Kenny G leaned to the Twins at –120 behind Bailey Ober. Ober is 4-1 with a 3.68 ERA and already held Kansas City to one earned run over 6 IP on April 10. He has allowed two earned or fewer in six of eight starts, and Minnesota’s top-three bullpen (3.05 ERA) protects leads. Kenny contrasted that with the punch-less Royals lineup (26th in runs, 26th SLG, recent game log of 4-1-8-2-3) that too often strands solid outings from its own starters. He admitted KC hurler "could be great," but worries the Royals provide zero run support. Given Minnesota’s 18-7 home record and incremental improvement at the plate (scoring 5-3-1-6-2-7 over their last six), Kenny sees value in the short money-line price.

Kenny G advised betting Under 7.5 in Royals-Twins. He pointed out that both bullpens are elite—Kansas City’s relief corps owns a 3.27 ERA (5th best) while Minnesota’s sits at 3.05 (3rd). Offensively the clubs are near the bottom of MLB; the Royals rank 26th in runs and slugging and have produced just 4-1-8-2-3 runs their last five, while the Twins are only 20th in runs and batting average. Ball-park trends back him up: Kansas City is 17-9-1 to the under on the road and Minnesota 15-9-1 to the under at Target Field. With neither lineup in form and two sturdy pens ready to shorten the game, Kenny expects a 3-2 or 4-2 type of finish.

Ron played the UNDER behind Chris Bubich—second-best ERA among qualified starters—and Bailey Ober, who sports a 2.59 ERA with 25 K in 24.1 home innings. He highlighted Minnesota’s sub-700 May OPS and high K-rate versus lefties, plus Kansas City’s general struggles against quality righties. With both bullpens dependable and Target Field suppressing power, Romanelli projects a tight, low-scoring affair.

Kenny G advised betting Under 8 runs in Royals-Twins. His case hinged on both clubs ranking bottom-10 in run production (KC 26th, MIN 21st) while each bullpen owns a sub-3.30 ERA. Michael Wacha (2.86 ERA; four quality starts in his last five) faces rookie Zevi Matthews, but Kenny stressed that the real angle is two sputtering offenses and two stadium trends: Kansas City is 16-8-1 to the under on the road and Minnesota is 14-8-1 to the under at Target Field. With rain in the area and both lineups lacking pop—KC sits 25th in OBP, MIN 20th in SLG—he believes eight runs is a tick too high and expects a 3-2 or 4-3 type affair.

Scott Reichel said the plus-105 on Kansas City is worth taking because Michael Wacha has been quietly excellent (2.86 ERA, three or fewer earned in all six starts) while rookie left-hander Anthony Matthews was chased after three innings in his lone big-league outing and still has control issues (three walks, 1.67 WHIP). Minnesota is 16-7 at Target Field, but Reichel believes that home dominance is already baked into the Twins’ –125 price. He expects Wacha to work into the sixth, lean on his change-up to neutralize the twins’ left-handed power and hand a lead to a rested Royals bullpen that owns a 3.14 ERA in May. He projected a 4-3 Kansas City win and advised grabbing the dog now before sharps push the line toward pick’em.

Mark labeled the Royals a “best bet” at +105 in Minnesota. His reasoning: Zebby Matthews has only one MLB start (3 IP, 4 ER) and the Twins lineup is shorthanded with Byron Buxton sidelined. Kansas City counters with Michael Wacha, whom Mark trusts more on the road than the rookie on the other side. He also does not trust the back half of the Twins’ bullpen and notes a classic zig-zag angle: Minnesota won yesterday, so he expects regression today. If KC’s bats wake up, Mark believes they can surpass their team total and cash the plus-money money-line.

Drew Martin said the Royals are live dogs in Minnesota because Michael Wacha is simply dealing right now. The 33-year-old owns a sub-3.00 ERA, has won each of his last two decisions, and has allowed only three earned runs over his last 18 innings (one earned run per start in that span). Meanwhile, rookie Zebby Matthews makes just his second MLB start for the Twins after posting a 7.00 ERA last season and surrendering four earned in three innings with three walks in his 2025 debut against Milwaukee. Martin labeled it a classic “wrong team favored” spot and advised grabbing Kansas City at +110.

Kenny G said bettors should jump on Under 7.5 because everything points to a low-scoring grinder. Rookie lefty Noah Cameron has a microscopic 0.71 ERA through two outings, while Pablo Lopez counters with a 2.40 mark and is coming off six shut-out frames versus Milwaukee. Both relief units are nasty—Kansas City sits fifth in MLB with a 3.22 bullpen ERA and Minnesota is even better at 3.09—so Kenny doubts either starter will be punished if they exit early. Offensively, the Royals rank 26th in runs and 24th in OBP, and the Twins sit 17th in runs and 21st in slugging, each scoring two runs or fewer in two of their last three. Park- and trend-wise the under is screaming: KC is 16-8-1 to the under on the road, Minnesota 14-8-1 at Target Field. Kenny forecasted a 3-2 type finish and said Under 7.5 is ‘super live’ for his card.

Lonte Smith grabbed Kansas City at +140 and paired it with the full-game Under 7.5. Rookie southpaw Mitchell Cameron has yielded one total run across his first two big-league starts, tightening his command after five walks in the debut. Minnesota owns just a .223 average versus left-handed pitching and has scored three or fewer in seven of its last ten. Pablo Lopez has been sharp—two earned or fewer in six of seven—but the Royals are 7-3 in the last ten meetings and took three of four in April, with every game finishing Under and none reaching more than seven combined runs. Smith envisions another 3-2 type affair and would play Kansas City down to +125 while keeping the Under as a separate wager.

Alongside the run-line, Peterson bet Over 7.5 (model 8.3). Cameron’s low strikeout, high walk profile and Lopez’s 3.94 home ERA point to traffic on the bases. Minnesota’s offense ranks ninth at home while Kansas City’s young lineup has shown power spikes. With a warm Minneapolis forecast and middle-relief units stretched, Peterson projects both clubs combining for eight or more.

Peterson took Twins -1.5 at +135 (power line +123). Rookie lefty Noah Cameron has given up just one run in 12⅔ innings but owns a 4.34 FIP, strikes out only 4.3 per nine and walks 3.6, suggesting regression. Minnesota’s Pablo Lopez sports a 2.40 ERA overall and the Twins average 4.6 runs per game at Target Field, ninth-best in MLB. Peterson expects Lopez to work deep and the offense to separate, justifying the plus-money run-line.