Claudia Bellofatto is laying the +1.5—or simply taking the moneyline—on Miami in Week 1 at Indianapolis. She notes the line is shorter than a typical three-point home spread, reflecting Indy’s uncertainty. The Colts rely too heavily on Jonathan Taylor, ranked sixth in rush rate, and field an underwhelming receiver group that finished bottom-10 in red-zone efficiency. They also lost key offensive-line pieces, and Anthony Richardson’s shoulder was already barking at OTAs. Bellofatto expects Miami’s diverse, explosive offense to exploit those weaknesses and win outright.