Billy Ward fired on Gerald Meerschaert by submission at +450 instead of the shorter moneyline. He reminded listeners that 12 of GM3’s 13 UFC wins are submissions and five of Oleksiejczuk’s seven UFC defeats are via tap-out. Ward expects Oleksiejczuk’s cardio to crater after a hectic opening round, creating scrambles where Meerschaert’s high-level black-belt skills can close the show at any time – even late, when Oleksiejczuk historically fades.

Sean Zerillo said the striker-versus-grappler dynamic screams violence. He highlighted Oleksiejczuk’s trademark body-head combinations and the way he walks opponents onto the fence, noting Gerald Meerschaert’s durability has failed in four of his last six defeats. Zerillo likes Oleksiejczuk by round-1 knockout at +245 and the under 1.5 rounds at –125 because 10 of the pair’s 12 UFC finishes occurred inside seven minutes. If the Pole fails to get the early kill, Zerillo plans to live-bet Meerschaert by submission once Oleksiejczuk’s output drops, citing that 12 of GM3’s 13 UFC victories are by tap-out while five of Oleksiejczuk’s seven career losses came the same way.

Claudia Bellofatto paired the Oleksiejczuk money-line with the fight to end inside 1.5 rounds at +110. She pointed out that six of Oleksiejczuk’s last eight bouts have closed inside the opening frame and each of his last five victories came by knockout. The Pole is landing 5.27 significant strikes per minute with 51 percent accuracy, numbers Bellofatto contrasted with Meerschaert’s “loose defense” and fading chin. Books agree on violence – the ‘doesn’t go distance’ prop sits at ‑380 – but Claudia likes the plus money because Oleksiejczuk is also seven years younger, owns clear hand-speed and has shored up defensive grappling since moving to Brazil and training with “the fighting nerds” under Kyle Barallo. In her view GM3’s only path is the mat, and he will not survive long enough to get it there.

Bellofatto built a two-legger at +110: Michal ‘Hussar’ Oleksiejczuk money-line paired with under 1.5 rounds. Books have ‘fight doesn’t go distance’ juiced to –380 because it is classic striker-vs-grappler violence—Oleksiejczuk’s southpaw body hooks and blitzes have produced nine first-round KOs, while Gerald Meerschaert owns 27 career submissions. Bellofatto believes Oleksiejczuk’s hand speed and pressure make an early knockout more likely than another Meerschaert hail-mary choke, so hitching his ML to the short total turns heavy chalk into plus money. She purposely avoided piling on extra legs, calling the +110 number simple but strong given the matchup’s binary, finish-heavy profile.

Madlab Michael Lurato said Gerald Meerschaert is the only side worth rostering in this pricing tier on DraftKings. Olin Church is tagged with a $9,000 salary normally reserved for dependable finishers, but Lurato argued Church is far too volatile and could win without cracking 90 DFS points. Meerschaert, on the other hand, costs just $7,200. Lurato called him a "borderline punt play" who would "blow the cover off that 7,200" in any victory because GM3’s submission-heavy style generally produces bonuses and grappling advances. If you need salary relief and are comfortable with risk, Lurato recommends locking Meerschaert in and fading Church.

Madlab Michael Lurato broke down DraftKings pricing and called Michal Oleksiejczuk’s $9,000 salary "no way" justifiable because the Pole isn’t a lock to clear 90 fantasy points even if he scores a knockout. Meanwhile, Gerald Meerschaert at $7,200 is a "borderline punt play" that frees salary for premium fighters and still carries late-round submission upside. Lurato noted that a quick Oleksiejczuk KO doesn’t automatically translate to a leaderboard-winning score and that GM3’s grappling volume and finishing potential make him the smarter salary saver in GPP builds.

Dan Tom declared he is "a GM3 dog guy all day," staking 1.5 units on Gerald Meerschaert at +185 and layering 0.33u on Meerschaert by submission at +350 plus 0.117u on a round-two submission at +1200. He framed the matchup as classic Meerschaert: a durable comeback grappler facing a one-round KO artist. Supporting data: Meerschaert is 2-4 versus UFC southpaws but should be 3-3 after a disputed loss to Eryk Anders; Oleksiejczuk is 1-2-1 against southpaws with both defeats coming by round-two submission (OSP and Kyle Bahio) and once popped for EPO. The total is set at 1.5 rounds—prime territory for GM3’s historical round-two finishes. Tom stressed Meerschaert’s middleweight records for submissions and overall finishes and noted that blind-betting GM3 as an underdog has been profitable long-term. Even if the Pole lands an early KO, Tom believes the plus-money edge justifies the play and the prop sprinkles.

Gumby Vreeland labeled Gerald Meerschaert his "dog of the week" and advised taking Meerschaert by submission at +400 instead of the +200 moneyline. He cited Olesiejczuk’s repeated grappling lapses – "been submitted a billion times" – and Meerschaert’s 27 career tap-outs. Because GM3 almost never wins without grabbing a neck or limb, Vreeland argues the sub prop doubles the payout while capturing the most realistic outcome.

Gumby Vreeland targeted Gerald Meerschaert by submission at +400. Vreeland highlighted that Michal Oleksiejczuk “has been submitted a billion times,” referencing tap-outs to Caio Borralho, Ovince Saint Preux, and Jimmy Crute. Meerschaert owns 27 career subs and sits second all-time in UFC middleweight submissions. Vreeland expects Meerschaert to weather early boxing, drag the fight to the mat, and find the neck, making the +400 sub line – nearly double the moneyline – the clear value play.