Eric Lindquist circled Nick Kurtz as a juicy home-run prop on Wednesday afternoon at Dodger Stadium. He wants anything better than +350 because the matchup checks every box: Kyle Hendricks owns just a 14.7% strikeout rate, lives at the top of the zone with a sinker that generates far more fly-balls than grounders, and will be pitching in daytime conditions before the Marine Layer settles in. Lindquist compared the bet to Tuesday’s identical number versus Jose Soriano—a ground-ball arm—and argued this spot is materially stronger because Hendricks gives hitters lift and does not miss bats. With Kurtz locked into the cleanup spot and LA’s stackable right-field power alley boosting left-handed pull shots, Lindquist views +350 as at least 40 cents short of fair value and is comfortable pairing the HR ticket with single-game DFS lineups that lean into Dodgers power.

Lindquist called the Cubs moneyline his favorite play on the Wednesday card, noting the market is still pricing Philadelphia as sizeable favorites despite a clear starting-pitching form gap. Ben Brown has allowed just two earned runs over his last 13 innings (6.0 IP vs Cincinnati, 7.0 IP vs Detroit) while trimming his walk rate and leaning on a slider that produced a 34% whiff rate in those outings. Opposite him, Jesus Luzardo is ice-cold: 20 earned runs in his last two starts (12 vs Milwaukee, 8 vs Toronto) with pitch counts of 76 and 61 that suggest a quick hook if trouble surfaces again. Lindquist prefers Chicago’s bullpen depth, likes the guaranteed nine innings of Cubs at-bats on the road, and pointed out Philadelphia’s late-inning injuries have thinned their relief options. With Chicago available at plus money, he believes the line should be close to pick’em and may upgrade the wager from a half-unit to a full play if the price drifts higher.

It’s The Final Round said Willson Contreras is a prime over target (hits, total bases, HR/RBI props) against Kevin Gausman. Gausman has surrendered a .310 AVG to right-handed bats over his last three starts and leans on a four-seam fastball 52 % of the time that has been tagged for a .289 AVG this season. Contreras owns a .270 AVG versus four-seamers, a .333 mark versus Gausman’s splitter (36 % usage) and a .308 clip versus his slider. Over the past 10 days Contreras has slashed .348 in 25 PA vs RHP, hitting his ‘hits’ prop in 9-of-10, HR/RBI in 8-of-10 and sits 23rd in MLB with a 40.9 % sweet-spot launch angle. Historically he is 4-for-11 with 2 HR (.364) off Gausman. The tout noted that every statistical and pitch-level box is checked, making Contreras a strong bet to clear 1.5 total bases or record multiple hits/RBIs on Wednesday.

Cash Out Sports Picks sided with Chicago, citing Philadelphia’s offensive collapse—only eight total runs during a five-game skid and Bryce Harper on the IL. Rookie Mick Abel has excelled over 11.1 MLB innings but remains an unknown, whereas Colin Rhea provides a steadier 3.59 ERA and a 3.47 ERA in 23.1 road frames. Chicago’s deeper lineup and stronger recent form make the plus money price attractive, especially against a Phillies squad that has been “completely unable to generate any offense.”

B Wade is also playing Mick Abel under 2.5 earned runs. The Phillies prospect threw a shutout in his debut versus Pittsburgh and allowed just one run his second time out against Toronto, posting a 0.79 ERA and 0.71 WHIP with zero walks so far. He faces a Cubs lineup that leads MLB in runs per game, but Wade points out Chicago managed only two runs in nine innings Monday versus Zack Wheeler. Given Abel’s stingy track record and the Cubs’ recent struggle against top-end stuff, Wade believes the rookie can hold them to two or fewer.

Razzle believes Matthew Boyd belongs in GPP pools because he has scored 20+ DraftKings points in five of his last six starts. Boyd faces a Bryce-Harper-less Phillies lineup and owns a 26% strike-out rate during this run. While his walk rate is higher on the road, he is surrendering fewer home runs away from home, giving him a realistic path to ceiling if he can limit free passes.

Razzle called Zack Wheeler a must-consider pay-up despite a scary Cubs lineup. Wheeler returns from the paternity list fully rested after tossing 110 pitches in back-to-back outings and still owns a 30.3% strike-out rate over his last five starts. Razzle reiterated his season-long stance that Wheeler is "the best actual pitcher in baseball" and expects the workload, strike-out prowess, and potential for seven innings to overcome the tough matchup.