Kenny G prefers taking the Giants at +150 over laying –178 with Clayton Kershaw, arguing the market is still pricing the 37-year-old like peak Kershaw. The left-hander is fresh off a five-inning, one-run effort against St. Louis, but Kenny emphasized that Kershaw has not topped six innings all season and that exposes bettors to a Dodgers bullpen carrying a 4.03 ERA. In contrast, San Francisco brings baseball’s best relief unit (2.51 ERA) and has locked down multiple comeback wins this month. Starter Landen Roupp has flashed a 3.29 ERA and already navigated tough lineups like Atlanta; Kenny expects five solid innings before turning it over to that shutdown pen. The Giants’ offense has woken up—posting 6, 7, 10, 6, 4, 3 and 5 runs in its last seven—while the Dodgers’ bats remain lethal but are priced into the line. Given Los Angeles’ 22-12 to the over record at home, Kenny could see a case for a total play but believes the sharper angle is riding the superior bullpen at a juicy dog price. He labelled San Francisco a “significant lean” and a better investment than trusting Kershaw to defy age for a full night.

Guy Boston Sports recommended Dodgers TEAM TOTAL OVER 4.5 runs despite Landon Rupp’s recent surge. He noted Rupp’s worst start of 2025 came last time out and expects at least some regression as he enters Dodger Stadium with 75-degree temps and a breeze blowing out. Los Angeles has scored 5-plus in 60 % of its home games and a staggering 64 % when facing right-handed pitching. Clayton Kershaw’s shorter outings lately could expose a middling LA bullpen, so backing the offense directly avoids late-inning variance. The tout added that San Francisco’s relief corps may be tired after heavy usage Friday, increasing the chances LA tags the pen if Rupp survives the first trip through. With the Dodgers coming off a loss and owning clear lineup superiority, he prefers TT-over 4.5 at standard juice and would consider an F5 run-line play if books hang –130 or better.

In a late audible, Guy Boston Sports added OVER 0.5 strikeouts for Michael Conforto at –150. Conforto has recorded at least one K in 42 of 62 games this year (68%), despite a recent 4-for-10 stretch. The tout pointed to pitch-type data: Conforto owns a staggering 44.4% strikeout rate versus curveballs and 24% versus sinkers. Landon Rup deploys those two offerings as his primary weapons, making the matchup ideal. Season-long whiff metrics (25.4% overall K-rate, .279 wOBA against Rup’s arsenal) outweigh the hitter’s modest recent improvement. Even with only a 40% cash rate over the last 10 games, the tout believes Rup’s pitch mix and Conforto’s susceptibility create solid value at the current juice.

Guy Boston Sports recommended UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs for Michael Conforto at –140 on DraftKings. Conforto has failed to clear this line in 7 of his last 10 outings (0.9 H+R+RBI per game) and in 42 of 62 overall this season (68%, 1.13 per game). At home, he is even colder, staying under in four of the past five with only 0.4 combined events per game. The tout highlighted Conforto’s .172 AVG and 77.6 wRC+ against right-handed pitching, numbers that sink further to .156 AVG and 68.8 wRC+ versus Landon Rup’s pitch mix (heavy curveball/sinker). Rup’s splits versus left-handed bats show reduced AVG, HR/9, and wOBA allowed, reinforcing the fade. With the Dodgers’ lineup scuffling (6-2 loss last night) and Conforto profiling poorly against both pitch types he’ll see most, the tout expects another quiet night at the plate.

The Bettor Mark locked in Dodgers over 4.5 runs at –125, framing it as a classic bounce-back spot after LA mustered only two hits in Friday’s 6-2 loss to Logan Webb. With Clayton Kershaw on the mound Saturday, the Dodgers are –174 favorites, but Mark prefers the team-total angle to avoid laying a heavy moneyline. He expects the offense to "get back to hitting the baseball at home very well" against a Giants staff that will not have Webb’s elite command on short rest. In his view, if the Dodgers win—as he anticipates—they do so by lighting up the scoreboard, making the over 4.5 a better value than the moneyline.

Gianni the Greek said he grabbed the Colorado Rockies first-five team-total under 2.5 runs on Thursday. He pointed to Giants spot-starter Burt Song allowing more than 2.5 runs only once in his last four outings and rarely sticking around long enough for a third trip through the order. Gianni also highlighted a brutal travel spot for Colorado— the club played a very late game last night and now turns around for an early afternoon start— a pattern that historically depresses run production. With a sharp early arm on the mound and groggy Rockies bats, Gianni projects one, maybe two Colorado runs through five at most.

Just A Bet Outside advised taking the Giants team total under 3.5 runs at ‑136 (½-unit). San Francisco is flying from Coors Field to Dodger Stadium, a well-documented dead spot for bats. Removing their Coors games, they have stayed under 3.5 in 14 of 20 road contests and sit bottom-five in WRC+, slugging and ISO versus righties away from home during the past month. Yoshinobu Yamamoto owns a 2.2 ERA, ~30% strikeout rate, 95th-percentile ground-ball mark and just 6.0 hits allowed per nine. Outside of two hiccups against the Yankees and D-backs (top-five offenses), he has surrendered two or fewer earned runs in 10 of 11 starts. With the Dodgers bullpen fresh after a day off and likely covering only two innings, the tout said a shutout is firmly in play and projects 0-3 San Francisco runs.

Just A Bet Outside recommended locking in Freddie Freeman for DFS lineups because of his strong history against Giants ace Logan Webb. Freeman is 14-for-37 lifetime (.378) versus Webb, the best mark among Dodgers highlighted. The host noted that Betts (10-for-29) and Muncy (9-for-27) also hit Webb well, but Freeman’s sample is both the largest and most productive, making him the preferred high-salary Dodger in cash builds and stacks.

The tout noted Shohei Ohtani’s 4-for-11 (.364) history versus Logan Webb and his nine hits over the last ten games, calling it another strong "record a hit" angle for bettors.

It's The Final Round listed Mookie Betts as a "good, better matchup" target to record a hit. Betts owns a 10-for-25 lifetime line against Logan Webb (.400 AVG) with two homers. He’s also hit safely in 11 of his last 14 games. Those splits plus current form make Betts a viable one-off or parlay leg in the tout’s eyes.