Kenny G tagged Milwaukee as his Dog-of-the-Day at +102. He trusts 24-year-old Quinn Priester, who has a 3.88 ERA and has been “lights-out” over three straight road starts (17.2 IP, 3 ER, 18 K) and now finally gets to pitch in the friendly confines of American Family Field where Milwaukee is 19-13. Grant Holmes, meanwhile, has regressed for Atlanta—torched by Arizona and Boston in back-to-back outings—to a 3.99 ERA with shaky command. Kenny also noted the Braves’ glaring road woes (11-23 away, 21st in runs, 20th in SLG) and only a middling 3.83 bullpen ERA, whereas the Brewers’ ‘pen, though imperfect (4.49 ERA), has improved. Atlanta opened a short favorite largely on name value, but with Milwaukee 20-11-1 to the under at home—hinting at run suppression—and the Braves’ bats stuck in a 7-3-2-5-10-1-3 funk, Kenny sees far more paths to a Brew Crew victory than implied by the price.