWGR, Cantlay’s season-long metrics remain elite and resemble his 2021 campaign when he beat Bryson DeChambeau in a playoff at this same course. Giannotto argued that the narrative of a down year is overstated and that Cantlay’s proven comfort at Caves Valley plus his balanced tee-to-green profile make the number too long.

Mark Giannotto highlighted Ludvig Aberg at +1800 after quoting Sportsbook Wire’s note that the Swede’s recent run — T-8 at the Genesis Scottish Open, T-23 at the Open Championship, and T-9 last week at the FedEx St. Jude — shows a clear upward trajectory. Giannotto emphasized that Caves Valley is playing longer this year with thicker rough, a profile that rewards Aberg’s combination of elite carry distance and above-average driving accuracy. The course fit, paired with his three straight top-25 finishes against stronger fields, makes Aberg a live outright bet and an aggressive DFS anchor.

Patrick McDonald labeled J.T. Poston a 100-1 sleeper worth sprinkling in outright and each-way markets. Poston enters at No. 50 in FedEx Cup points and needs a Bradley-esque BMW surge to make East Lake, giving him every incentive to chase pins. Recent form supports the gamble: he finished T11 at Wyndham and T22 at St. Jude while gaining strokes off the tee in both events. McDonald added that Poston’s putter can spike—evident in his T5 at Quail Hollow’s PGA Championship, another Tom Fazio design like Caves Valley—making the course a comfortable fit. With driving trending upward and a historically streaky flat stick, McDonald sees enough upside to justify a flyer at triple-digit odds.

Patrick McDonald listed Hideki Matsuyama as a 45-1 “contender” play, highlighting steady momentum despite the absence of a top-10 finish since his Sentry win in January. Matsuyama has reeled off four straight top-20 results, most recently a T17 at the St. Jude Championship, driven by an iron game that has rebounded to early-season form. McDonald noted the putter—often Matsuyama’s liability—has shown life over that stretch, and the wide fairways at Caves Valley should lessen the stress Matsuyama typically faces with driver in hand. With approach play surging and fewer big-miss penalties off the tee, McDonald views Matsuyama as undervalued at 45-1 for outright and top-5 markets.

Patrick McDonald pegged Xander Schauffele as his outright winner at 20-1, stressing that Schauffele has quietly been one of the tour’s premier tee-to-green machines over the last three months. The world No. 3 ranks 2nd in driving distance, 6th in strokes-gained tee-to-green, and sits inside the top-12 both off-the-tee and on approach during that span. McDonald argued those numbers will be amplified at 7,601-yard Caves Valley, where length and ball-striking have historically separated contenders. Schauffele is 43rd in FedEx Cup points—outside the Tour Championship cut—so McDonald expects an aggressive mindset and four-round urgency. The glaring weakness is Schauffele’s putting, his worst season on the greens in 2025, but McDonald believes anything close to field-average putting paired with his elite ball-striking is enough to cash a 20-1 outright ticket.

Andy Lack projected a T17-ish finish for Ludvig Aberg, noting the Swede habitually mixes one even-par round into otherwise strong weeks—exactly what happened Saturday in Memphis. While acknowledging Aberg’s Torrey Pines victory and overall talent, Lack sees inconsistency that caps win equity and suggests holding off on outright tickets or core DFS exposure until the four-round ceiling shows up.

Andy Lack warned that Caves Valley is “not as good of a spot for Tommy Fleetwood,” advising bettors to grab their exposure at St. Jude instead. The bomber-friendly setup diminishes Fleetwood’s precision advantage, leading Lack to a fade in early outright and DFS considerations.

Andy Lack believes Taylor Pendrith is primed for a resurgence at Caves Valley after being neutralized by Southwind’s narrow corridors. Pendrith’s elite carry distance pairs perfectly with the Fazio layout, and Lack groups him with other bombers who can “let the big stick loose.” Top-20 bets and low-owned DFS exposures are encouraged.

Andy Lack called Caves Valley a “great Min Woo Lee spot.” Lee languished near the bottom at Southwind, a course that constrains length, but the 7,500-yard Fazio design lets him unleash driver. Lack expects a sharp rebound and likes Lee as a DFS tournament flier and longshot outright given the layout’s clear bomber bias.

Andy Lack remains bullish on Sam Burns, rating him fourth overall. Burns clawed back from four-over to −4 at St. Jude while ranking 4th in putting, and Lack’s model shows Caves Valley mirroring TPC Toronto—the site of Burns’ playoff loss— in agronomy, rough length, and key approach buckets. Although Memphis exposed some shaky driving, Lack still likes Burns’ power-putter combo and will target him in outrights and GPP line-ups while keeping exposure slightly below full throttle.

Andy Lack ranked Xander Schauffele third this week, calling Caves Valley a “great spot for him to top-10” thanks to his balanced game. However, Schauffele “seems a few minor details off right now,” and Lack does not believe he currently has the high-end gear to outduel Scheffler or McIlroy. The recommendation is top-10 props or DFS cash builds, not outright tickets.

Andy Lack advised fading Scottie Scheffler at Caves Valley, saying, “There are better golf courses for Scheffler than this.” The wider fairways reduce Scheffler’s tee-to-green edge, and Lack wants “no part of the guy” at prohibitive odds or premium DFS salary. He is unlikely to re-enter the ‘without Scheffler’ market and prefers allocating bankroll to players whose length allows them to exploit the dog-legs more aggressively.