Pat Fantasy Dog Pound argued that Patrick Mahomes sliding into the late-70s and mid-80s is an opportunity we may never see again. While the Chiefs’ pace and explosive-play rate dipped last season, Mahomes still ranked top-6 in EPA per drop-back and leads the league in cumulative passing yards over expected since 2021. Pairing him with a Round-3 Rashee Rice and a Round-9-plus Travis Kelce suddenly costs less draft capital than stacking several tier-two quarterbacks. Pat reminded listeners that Mahomes averages 24.1 fantasy points in games below 35 °F, so the Christmas-night weather in Arrowhead is less scary than it sounds. He is comfortable reaching a round ahead of ADP whenever he starts WR-WR or TE-RB, expecting Rice injury clarity to pull the entire Chiefs stack up 8–12 spots by August.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said Courtland Sutton’s ADP has quietly leveled off in the mid-80s, creating a brief buy window before summer camp hype hits. Denver added only Day-3 rookie Pat Bryant after the draft, leaving Sutton untouched as Bo Nix’s clear No. 1 option. Sutton already owned a 28 % end-zone target share last year (third-highest among WRs), and Sean Payton still called the league’s sixth-highest red-zone pass rate despite an improved defense. Pat believes drafters over-reacted to Denver’s perceived pace downgrade and that Sutton is now the cheapest alpha exposure to the Chiefs-Broncos Week-17 game. He is clicking Sutton at cost whenever he starts a Mahomes or Rashee Rice build and expects the veteran wideout to climb 5–10 spots once beat writers confirm he remains the focal point of the passing attack.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound said he is finally back in on Travis Kelce now that the future Hall-of-Famer routinely slides into the low-100s of BBM6 drafts. Kelce has averaged only 4.5 touchdowns over the past two seasons despite ranking top-3 among tight ends in red-zone targets both years—a classic positive-regression profile. Because Patrick Mahomes sometimes lasts until the 80s and Rashee Rice’s off-field cloud keeps him in Round 3, scooping Kelce around pick 100 lets drafters assemble inexpensive KC double stacks that used to cost three early-round selections. Pat pointed out that Kelce’s combined ownership in the last two BBM finals was under 1 %, so he is deliberately targeting 5–8 % exposure to capture a still-elite ceiling at a barren position. He even joked the nationally televised Christmas-night “Taylor Swift game” could juice Kelce’s touchdown upside, but the real bet is on price, usage and natural TD bounce-back rather than pop-culture narrative.