Matty Betss said he is hammering Drakkar Klose by decision at +250 in UFC 319. Betss noted that 38-year-old Edson Barboza could easily be 1-4 in his last five if not for a late rally against Sodiq Yusuff, and now has to move back up to 155 where his takedown defense historically dips. Betss expects Klose’s superior strength and chain-wrestling to press Barboza to the fence or plant him on his back, shutting down the flying-knee/head-kick arsenal Barboza needs to win. He projected a 30-27 (possibly 29-28) scorecard for Klose, calling it the safest first leg of his cycle parlay.

Danny Brasco called Edson Barboza by knockout his favorite bet of the entire UFC 319 slate. Brasco believes Barboza’s trademark kicking arsenal will translate even better now that the Brazilian has bulked to 155 lbs, while Drakkar Klose’s durability is eroding. Klose needed neck surgery after a weigh-in shove and was violently stopped by Joel Alvarez in his return; Brasco thinks that shaky medical history plus Klose’s high-guard stance leaves him wide open for Barboza’s body kicks and flying knees. With Barboza hungry to prove he still has highlight-reel power, Brasco prefers the KO prop to the moneyline, expecting the veteran to close the show inside the distance rather than rely on judges.

Danny Brasco laid –135 on Edson Barboza, arguing the 39-year-old’s return to lightweight restores both power and durability. Barboza just went five rounds with elite featherweights and should carry even more snap now that he is no longer draining to 145. Brasco expects Barboza’s trademark switch kicks and uppercuts to punish Drakkar Klose, a fighter he labels hittable and injury-prone—Klose was wobbled by a Joel Alvarez jab last time out and once required neck surgery after a Jeremy Stephens shove at weigh-ins. Both men are similar in age, but Barboza has stayed far more active. Brasco doubts Klose can impose his wrestler-boxer clinch game on a full-size 155-pound Barboza and thinks one clean body kick or counter right ends the night, making the modest favorite price a buy.

Andy Lang advised eating the -205 on Karine Silva against short-notice opponent Diana Barbosa at UFC 319. Barbosa accepted the bout on roughly two weeks’ notice, while Silva has been in a full camp and is eager to rebound from her recent loss. Lang flagged Barbosa’s inability to get up after Miranda Maverick’s lone takedown as evidence Silva’s wrestling and top control will translate. Once grounded, Silva can either ride out rounds or hunt the submission, making her moneyline a safe parlay piece despite the juice.

Jim Malaro agrees Barboza is the side but urged patience, predicting the moneyline will drift toward even money as public love for Drakkar Klose continues. Malaro believes Barboza’s return to 155 lbs is a net positive—he no longer has to drain himself making 145 and can rely on speed, movement, and "crispy striking." He highlighted Klose’s upright stance, poor leg-kick defense, and waning killer instinct since the neck injury. Expecting Barboza to chip away until Klose wilts, Malaro is eyeing both an improved moneyline later in the week and Barboza-inside-the-distance props.

Andy Lang recommended betting Edson Barboza at the current -135 moneyline, framing the wager mainly as a fade of Drakkar Klose. Lang noted Klose’s post-whiplash run has included only one true step-up fight—Joel Alvarez—who "absolutely nuked" him. He questioned Klose’s reluctance to engage, back-foot style, and an inflated 15-3 record built on favorable matchmaking. Barboza, meanwhile, has remained competitive with higher-level names such as Lerone Murphy, Sodiq Yusuff, and Giga Chikadze and still brings high-volume kick-heavy pressure that will read well to judges. Lang believes the short price on Barboza offers clear value before the market corrects.

Madlab Michael Lurato sided with Edson Barboza at the current –150 number, saying bettors still underrate how hard Barboza cracks. He highlighted Barboza’s explosive body kicks, snap in his punches, and the durability he showed fighting through past cardio issues. In Madlab’s view, Drakkar Klose’s most realistic path is a ‘dirty, grimy decision,’ and he needs to prove he can walk through that punishment first. Age is a concern, but Barboza’s conditioning held up last time out, so Lurato believes the market correctly lists him as a slight favorite and will pick Barboza to cash that side.

Sniper backed Edson Barboza at $8,300 on DraftKings, passing on any hedge with Drakkar Klose. He cited the −150 prop for the fight to reach a decision, noting that Barboza’s superior hand speed and explosiveness give him both scoring ceiling and floor. Sniper does not expect Klose’s wrestling to stick, calling Barboza the clearly better striker even though both men are late in their careers (Klose 37, Barboza 39). Because Barboza is favored to land the lone "big moment" if one happens, Sniper is comfortable locking him in a limited-exposure, two-to-three-star fight and fading the other side entirely.

Sniper plans to funnel nearly all of his exposure to Edson Barboza, predicting a pure stand-up fight where Drakkar Klose’s wrestling won’t materialize. He sees Barboza as the quicker, more technical striker and doubts Klose’s finishing upside in a matchup favored to go the distance. At a mid-range $8.3K salary, Sniper calls Barboza a solid tournament piece while fading Klose in both GPP and cash builds.

Monk picked Edson Barboza at $8.3K, citing Drakkar Klose’s 22nd-percentile leg-strike defense and Barboza’s elite kicking game. Klose lands only 0.55 takedowns per five minutes, while Barboza defends at 75 percent, so Monk expects a pure striking match and favors the Brazilian’s speed and power. Although the fight-to-decision prop sits at ‑150, Barboza has appeared on the optimal lineup in his last three victories by scoring 90+ DK points. Monk views him as the only cash-viable side and a moderate-exposure tournament play, fading Klose entirely.

Calling it his favorite dog on the slate, Matty Betss endorsed Drakkar Klose at +115 to upset Edson Barboza. Betss hammered Klose’s 64 % takedown accuracy and willingness to mat return opponents, reminding listeners that a much smaller Bryce Mitchell dominated Barboza on the floor. Klose is the younger, fresher lightweight with fewer wars and should carry a noticeable strength advantage in the clinch. Barboza has dropped three of his last five and was nearly 1-4 if not for a late comeback versus Sodiq Yusuff. Betss sees Klose chain-wrestling early, melting clock from top position and forcing Barboza to swing wild counters when he’s tired. Sprinkle Klose decision or even late ground-and-pound props, but Betss’ core wager is the dog money-line.