It's The Final Round wrapped up with Christian Yelich, who is 5-for-15 (.333) with a homer off Andrew Abbott and owns hits in 9 of his last 10 contests. The tout expects Yelich to reach safely again, making his 1-hit prop a low-risk anchor piece.

Just A Bet Outside played the Brewers alt team-total UNDER 5.5, explaining that Andrew Abbott has simply not allowed damage all season. Abbott rolls in with a 1.51 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 28.2% strike-out rate while holding opponents to four or fewer hits in seven of nine starts. Statcast backs it up: 95th-percentile hard-hit rate, 91st-percentile xBA, 78th-percentile average exit velocity. Even more encouraging, he just faced the Cubs in consecutive outings—always a tricky assignment—and still spun 12.2 innings of one-run ball on only seven hits. Milwaukee’s surface numbers against lefties look strong (top-10 wRC+ over the last three weeks), but the host dug deeper and found those stats are inflated by a single 12-run explosion versus Jesus Luzardo. Against the other five southpaws in that span—Ranger Suarez, Garrett Crochet, Bailey Falter, Logan Allen and Framber Valdez—the Brewers never scored more than two earned runs. In addition, William Contreras is expected to sit the getaway day, removing Milwaukee’s best lefty masher. The host projects Abbott for 6–7 innings, leaving just a few frames to a Reds bullpen that is average but trustworthy enough to protect the ceiling. With the market line at 4.5, bumping the alt to 5.5 provides wiggle room while still fading a lineup that rarely cracks elite lefties. Six runs feels like a massive ask in this spot.

For Brewers-Reds, Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the Reds moneyline largely because Andrew Abbott looks like an All-Star. Over his last 32.2 innings the left-hander has surrendered just 22 hits and 2 earned runs. At Great American Ball Park he owns a 1.05 ERA and .207 opponent batting average across 25.2 innings, and the Reds are 7-2 in his starts. Conversely, Brewers rookie Robert Gasser has logged only 5.1 MLB innings, so Milwaukee’s bullpen (20th in bullpen ERA) figures to work early. With a quick day-game turnaround and the hotter pitcher, the tout called the current number on Cincinnati a "steal."

Razzle suggested using a tiny dose of DL Hall as a chaos play even though he’ll only throw three-ish innings and is ineligible for the win. Hall posted 14 DK points in three frames his last time out, and left-handers have been the optimal way to attack Cincinnati’s lineup all season (.298 wOBA vs LHP). If the slate’s other games get wild, Razzle believes Hall could realistically finish as the second-highest scoring pitcher, giving GPP lineups unique construction at min-salary. He cautioned not to expect a repeat ceiling but felt Hall’s K-per-inning ability justifies tournament dart throws.

Razzle said Andrew Abbott is the clear No. 1 arm on the three-game early slate. The young lefty has allowed one run or fewer in eight of his nine 2025 starts, including all six outings in May. He briefly battled control issues but has cut the walks in his last two turns. Milwaukee can be dangerous in Great American Ball Park, yet the Brewers’ wOBA versus left-handed pitching ranks bottom-10, which fits Abbott’s strengths (29 % K rate vs LHB). Given the thin pitching pool, Razzle expects Abbott’s steady run prevention to separate him in both cash and GPP builds despite a modest 5.5 K prop that sits unjuiced.

Zerillo makes Cincinnati a -130 favorite and is betting the Reds at -120 or better with Hunter Greene opposing Freddy Peralta. Even with recent pitch-count limits after a groin strain, Greene’s underlying numbers crush Peralta’s: 2.75 xERA vs 3.63, 25% vs 14% K-BB rate, and a 30% called-strike-plus-whiff rate versus Peralta’s career-low 26%. Peralta’s fastball command issues have pushed both his CSW and K-BB to their worst marks ever, while Greene’s velocity and pitch modeling remain stable. Zerillo assumes Greene is physically fine based on those metrics and will wait for a price dip if early steam pushes Cincinnati higher than -120.

Mills Young backed Freddy Peralta to clear 6.0 strikeouts versus the Reds. Peralta has hit that mark in six of nine starts despite little national buzz. Cincinnati strikes out at a 26 % clip, and Young thinks the right-hander’s 13.4% swinging-strike rate will play up in Great American Ball Park, projecting 7-8 Ks.

Razzle labeled Hunter Greene a priority GPP arm. Greene’s 6.5 K prop and 32% strikeout rate at Great American Ball Park give him slate-breaking upside, and the Reds are –120 favorites. Although Greene’s punch-outs have dipped a bit since returning from the IL, the tout expects a rebound versus a Brewers lineup that strikes out 25% of the time against right-handers. Ballpark homers remain the primary concern, but Razzle believes the swing-and-miss nature of Milwaukee’s bats and Greene’s triple-digit fastball outweigh the risk in tournaments.

Razzle will also roster some Freddy Peralta on the opposite side of Greene. Peralta’s 5.5 K prop leans to the over and his 31% K rate away from Milwaukee underscores the upside, but the right-hander is issuing 5.6 walks per nine on the road. Razzle cautioned that free passes in Great American Ball Park can snowball quickly, yet Peralta’s ceiling performances (three games of 30+ DK points this year) make him a perfect low-owned pivot in multi-entry builds.

Guy Boston took Matt McLain under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at –145. The Reds’ infielder has failed to top this mark in 9 of his last 10 games (0.8 per outing) and 16 of his last 20 (80 % under). Season-long, the under is 36-for-51 (71 %). He provided exactly zero counting stats in both meetings with Milwaukee earlier this year (April 3–4). Outlier notes he has stayed below in 4 of his last 5 contests at Great American Ball Park, averaging just 1.2. Even at home for the full season, the under still hits 60 %. McLain draws Brewers ace Freddy Peralta, against whom he’s 1-for-6 lifetime. Boston sees no recent trend change and believes the consistent unders plus a tough pitching matchup justify laying the juice.

Brad Francis backed the Brewers on the money-line, noting Milwaukee has ripped off eight straight wins and is “the hottest team in baseball.” He called the Freddie Peralta vs. Hunter Greene matchup essentially even, but pointed out that the Brewers’ lineup is clicking from top to bottom while their bullpen has been lights-out during the streak. Because Cincinnati’s relief corps has been shaky and Milwaukee is surging in every phase, Francis felt the Brewers deserve to be road favorites and are a straight bet even without laying a run line.

Kenny G urged listeners to keep riding Milwaukee’s eight-game win streak and lay the modest –105 at Great American Ball Park. He trusts Freddy Peralta, whose 2.77 ERA and 5–3 record include only one sub-par effort in his last six starts, against a Cincinnati offense that has mustered just five total runs in its last three games. While Hunter Greene sports a shiny 2.63 ERA, Kenny noted the right-hander surrendered seven hits in his most recent outing and will need a truly dominant effort to outduel Peralta with the Reds bats this cold. Milwaukee’s bullpen (4.49 ERA) has steadied during the streak, and its offense has quietly climbed to eighth in runs despite ranking 20th in average and 25th in slugging. Given the Brewers’ form and the pick-em price, Kenny called Milwaukee the clear side play.

Joe Pisapia told listeners to scoop up Devin Williams right now, speculating that Luke Weaver’s hamstring twinge could reopen Milwaukee’s ninth-inning door sooner than expected. Weaver was scheduled for high-leverage work but had to shut it down mid-warm-up, and Pisapia thinks even a brief IL stint would push Williams—already throwing bullpens—back into the closer’s seat. He reminded fantasy managers that Williams’ career 39 % strikeout rate and 1.84 ERA are elite when healthy, and that the Brewers have remained within three games of first place, meaning every save will matter. While Chris Welsh cautioned that this may not be the final hurdle, Pisapia argued the tiny FAAB cost today outweighs the premium you would pay once Craig Counsell officially reinstates Williams. He labeled Williams a must-add in any league where speculative saves matter.

Just A Bet Outside targeted Hunter Greene’s strikeout over against Milwaukee. The Brewers have the 10th-highest K-rate versus right-handed pitching the last three weeks (22.4%). Greene carries a massive 35.5% strikeout rate at Great American Ballpark and punched out 14 Brewers in 11 innings across two starts last year. Returning from the IL, he threw 83 and 88 pitches in his first two outings – enough to project a full workload. Those starts produced only 2 and 3 Ks against low-whiff opponents (Cubs and Royals), which could keep Tuesday’s line suppressed around 5.5. Stephen expects 6-8 strikeouts and recommends betting the over and sprinkling a ladder to 9+ for plus odds.

Romanelli is backing Milwaukee because Freddy Peralta has owned the current Reds roster: 75 plate appearances have produced a .176 expected batting average, .242 xwOBA and a massive 37% strikeout rate with minimal walks. Hunter Greene’s own numbers versus Milwaukee are decent but include a 15% walk rate, and since returning from injury he has only fanned five hitters in nine innings and issued three walks, with the Reds losing both games. With the Brewers playing their best baseball of the season and possessing the sharper starter, Romanelli likes Milwaukee on the moneyline.

Martin grabbed Milwaukee at +105, arguing that the market is over-valuing Hunter Greene’s 100-mph fastball. He reminded listeners that Greene surrendered 7 runs and 2 homers to this same Brewer lineup in Cincinnati last season, and now meets a group riding a seven-game winning streak after sweeping the Phillies and Red Sox and piling up 22 runs over the weekend. On the mound, Peralta sports a 2.77 ERA with 66 strikeouts, giving Milwaukee the better current form. Add in Cincinnati’s merely average bullpen and hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, and Martin felt the plus-money made the Brewers the "only side".

Eric Pathi said to bet the Milwaukee Brewers again in their June 3 matchup with the Cincinnati Reds, calling it Game 9 of his ongoing system. Pathi’s "rule of 10" dictates fading a team after a 10-run outing only if you can grab the opponent at plus money; because Cincinnati opened as a short favorite, Milwaukee qualifies as the live underdog. He noted the Brewers are ‘steaming along’ and prefers when the dog has recent winning momentum, which Milwaukee does after cashing the same play yesterday. Pathi therefore labeled Milwaukee the complimentary selection and advised taking the money-line price while it remains plus odds.

The handicapper locked in Brewers ML, noting Milwaukee has won eight straight and owns a 4-1 season series edge. Freddy Peralta sports a 2.77 ERA—his best since 2021—while Cincinnati has managed a .215 batting average over its last six games. On the other side, Hunter Greene is battling a groin issue and has surrendered 10 hits and 4 runs across his last 9 innings. Greene was torched for a 6.55 ERA in two starts versus Milwaukee last year. Milwaukee’s bats are red-hot too, slashing .288 with 42 runs in their last six contests. With the better form, healthier ace, and bullpen that hasn’t been over-taxed, Cash Out Sports Picks sees the Crew extending their dominant run.

Todd Zola highlighted Spencer Steer as a waiver wire bat worth activating against Aaron Civale, who has already yielded four homers and produced just nine strikeouts in 12 innings. Great American Ball Park owns an 'A' park factor, and THE BAT X projects Reds righties for a .343 wOBA in the matchup. Steer, rostered in fewer than half of standard ESPN leagues, is an ideal one-day plug-and-play.

Rockford countered with Cincinnati –125, pricing them closer to –150. He views Aaron Savale’s lack of length (sub-5 innings per start) and high walk rate as a green light to attack Milwaukee. Brady Singer already beat the Brewers last month and owns a 2.86 home ERA versus a 4.91 road mark. Rockford also gives the Reds the bullpen edge—Cincinnati’s relievers sit top-10 in FIP, while Milwaukee’s are middle-of-the-pack—and argues the Reds’ lineup is deeper 1-through-9, especially if Yelich sits. With hot weather at Great American Ball Park and two shaky pens, he expects the posted total of 9 to get obliterated, but his primary wager is Reds moneyline.

Reichel is riding Milwaukee’s seven-game heater and taking the Brewers +105 versus Cincinnati. Milwaukee has plated five-plus runs in five straight and just hung 17 on Philadelphia Saturday. Even with Christian Yelich nursing a back flare-up, Reichel prefers backing the lineup in current form over trusting Reds right-hander Brady Singer, who owns a 4.72 ERA in May. Brewers starter Aaron Savale is admittedly unreliable, but Reichel believes the price fails to account for Milwaukee’s momentum and Cincinnati’s recent 1-3 skid. He is willing to live with a bullpen battle because Milwaukee’s relief corps ranks sixth in WPA since May 1.

Lindquist labeled the Brewers a mis-priced underdog after Cincinnati opened close to pick’em. He trusts Milwaukee’s lineup—William Contreras, Rhys Hoskins, Jackson Chourio and possibly Christian Yelich (pending X-rays on a HBP)—more than a Reds order that struggles against right-handers. On the mound, he sees minimal gap between Aaron Civale (projected bulk for Milwaukee, 10.9% barrel rate) and Brady Singer for Cincinnati, calling both sub-average despite Singer’s name recognition. The key edge comes from bullpens: Lindquist expects regression for Cincinnati’s relief crew, specifically fly-ball righties Emilio Pagan and Tony Santillan, while Milwaukee’s late-inning arms rank top-10 in SIERA. Great American Ball Park amplifies mistakes, so he wants the deeper, harder-contact Brewers bats on his side. Anything with a “+” next to Milwaukee is a bet for him, rating it an official money-line play.

B Wade recommended Brice Turang to go OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs against Cincinnati. Milwaukee’s offense just plated 28 runs in three games versus Philadelphia, and Turang contributed ten H-R-RBI during that series while clearing this prop in five of his last six contests. Historically he has topped the mark in 10 of 16 career games versus the Reds, including three of four earlier this season. Turang is 2-for-4 off right-hander Brady Singer and owns a .287 average versus righties overall. Singer’s surface numbers (6-3 record) hide a 4.60 ERA, which balloons to 5.40 with a 2.00 WHIP against Milwaukee. Wade expects traffic on the bases and Turang to cash again.

B Wade likes Elly De La Cruz to surpass 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs despite a limited sample on Aaron Civale. Elly has smashed this prop in eight of his last nine outings, piling up six H-R-RBI on a day the Reds scored just three runs. Civale has made only one start this season (6.00 ERA), so Wade is leaning more on the hitter’s form than pitcher data. Given Elly’s power/speed profile and his ability to produce even in low-scoring environments, Wade expects another multi-stat line and advises taking the over.

Bill Harrelson played Jackson Chourio OVER 0.5 runs. Chourio has crossed the plate in 8 of his last 10 games and has posted 2, 3 and 1-run outings in three straight versus Philadelphia. In two prior meetings with Cincinnati he scored twice and once, and he has cashed this prop in 4 of his last 5 overall. Harrelson highlighted that Chourio has been seeing roughly five plate appearances per game and has scored in six of his last seven road contests (1.4 runs per road game). He also noted a modest 1-for-3 (.333) history off projected starter Brady Singer but said the real edge is bookmaker opinion: Bet365, Caesars, DraftKings and Sleeper all have the over juiced, indicating sharp support for a run scored.

Just A Bet Outside placed a half-unit wager on the Reds first-five-innings money line at -120 (Bet365). He wants to fade homer-prone Aaron Savali (4 HR and 9 ER in just 12 IP this season and a 1.62 HR/9 last year) in tiny Great American Ball Park while avoiding Milwaukee’s hot bullpen and seven-game winning streak late. Savali was shelled for seven earned across his two road outings and now faces a Reds offense that over the last three weeks versus righties ranks ninth in WRC+, fifth in slugging and ISO, and 10th in walk rate. Brady Singer gets the ball for Cincinnati and carries a 3.29 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .151 opponents’ average in 27.1 home innings this year. Although Singer is weaker versus lefties, Milwaukee may be without Christian Yelich (left early Sunday), leaving only Bryce Turang and Sal Frelick as notable left-handed threats. Given the pitching edge and offensive form, the tout expects Cincinnati to be leading after five innings.

Eric Pathi said to keep riding the Milwaukee Brewers money-line at +120 in Cincinnati. He noted this is game eight of his "rule of 10" system: when a team on a long winning streak continues to be priced as an underdog, you stay on them until bookmakers finally flip them to a favorite, at which point you look to fade. The Brewers have won seven straight yet the market still hangs plus money, so Pathi is rolling with the streak and grabbing the +20-cent price tonight.

Kenny G said backing the Milwaukee Brewers at +105 is his favorite play on Monday. Milwaukee is on a seven-game heater in which the offense has posted 5, 17, 6, 6, 5, 3 and 6 runs and now ranks 10th in MLB scoring. He wants to fade Brady Singer, noting the right-hander just logged a season-high seven innings and historically struggles with fatigue; Singer was also shelled by Milwaukee in his second start of the year. Cincinnati’s bullpen has inched back toward respectability but still owns a 4.08 ERA, while its lineup has been wildly inconsistent (3, 0, 6, 2, 7 runs last five). Christian Yelich left Sunday’s game with a hand contusion, yet X-rays were negative and Kenny expects him to play. With the Reds laying −120 and the Brewers catching plus money, he labeled Milwaukee his “dog of the day,” predicting Singer will wilt by the middle innings and Milwaukee’s hot bats will stay loud.

Cash Out Sports Picks urged grabbing Milwaukee as underdogs in Cincinnati. The Brewers ride a seven-game win streak, averaging nearly seven runs per contest and fresh off sweeping the Phillies for their first Philadelphia series win in a decade. Starter Aaron Civale sports a 3.00 ERA over his last two outings and has historically baffled the Reds. On the flip side, Cincinnati has dropped three of four and sends Brady Singer, who posted a 6.39 ERA with 11 walks versus 13 strikeouts in May, including a rough appearance against Milwaukee. Momentum plus pitching matchup led the tout to label Brewers moneyline the best value.