MMA Guru sided with Jun Yong Park to out-work Ismail Naurdiev in a high-pace, three-round war. He reminded listeners that Park was taking over before getting clipped against Gregory Rodrigues and comfortably out-pointed veterans like Eric Anders and Brad Tavares, showing he can sustain 15-minute output despite being an undersized 5'10" middleweight. Guru doubts Naurdiev’s finishing upside— pointing out the Austrian’s short-notice win over a washed Bruno Silva and a recent regional loss that would have kept him out of the UFC had he not stepped in. While Naurdiev’s defensive grappling and opportunistic submissions make early takedowns risky, Guru believes Park’s superior cardio, relentless pocket combinations and proven ability to crank the tempo will seize rounds two and three. He expects Park to cash as a moderate favorite, likely via 29-28 decision after overwhelming a fading Naurdiev down the stretch.

Guru took the MORE than 49.5 significant strikes on Jun Yong Park, noting Park’s track record of volume kickboxing and frequent decisions. Park has eclipsed 50 sig strikes in three of his last four wins, and Guru expects another full-length fight where Park mixes jabs and short combos at a pace that should exceed the prop.

Although Sniper is officially picking Jun Yong Park to win, he admitted he will have more DraftKings exposure to Ismail Naurdiev because the $1,200 price gap creates much-needed mid-range salary relief on a slate loaded with heavy favorites he wants to roster. Sniper sees the fight as closer than the –185 betting line suggests, pointing to Naurdiev’s sharper defense and improved wrestling since his UFC return. He believes Naurdiev can keep exchanges competitive and potentially land takedowns of his own, making a 10× salary return very realistic. In single-entry builds, Sniper plans to be overweight on the underdog while still acknowledging Park’s higher raw floor.

Monk picked Ismail Naurdiev outright at $7.5K, arguing that the Austrian’s revamped wrestling and airtight defense give him real upset equity over the popular Iron Turtle. Naurdiev allows only 1.52 significant strikes per minute since returning, showed improved cardio while logging six minutes of top control against Bruno Silva, and is still just 28 with 31 pro fights of experience. Park throws more volume, especially in Round 2, but absorbs nearly four sig-strikes per minute and has been out-controlled by grapplers like Andre Muniz (11 takedowns surrendered, 10:00 top time). Monk cited the fact that a Park fight has produced an optimal-lineup score in six of his last seven appearances—win or lose—as proof the matchup is DFS-friendly on either side, but the salary discount and Park’s hittability make Naurdiev his preferred leverage play.

Madlab Michael Lurato backed JunYong Park at –195, forecasting that ‘The Iron Turtle’ will drown the mercurial Ismael Naurdiev with forward pressure and clinch work before finding a grappling finish. Lurato conceded Naurdiev owns the higher athletic ceiling—quicker strikes, cleaner kicks—but blasted his inconsistency, pointing to a revolving door of UFC wins and losses and long stretches where he appears uninterested. Park, by contrast, is ‘grimier than a Jersey dive bar after last call’: he marches down opponents, forces body-lock exchanges and happily eats shots to close distance. Madlab expects a feeling-out span early, then Park to ramp pace, smother Naurdiev against the fence and drag him to the mat. Given Park’s 2.13 takedowns per 15 minutes and three submissions in his last five wins, Lurato likes sprinkling Park by Sub around +350 or simply banking the money-line as a dependable parlay anchor, confident the Korean’s work-rate beats the Austrian’s flashes of talent.

Kunath sided with ‘The Iron Turtle’ Jun Yong Park to out-wrestle Ishmael Naurdiev for three rounds. Naurdiev brings height, reach, and explosiveness at middleweight, but Kunath reminded listeners the Austrian was manhandled by Sean Brady at 170 and has not faced a dedicated clinch grinder since 2020. Park, despite being 34, has routinely dragged better athletes into the fence, chained singles into bodylocks, taken backs, and ridden out position for full rounds. Kunath is unimpressed by Naurdiev’s recent win over the rapidly fading Bruno Silva and believes Park’s rinse-and-repeat mat control wins 30-27s. Bet suggestion: Park by DEC at plus money or Park moneyline in parlays.

Kunath sided with 34-year-old ‘Iron Turtle’ Jun Yong Park to smother Ismail Naurdiev for a clear decision. While Naurdiev owns edges in youth, length, speed and raw striking power, he was grounded and held by Sean Brady at 170 and hasn’t faced Park’s brand of clinch-to-back-ride suffocation in years. Park routinely drags men down, takes the back and racks up control; Kunath believes the same blueprint works here because Naurdiev’s Brunno Silva knockout doesn’t impress when ‘everyone beats Silva these days.’ Expect Park to neutralize long kicks, bully inside, mat return repeatedly and cruise to 30-27s. Decision props plus Park moneyline are the angles.

Millz Young moved from initially leaning Naurdiev to ultimately backing Jun Yong Park after tape study. Park opened around -200 and Millz thinks any line dip is buying opportunity because Park owns sharper boxing, usable wrestling of his own, proven cardio, and a far deeper UFC resume (only losing to Andre Muniz and one other name). Millz acknowledged Park’s occasional issues getting up off his back, but noted Naurdiev lacks true power and therefore won’t punish those situations the way elite wrestlers would.

Bedtime MMA sees gatekeeper JunYong “Iron Turtle” Park submitting Ismail Naurdiev. He framed Park as the division’s consummate jobber-beater, citing recent wins over Albert Duraev and Joseph Holmes. Naurdiev’s split decision over a shop-worn Bruno Silva did not impress him, especially given Silva’s decline after wars with Alex Pereira and Chris Weidman. Bedtime expects Park’s chin, cardio, and sizable grappling edge to take over by rounds two or three, forecasting either a late choke or a dominant control-heavy decision. Park submission props and money-line were endorsed.