Seth Walder recommended betting Mahomes at +425 for MVP, arguing the market swung too far toward Josh Allen (+175) after Buffalo’s win over Kansas City. Walder pointed out that Allen still sits only 11th in QBR this season, while Mahomes remains the metric’s perennial king. He believes it would be an upset for Allen to outperform Mahomes in efficiency over the final eight weeks, especially with Kansas City’s schedule softening. Because sportsbooks do not offer a "No on Allen" prop, Walder sees Mahomes’ temporarily inflated number as the best way to fade the current favorite.