C Jackson Cowart likes Jordan Addison at +165, citing 15 targets and a 22.2% first-read share in two games since quarterback J.J. McCarthy returned. One-third of those looks have traveled deep, a key angle because Chicago has struggled badly against vertical routes. Cowart expects Addison’s down-field role to click against a “snake-bitten” Bears secondary and turn the volume into at least one touchdown.

Rohit Ponnaiya endorsed Over 71.5 receiving yards for Justin Jefferson in Week 11. Jefferson drew a season-high 12 targets last week but converted them into only 37 yards. Ponnaiya expects positive regression inside U.S. Bank Stadium, especially with quarterback J.J. McCarthy coming off a career-best 248-yard outing. Chicago ranks 26th in pass DVOA and allows 160 receiving yards per game to wideouts (sixth-worst). EV Analytics grades this a five-star play and projects 88.19 yards. Ponnaiya believes that volume plus the Bears’ porous secondary should propel Jefferson past the 71.5-yard line.

Scott Kellen laid the field goal with Minnesota, noting the Bears’ 6-3 record is fueled by a league-best +14 turnover margin despite a horrible defense and average offense. The Vikings defense ranks above average and just out-gained Baltimore by 1.1 yards per play. If they avoid their usual giveaways (-7 turnover margin), Kellen expects a 27-20 win and cover.

Ben Solak played OVER 224.5 passing yards for Caleb Williams. He highlighted Williams’ deep-shot tendencies under OC Ben Johnson (13.7% of attempts 20-plus yards, sixth) and a Vikings defense that ranks dead last with a 63.2% completion rate allowed on deep balls. Since Minnesota’s Week-6 bye they’ve conceded 319 yards and five TDs on 8-of-9 deep attempts. With Johnson’s max-protection concepts and Williams’ elite sack avoidance, Solak expects multiple explosives to clear the modest yardage prop.

Everett took Chicago +3, noting the Bears have won six of seven and rank top-10 in points (26.6) and top-five in yards per play (5.9) with only six turnovers all season. JJ McCarthy, meanwhile, has thrown six INTs in four starts and is just over 50 % since returning from injury. Everett doubts Minnesota scores enough to cover.

MacMillan laid 2.5 with Minnesota, calling Chicago’s 6-3 record a mirage built on improbable wins over fellow bottom-feeders. The Bears rank 24th in DVOA and 23rd in Net Yards per Play (-0.5) and now face a tougher schedule. Minnesota’s defense is the best unit in this matchup, and even with J.J. McCarthy at QB, the Vikings’ receiving corps should exploit a soft Chicago secondary. He projects the Bears’ overdue crash to begin here.