Madlab Michael Lurato said Bobby Green’s hands-down, shoulder-roll style is a "young man’s game" because it depends entirely on reaction time. After years of cage mileage and several recent knockouts, Green is now, in Lurato’s words, "a slight centimeter behind," leading to defensive lapses that never happened three or five years ago. Lurato views Diego Ferreira as the sturdier fighter at this stage, pointing to Ferreira’s grappling-first skill set, legitimate BJJ finishing ability, and "decent hands" that can exploit Green’s slower reactions. Because Green refuses to adjust—"he’s not going to evolve… he’s going to fight the way he fights"—Lurato expects the same errors to repeat and predicted Ferreira "has a good shot finishing this fight inside the distance." The actionable takeaway: bet Ferreira money-line or look for inside-the-distance/KO-sub props against an aging, defensively eroding Green.

Sniper leaned slightly toward King Green because he trusts Green’s movement and boxing to frustrate Ferreira over extended exchanges. He will not bet Green straight but intends to be overweight in DFS given the recent trend of first-round finishes on both sides and odds that favor a stoppage. Acknowledging Green’s recent KO losses, Sniper still sees the better pure striker in Green and expects him to land at volume if he avoids the mat.

Monk picked Diego Ferreira while planning heavy DFS ownership to both sides. Ferreira is just 2-4 in his last six, but those losses came to wrestlers who shot a combined 41 takedowns. King Green has attempted exactly one takedown in his last ten fights and has been finished in three of his last four bouts. Monk believes Ferreira “can crack,” citing the 2023 knockdown of Michael Johnson, and expects this veteran vs veteran matchup (40 vs 38 years old) to end inside the distance (ITD –155).