Looking ahead to a yet-to-be-lined Dodgers-Brewers game, Lindquist wants Will Smith exposure if Milwaukee indeed sends a lefty (he’s projecting Jose Quintana) opposite Tyler Glasnow. Smith posted a .323 average and .966 OPS in the first half and owns a long-term 200-point OPS split advantage versus southpaws. Lindquist plans to fire on Smith’s 2+ total bases and HR props if books hang anything inside −130 once the pitching matchup is confirmed, noting that Dodger bats should be refreshed after the All-Star break.

Millz Young backed Tyler Glasnow to top 5.5 strikeouts. Last time out Glasnow stalled at five, but Young emphasized that the right-hander avoided All-Star festivities, used the break to get fully healthy, and now returns on regular rest. With his swing-and-miss stuff refreshed, Young expects the Dodgers ace to work deeper and notch at least six Ks.

Eric Lindquist doubled down on Friday prop exposure to Will Smith, saying he will fire on the catcher’s 2-plus total bases—and possibly his HR ladder—if books hang anything inside −130. The matchup should feature left-hander Jose Quintana, whose .336 xwOBA, .265 expected batting average, and meek 15.8 % strikeout rate invite hard contact. Lindquist added that Smith’s own K-rate versus lefties has dipped to 18.3 %, eliminating the one flaw opponents occasionally exploited. Hitting third between Freddie Freeman and either Teoscar Hernandez or Shohei Ohtani gives Smith elite run-production protection and virtually guarantees four trips to the plate. After shrugging off a rough previous week, Lindquist labeled the 2+ bases prop a “for-sure” addition to Friday’s betting card, with a home-run sprinkle if the number is juicy.

Eric Pathi endorsed taking Milwaukee on the moneyline as a live underdog against the Dodgers. He noted the Brewers have won seven straight and are up $868 for $100-unit bettors this season (20-25 as dogs), while the star-studded Dodgers are actually down $579 despite a 58-39 record because they are continually overpriced. Current market shows LA –0.90 / MIL +0.50, a 30-cent spread that hands you a plus-price on the hotter, more profitable club. Pathi’s rule of 10 normally warns against riding a streaking favorite, but because oddsmakers still hang dog numbers on Milwaukee, the value remains squarely on the Brewers.

Lonte Smith laid –1.5 runs with the Dodgers, arguing Los Angeles will flip the switch coming out of the break. He referenced last season’s post-July surge and expects a similar pattern now that injured arms are trickling back. The Dodgers scored just 2.9 runs per nine over their last 10 games and were out-scored 15-4 in Milwaukee earlier this year, factors Smith views as perfect motivation in a revenge spot. Despite the recent slump, the lineup still boasts elite talent that should punish Priester’s limited swing-and-miss arsenal. With a healthier pitching staff behind Kershaw and a historically dominant second-half track record, Smith is comfortable backing LA to win by multiple runs in the opener and potentially all series long.