Drew Martin encouraged bettors to take the Detroit Tigers at –110 behind Casey Mize. The former No. 1 overall pick has won his last two outings and is 2–1 in three starts versus Minnesota this season. Martin trusts Mize over Twins right-hander Zebby Matthews, a 2022 eighth-rounder who is 3–4 with an ERA north of five. Detroit’s bats have shown life after an early-August slump, and Martin gives the Tigers a bullpen edge as well. With the opener flipping from Twins to Tigers overnight, he sees Detroit as a worthwhile short road favorite in Saturday’s nightcap.

Kenny G said backing the Tigers at -115 is justified because Casey Mize (11-4, 3.50 ERA) owns the matchup edge and recent success over Minnesota (6 IP, 3 ER in a 6-3 win on Aug 4). Detroit’s lineup has rediscovered life—run outputs of 7,4,1,6,2,9—and still ranks eighth in both runs and slugging on the season. He contrasted that with a Twins offense posting 0-3-4-1-2-5 over its last six and sitting 23rd in runs and batting average. Minnesota counters with Zebby Matthews (5.11 ERA) and an unreliable 4.33 bullpen, while Detroit’s relief corps has trended down to 4.11. Even acknowledging the Tigers’ ordinary 31-28 road mark, Kenny prefers Mize over Matthews and wants no part of the sputtering Twins bats, making Detroit the play.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended Detroit on the money-line. Casey Mize brings a 3.50 ERA and 1.27 WHIP plus the hotter lineup, while Minnesota’s Ryan Matthews sports a 5.11 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and has surrendered 14 runs in his last 25 innings. The tout argued the Twins’ current skid and pitching disadvantage make them unbackable in this spot.

It's The Final Round noted Carlos Correa’s resurgence—.389 average over the last seven days—and cited Outlier’s 61 % projection for him to collect 2 or more hits/runs/RBI on Friday. While Jordan did not specify the opposing pitcher, he emphasized Correa’s underlying form and lineup spot as reasons to include him in multi-leg hit parlays or as a salary-relief DFS shortstop.

Stephen advised steering clear of Spencer Torkelson in Thursday DFS lineups because the numbers versus Bailey Ober are ugly: just 4-for-22 with seven punch-outs. Ober’s changeup-heavy approach has consistently tied up Torkelson, and the host pointed out that fellow Tiger Javier Baez owns an even worse 1-for-15 line with nine Ks against the Minnesota right-hander. With Detroit’s projected lineup already strikeout-prone and Ober walking very few hitters, Torkelson’s path to a ceiling game is razor thin, making him a strong fade or even an under play on his total bases prop.

Eric Pathi said to grab the Minnesota Twins at +180 on the moneyline against Detroit. Pathi highlighted extreme home-road splits for both clubs: Minnesota, in his words, has been "an amazing home team," while Detroit turns into "a garbage road team." Because the Tigers struggle away from Comerica and the Twins thrive at Target Field yet are still sizeable underdogs, Pathi believes the line misprices the matchup. He tied the play to what he called his most reliable baseball angle—backing plus-money home teams when the market lacks complete information—calling it "the best bet in all of baseball" when those conditions align.

Calling it his “lock of the day,” Kenny G is laying -205 with Detroit. Tarik Skubal is 11-3 with a 2.35 ERA and already annihilated this lineup on June 30th (7 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 13 K). Kenny expects a similar script against a Minnesota offense that ranks 23rd in runs and batting average and has scored 4-1-2-5-0 runs its last five games. Bailey Ober carries a 5.16 ERA and was lit up by Detroit for 11 hits, 7 ER and 4 homers on July 2nd. The Twins bullpen (4.39 ERA, 7th worst in MLB) offers little relief, and injuries continue to thin their lineup. Kenny concedes the Tigers’ bats have cooled but still believes they can “rough up Ober again” enough for Skubal and a middling 4.15 bullpen to secure the win, making Detroit moneyline his favorite wager on the slate.

Lindquist advised DFS players to attack Bailey Ober with Detroit stacks. Ober’s strike-out rate has dipped in recent outings, and his extreme fly-ball profile makes him vulnerable to homers when the ball is carrying. With the Twins bullpen thinned out by deadline trades, he may be asked to pitch longer than usual, increasing exposure to damage. Lindquist specifically likes targeting right-handed power bats that elevate, predicting elevated hard-contact percentages against Ober and noting that Detroit’s midsummer weather tends to reward deep fly balls. The upshot: Ober offers little strike-out floor and plenty of long-ball risk, making Tigers hitters a priority in tournaments and cash builds Thursday.

Eric Lindquist said to ladder Tarik Skubal’s strike-out prop all the way to 11 K’s and even sprinkle an alt 15-K ticket. His confidence comes from several angles: Skubal is still the runaway Cy Young favorite despite allowing four earned runs to the Angels and three to the Phillies in his last two turns; Minnesota just shipped out bullpen pieces and is running a lineup without Willie Castro or many established bats; Lindquist expects the Twins to be demoralized after ownership’s latest salary dump. He added that Skubal’s underlying whiff metrics remain elite and that the Tigers are likely to let him work deep because their own bullpen is thin after a double-header. All of that sets up a ceiling strike-out game that Lindquist believes will break the slate for K-prop bettors and DFS pitchers alike.