Sean Zerillo identified Michael Chandler as a predictable fade for live betting opportunities after round one against Paddy Pimblett at UFC 314. Zerillo underlined Chandler's notorious habit of throwing exhausting, powerful strikes early and frequently gassing out considerably in later rounds. Zerillo noted historically profitable situations betting against Chandler live in fights like Dustin Poirier, where Chandler depleted his energy reserves after aggressive opening rounds. Zerillo acknowledged Chandler's second wind against Charles Oliveira but maintained that generally, Chandler’s energy expenditure leads to quick deterioration in performance. Zerillo indicated potential for Pimblett to capitalize with durability, size advantages, and late-round finish opportunities.

Billy Ward discussed the unconventional potential for Paddy Pimblett securing a knockout via ground and pound at UFC 314 due to Chandler's questionable chin. Ward called attention to Chandler's repeatedly exposed durability, notably being knocked down by Tony Ferguson and other recent opponents. Despite Pimblett lacking notable standing knockout power, Ward emphasized Paddy's MMA-adapted jiu-jitsu style effectively sets up strong ground control, from which he could land damaging strikes leading to a stoppage win. Ward clarified he wouldn't anticipate a standing knockout, seeing Pimblett's striking-based finish more realistically materializing through sustained ground and pound.

Billy Ward expressed preliminary interest in betting Paddy Pimblett via submission at +250 odds in the UFC 314 co-main event against Michael Chandler. Ward acknowledged Chandler's technical wrestling advantage while highlighting Chandler's habit of making critical mistakes during ground encounters. Ward remained tentative about how the fight transitions to the ground, noting Pimblett's creative submission entries standing or off wild scrambles could provide a pathway. Though uncertain, Ward identified this method of victory as one of the two likeliest fight-ending scenarios.

Kunath identified Paddy Pimblett as a valuable DFS piece for UFC 314, highlighting his wrestling advantage and potential for multiple takedowns (3-5 times predicted) against Michael Chandler. Pimblett's five-round fight gives him an extended opportunity to score DraftKings points through grappling exchanges and extensive control time. While not mandatory in every lineup, Kunath recommended Pimblett as an optimal candidate, especially in single-entry tournaments, given Pimblett's high DFS ceiling and favorable stylistic matchup.

Kunath strongly recommended fading Michael Chandler in DFS lineups at UFC 314, despite Chandler's attractive price ($7800) and five-round fight opportunity. He views Chandler as severely outmatched against Paddy Pimblett, explicitly making the case that Pimblett has a high probability of replicating Dustin Poirier's rear-naked choke victory over Chandler. Given Chandler's vulnerability to submissions—even from less submission-oriented fighters—Kunath stated clearly that Chandler should not be included in DFS lineup builds due to low confidence and poor winning probability.

Matty Betss has confidently targeted Paddy Pimblett by submission (+240) against Michael Chandler, seeing clear value given Chandler's susceptibility and Pimblett's grappling opportunism. Matty cited Chandler's history of submission vulnerability, specifically highlighting Chandler's submission loss to Dustin Poirier. He mentioned the UFC's strategic matchmaking aimed at elevating Paddy's star status, especially with this event occurring on a major pay-per-view card in Miami. Matty stressed the likelihood of Chandler making positional mistakes, offering Paddy openings to secure a rear-naked choke similar to his past victories. Additionally, he considered scenarios where Pimblett might even capitalize from his back if Chandler aggressively pursues ground-and-pound. Given Matty's substantial personal wager ($150k sweat pending on his parlay), Pimblett's well-rounded skill improvement and the high odds offered, he strongly emphasizes this submission bet.

Matty Betss included Paddy Pimblett by submission as a critical leg in his highly confident three-part cycle parlay, which also features Sean Woodson by decision and Nikita Krylov by knockout. Although detailed analysis behind this Pimblett pick was not exhaustively provided, Matty underscored his full trust in this bet and highlighted the massive upside, placing a $5,000 wager at substantial 30-to-1 odds for a possible $153,000 payout. He prominently positioned Pimblett's submission finish as essential to leveraging the broader package's payout potential, reinforcing its betting appeal.

Matty Betss enthusiastically backed Paddy Pimblett to defeat Michael Chandler by submission, outlining a clear path to victory rooted in Pimblett's opportunistic submission skills. Although Chandler survived five rounds against Oliveira without being submitted, Betss sees Chandler as prone to critical mistakes during fights, especially becoming overly aggressive and reckless. Pimblett's history of capitalizing swiftly on grappling openings—particularly highlighted by his tight submission finishes—positions him ideally to exploit Chandler's tendency for critical errors. Pimblett's ability to quickly seize submission openings, backed by his confidence, sets the stage for Betss's selection of Pimblett at compelling odds of +240. This prediction features prominently in Betss' main cycle parlay.

Kunath is bullish on Paddy Pimblett, predicting a submission victory over Michael Chandler. Kunath notes Pimblett's superior pure grappling skills and significant size advantage as key edges. He highlights Pimblett's respectable striking durability, boxing underrated, and threat of surprise kicks. Chandler's aggressive, high-output style leaves openings for submissions due to his tendency to prioritize offense over position and safety, making him vulnerable to Pimblett's opportunistic submission attempts like triangles or back attacks. Kunath further points out Chandler's recent struggles against elite opposition, a potential indicator he's losing a step. Given Pimblett's youth, momentum (6-0 UFC record), and favorable five-round scenario significantly amplifying the odds of finding a finish, Kunath plans on officially betting Pimblett via submission for this fight.

Tim Welch picked Paddy Pimblett to defeat Michael Chandler citing multiple factors. Welch acknowledged Chandler is still powerful but has struggled severely in recent matchups against elite-level fighters, losing four of his last five fights. Welch pointed out Chandler's age (38) and believes that recent consistency and prime physical shape tip the scales towards Pimblett, who enters on a six-fight UFC winning streak. Though Welch expressed concern that Pimblett historically lifts his chin dangerously when pressured, he trusts improvements in Paddy's game, citing recent lifestyle improvements including reduced indulgences outside the octagon and newfound motivation from fatherhood. Welch ultimately sees Pimblett winning, likely by taking Chandler's back and submitting him.

Michael Bisping strongly doubts Michael Chandler will attempt takedowns against Paddy Pimblett, despite Chandler's high-level wrestling backgrounds. Chandler rarely utilizes wrestling offensively in fights, and Bisping suggests the recent performance of Bobby Green, quickly submitted by Pimblett, will dissuade Chandler further. Specifically, Bisping recalled how Paddy Pimblett cinched a tight triangle-armbar on Green after shooting in for a takedown, serving as a clear deterrent. Thus, Bisping concludes Chandler likely avoids offensive grappling altogether, preferring a striking-focused attack against Pimblett to limit submission risk.

Michael Bisping highlighted Paddy Pimblett's recently improved dieting and conditioning, factors that notably enhance Pimblett's ability to operate effectively across multiple rounds against Michael Chandler at UFC 314. Pimblett, known previously for excessive weight fluctuations between fights, has stayed lean and appeared in noticeably better shape going into this fight camp. Bisping believes these improvements in conditioning and professional discipline mark a higher level of preparation appropriate for fighting elite UFC competition, significantly improving his chances of a tactical, movement-heavy decision win over Chandler.

Michael Bisping sees Michael Chandler as a significant knockout threat against Paddy Pimblett at UFC 314. Even though Bisping ultimately predicts a decision loss for Chandler, he clarified that any stoppage in the fight would come from Chandler, due to his power, experience, and aggressive style. Chandler possesses strong knockout capabilities exemplified by significant performances against fighters like Dustin Poirier, Justin Gaethje, and Charles Oliveira. Bisping highlights Chandler's straightforward punching as problematic against Pimblett's tendency to leave his chin exposed while throwing looping strikes. Although Bisping's official pick is Pimblett by decision, he warns there is a realistic scenario where Chandler closes distance effectively and lands a fight-ending right hand.

Michael Bisping predicts Paddy Pimblett will upset Michael Chandler at UFC 314, earning a decision victory through a disciplined striking approach. Bisping expects Pimblett to avoid exchanges in the pocket, similar to Ian Garry's performance, by maintaining distance, using movement, employing low calf kicks, and frustrating Chandler with strategic jab work. He emphasizes that Pimblett has cleaned up his diet, indicating improved conditioning and a potentially easier weight cut. Despite acknowledging Chandler as the more powerful fighter with straight punches, higher experience and stronger physicality, Bisping sees Pimblett's measured and cautious fight IQ being enough to win on points. He explicitly states Pimblett isn't likely to wrestle or get a stoppage victory, but rather out-point Chandler over the duration of the fight.

Michael Bisping picks Paddy Pimblett to secure a decision victory over Michael Chandler. He anticipates a frustrating strategy from Pimblett akin to Ian Garry, using constant movement to keep Chandler off balance. Bisping notes Chandler typically neglects cautious strategies, preferring to engage openly, but acknowledges Chandler might feel extra pressure and attempt a wrestling-heavy game plan. However, he ultimately expects Pimblett to implement a tactical, elusive approach, effectively neutralizing Chandler's explosive striking and holding advantages on the judges' scorecards.

Bedtime MMA confidently picked Paddy Pimblett to submit Michael Chandler by rear naked choke in the third round, emphasizing significant regression from Chandler and noticeable progression from Pimblett. Bedtime MMA criticized Chandler's deteriorating accuracy and physical condition, citing Chandler's exhaustion and poor showing in his recent loss to Charles Oliveira, where he looked visibly depleted, inaccurate, and physically compromised. Conversely, he praised Pimblett's remarkable chin, substantial reach advantage, improved striking defense over recent fights, and versatile kicking game which incorporates oblique kicks and body kicks. Anticipating Chandler's aggression, he expects Pimblett to fight patiently at distance, frustrate Chandler into making critical errors leading to grappling exchanges, where Pimblett's physicality, length, and grappling superiority will dominate Chandler, ultimately securing a submission via rear naked choke mid-way through the third round.

Matty Betss warns strongly against backing Michael Chandler due to his consistent history of losing winnable fights, particularly in high-profile matchups. Despite acknowledging Chandler's exciting fight style and his promotional charisma, Matty stresses Chandler frequently sabotages himself, making critical strategic mistakes at key moments. Facing the rapidly improving Paddy Pimblett, Matty confidently labels Chandler as a fighter who 'finds ways to lose,' emphasizing the UFC's favorable matchmaking for Pimblett on pay-per-view to elevate his star potential, thus strongly steering bettors away from Chandler.

Matty Betss supports betting Paddy Pimblett against Michael Chandler, stressing Paddy's clear recent improvements. Noting Pimblett's enhanced durability, discipline with nutrition, and more refined striking, Matty strongly criticizes Chandler's tendency to 'find ways to lose fights.' Additionally, he highlights the calculated UFC matchmaking that likely favors a Pimblett victory to increase his star power on a marquee pay-per-view event. Betts confidently views Pimblett, currently poised and developed beyond his earlier UFC opponents (like Jared Gordon and Jordan Leavitt), as the more reliable betting side anticipating a significant win against the inconsistent and unreliable Chandler.

Kyle Anthony backs Paddy Pimblett at -145 against Michael Chandler, highlighting Pimblett's overall skills advantage and positive trajectory versus Chandler's steep decline. Anthony details Pimblett's strength in wrestling and superior grappling skills, referencing Chandler's recent fight with Charles Oliveira where Chandler was badly outwrestled, indicating significant vulnerabilities Paddy can exploit. Anthony praises Pimblett for disciplined striking, faster hands, effective distance management, and leveraging physical size advantages. Anthony also emphasizes Pimblett's strategic motivation, describing this as the biggest fight of Pimblett's career with full preparation, as opposed to Chandler, whom he labels reckless, sloppy and more interested in entertainment than winning strategy. He sees Pimblett effectively mixing takedowns, controlling Chandler on the ground, and clearly dominating en route to victory.

Kyle Anthony recommends fading Michael Chandler at +122 odds against Paddy Pimblett, presenting Chandler as clearly past his prime and trending downward. Anthony highlights Chandler's poor 1-4 recent record, with the lone victory coming against a diminished Tony Ferguson. More troublingly, Anthony notes Chandler appeared 'flat and terrible' in a recent matchup against Charles Oliveira, being dominated via wrestling (5 takedowns and roughly 15 minutes of control time conceded). Anthony further criticizes Chandler's reckless striking, sloppy technique, and reliance solely on athleticism and explosive power. Anthony suggests these weaknesses in wrestling and discipline will allow Pimblett, who has well-rounded grappling, superior ground skills, faster hands, youth, and physical advantages, to dictate the fight pace, exploit wrestling opportunities, and ultimately win convincingly.