Kenny G called the Mets –260 his latest “lock of the day,” even at the hefty price. Tylor Megill owns a 3.77 ERA and is coming off a six-inning, four-run outing versus the Dodgers— nothing to panic about, according to Kenny— and he now faces the worst lineup in baseball. Colorado is 12-51 overall, dead last in runs, OBP, and virtually every offensive metric, and sends 23-year-old Chase Dollander (6.26 ERA) to the hill after a three-inning, two-earned clunker against Miami. The Rockies bullpen sits just above 4.00, while New York’s relief corps has been top-two in MLB most of the season. Offensively, the Mets rank 10th in runs and 6th in OBP, with Pete Alonso heating up and Francisco Lindor delivering in late-game spots despite a broken toe. New York is a modest 16-17 on the road but that still dwarfs Colorado’s 6-23 mark at Coors. Kenny deemed the total (10.5–11) too tricky, but believes the pitching and lineup mismatch justifies paying the tax on the Mets moneyline.

Bettor Mark advised targeting Francisco Lindor’s hitting props (total bases, RBIs, or even a home-run sprinkle) when the Mets face rookie left-hander Carson Palmquist in Colorado. Mark recalled that Lindor and Pete Alonso "were fascinating yesterday" against another southpaw and believes Palmquist "is going to give it up" in the altitude of Coors Field. Although he is passing on the Mets’ lofty seven-run team total and the –2 run-line requirement, Mark still wants exposure to New York’s right-handed thunder. With a game total of 11 and the Rockies’ bullpen struggles, he expects multiple run-producing opportunities and prefers riding Lindor’s individual prop markets for value.