Just A Bet Outside recommended over 4.5 strikeouts for Nick Lodolo at +112 (half-unit). Lodolo missed time only for a blister and is expected to throw 90-100 pitches. In his last ten healthy starts he cleared this line seven times, averaging six Ks, and he fanned 11 Dodgers the last time he faced them. Los Angeles owns the 12th-highest K-rate versus lefties over the past three weeks (22.4%), a number deflated by recent matchups with soft-contact southpaws like Nestor Cortes and Austin Gomber. Against the four competent strikeout lefties in that span (Lodolo, Garrett Crochet, Jose Quintana, Robbie Ray) the Dodgers allowed 11, 10, 5 and 6 Ks respectively. The club’s bottom-10 walk rate against lefties should keep Lodolo’s pitch count in check. Even half of his previous output versus L.A. would cash this plus-money ticket.

Just A Bet Outside said Shohei Ohtani is the one strikeout arm he wants to attack on Wednesday. Cincinnati owns the sixth-highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching over the last three weeks (a little north of 24%). Even in a small 27.1-inning sample, Ohtani has fanned 35 hitters and flashes a huge 37.2% K-rate at Dodger Stadium compared to 26% on the road. He whiffed four Reds in only three innings when they met on a pitch count earlier this month. With no restrictions tonight and a righty-heavy, swing-and-miss lineup across from him, Steven likes Ohtani’s strikeout over and views him as a ceiling DFS play.

Kenny G said he is taking the Cincinnati Reds at roughly +175 on the money-line in Wednesday’s game against the Dodgers. He cited Nick Lodolo’s healed blister and reminded listeners that Lodolo struck out 11 over 5.1 innings with only two earned runs the last time he faced Los Angeles. G believes Cincinnati’s bullpen has quietly improved, while the Dodgers’ relievers still carry a 4.15 season ERA and will likely be forced to cover four-plus innings because Shohei Ohtani’s previous start was short and shaky. Although the Reds rank just 22nd in slugging and 17th in OBP, the tout thinks L.A.’s bullpen vulnerability, plus the motivation to avoid a sweep, makes the near 2-to-1 price too generous to ignore.

Lindquist kept the game total UNDER 8.5, leaning on Nick Lodolo’s improved run prevention and strike-throwing to mute the Dodgers’ offense. Lodolo carries a 3.05 ERA backed by a 3.59 xERA, and although his 23.6 % strike-out rate is a career low, greater efficiency is buying him extra innings that offset the K-dip. Los Angeles is likely countering with an upper-tier arm (he referenced that "we know exactly where Ohtani lines settle"), making both sides of the pitching matchup plus. Factor in pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium night conditions and Lindquist prefers the full-game under rather than cherry-picking props.

Eric Pathi reiterated his long-running system play: whenever the Cincinnati Reds are catching 50 cents or more (roughly +150 or longer), they become an automatic wager. Their 36-34 record as underdogs has produced one of MLB’s best returns, and Pathi said he ignores opposing pitchers unless a last-minute rotation change flips the Reds to favorites. The rule of thumb is simple—if the line holds and Cincinnati is still a sizeable dog, you fire.

Eric Pathi said to hammer the Cincinnati Reds around +175 against the Los Angeles Dodgers with Shohei Ohtani taking the hill. Pathi framed it strictly as a price play: the Reds have gone 36-34 as underdogs, a record that has generated hefty profits, while the Dodgers are a bankroll killer as favorites—74-57 overall but down roughly 13 units (-$13,210 for $1K bettors). He pointed out that the Padres share the same record yet are +$9,000 because they are priced as dogs far more often, underscoring how badly the market overrates L.A. Pathi emphasized that “you’re betting a price, not a pitcher,” making fading Ohtani at −175 a slam-dunk value call.

Zinno took the Reds +1.5 in L.A., noting Cincinnati’s motivation to avoid a sweep and a favorable pitching matchup. Nick Lodolo owns a 2.18 road ERA, a .188 opponent average, and has allowed just 5 of his 17 homers away from Great American Ball Park—crucial against a Dodger lineup built on the long ball. Shohei Ohtani starts for L.A., but Zinno emphasized that he has been hit hard in two straight outings and may still be adjusting. He expects a low-scoring battle into the middle innings, after which the Reds carry a bullpen advantage. In that script Cincinnati either steals a late win or keeps the margin to one, cashing the run-line ticket.