It's The Final Round circled Cal Raleigh against Brandon Fott. Fott has been torched by lefties (.440 BA last three starts) and sports a league-worst 46.7% launch-angle sweet-spot against (363rd/366). Raleigh counters with a 38.6% sweet-spot rate (47th) and a .346 average vs righties in the past 10 days (48 PA). He’s hit safely in 15 of 17, clearing his hits prop 9/10 and HRR 7/10. The tout forecasted another multi-base day and suggested betting hits, total bases and, for DFS, hunting his long-ball upside.

Kenny G recommended laying the modest –115 with Seattle behind Bryan Woo, arguing the pitching gap outweighs the Diamondbacks’ offensive firepower. Woo owns a 5-3 record and 3.07 ERA, and although his last three starts were shaky (10 H/2 ER at HOU, 3 ER & 2 HR vs MIN, 4 ER & 2 HR vs BAL), Kenny expects a bounce-back against an opponent that just scored 2-1-3-4 runs in its previous four and strikes out 23.5% of the time versus righties. Crucially, Arizona counters with Brandon Pfaadt, whose 5.51 ERA includes blow-ups of 5, 8, 3, 3 and 4 earned runs in his last five. Kenny doubts Pfaadt lasts long, and the D-backs’ bullpen is a disaster (5.28 ERA, fourth worst in MLB), while Seattle’s relief corps is at least competent (3.74 ERA). Venue data offers no disqualifier—Seattle is 17-14 on the road; Arizona just 15-17 at home—and the early total of 8.5 sits in a dead zone, so Kenny prefers the straight side. In his words, "Woo is really good; that might be enough" to tilt a toss-up toward the Mariners.

Power prefers Seattle as an underdog because rookie Emerson Hancock has allowed three or fewer runs in four straight starts, giving the M’s a fighting chance. Neither team is hot, but Arizona just got swept in Cincinnati, producing only six runs in three games, whereas Seattle enters off a Sunday win. With both offenses scuffling, Power simply wants the plus-money side attached to the steadier recent pitching line and a bit of momentum.

Razzle will take shots on Merrill Kelly, citing a 1.08 WHIP and .214 opponent average at Chase Field. Kelly rarely allows homers— every long ball he has surrendered has come in just four of his starts—while his strike-out rate has quietly ticked up over the last month. Seattle is a boom-bust lineup that leads the league in strike-out rate (28% vs RHP), giving Kelly sneaky eight-K potential at a mid-range price.