Cash Out Sports Picks jumped on the Houston Astros money-line thanks to a lopsided pitching matchup. Walker Buehler owns a 5.40 ERA and 1.56 WHIP overall that inflate to a 6.52 ERA and .312 BAA on the road. Hunter Brown counters with a 2.37 ERA and .174 opponent average in 60.2 home innings and has given up only four runs in his last 17.1 frames. With Houston motivated after an embarrassing loss and its hitters posting a .321 OBP and .459 SLG in 74 prior at-bats vs Buehler, he expects the Astros to handle business.

Lindquist plans to stack Houston right-handed bats and shop HR props against Walker Buehler, citing the veteran’s .220 expected ISO allowed to righties and a season-long trend of getting “bludgeoned” by same-handed hitters. With the Crawford Boxes inviting pull-side power and Houston’s lineup pricing expected to be palatable, Lindquist believes the Astros could be a slate-breaking DFS stack and a profitable one-off HR spot once numbers are posted. He mentioned waiting for the lineup to confirm, expecting Carlos Correa—or whichever righty lands in the two-hole—to sit in a premium run-production spot.

Kenny G said the 8.5 total in Boston-Houston is too low and leaned to the over. His case starts with both starters coming in on wobbly footing: Dustin May lasted only 3.2 innings and surrendered six hits and three earned runs in his first appearance since the trade, while 25-year-old Spencer Arrighetti owns a 7.43 ERA after getting torched by Miami in his first start off the IL. Despite the two bullpens ranking top-5 in ERA (Boston 3.37, Houston even better), Kenny expects early damage to pile up. He noted Boston is 32-25-1 to the over on the road and reminded listeners that the Red Sox still sit 4th in runs scored and Houston 2nd in batting average. With both lineups capable and neither hurler stretched out, he believes runs show up early enough to push this game past 8.5.

Lindquist is laying the run and a half with the Dodgers against Houston’s Spencer Arrighetti. Arrighetti’s return from the IL looked identical to April: 13 % barrel rate, 51 % hard-hit, and just 44 % strike rate on his secondaries, giving the league’s most disciplined offense a chance to pile early traffic. Dustin May is on a 70-pitch leash but still sports a 58 % ground-ball rate and a 2.18 FIP at Dodger Stadium. Lindquist trusts L.A.’s rested leverage bullpen and notes the Dodgers’ lefty power (Muncy, Freeman, Outman) matches up perfectly with Arrighetti’s .600 expected slugging allowed to that side. He projects L.A. by 2.2 runs and is comfortable up to –115 on the RL.

Although Houston owns strong numbers against southpaws, Mills Young leaned over on Garrett Crochet’s 7.0-strikeout prop after noting the left-hander has hit that mark in three of five (60 %). Crochet’s fastball sits 98 mph with a 17 % swinging-strike rate, and his new sweeper has fueled a 33 % K rate since July 1. Young conceded the matchup is risky but believes Crochet’s pitch efficiency — 15.8 pitches per inning over the last month — keeps an eight-K ceiling firmly in play.