MMA Guru backed Muhammad Usman as a sizeable underdog, predicting a 29-28 decision. He thinks oddsmakers have overrated Hamdi Abdul Wahab’s 6-0 record while ignoring glaring cardio issues: Abdul Wahab slows dramatically after five minutes and looked awful in a three-round slog with Jamal Pogues (Guru scored it for Pogues). Usman owns a seven-inch reach edge and should land the cleaner single shots once both men gas. Guru concedes Usman is no world-beater, but in a ‘blob-fest’ heavyweight matchup he expects Usman’s length and slightly better gas tank to win the final two rounds and flip the betting line that currently sits around +175.

Sniper leaned toward Mohammed Usman in DraftKings builds despite officially picking Hamdi straight-up. Usman costs only $7.6K and, if he taps into the collegiate-level wrestling that runs in the family, he could land multiple takedowns against a gassed Hamdi who historically fades after Round 1. Sniper noted that a single control-heavy round could be enough for Usman to smash salary expectations on a slate where mid-range pricing is scarce. The play is strictly tournament-oriented because Usman’s cardio is volatile, but the combination of under-ownership, discount price and grappling upside makes him an intriguing leverage piece.

Kunath picked Hamdi Abdel-Wahab by decision. He acknowledged Muhammad Usman’s urgency in scramble situations but questioned whether the former Ultimate Fighter winner is genuinely good at any one thing. Usman gets rocked in almost every fight, resets well, yet seldom pulls away on volume or power. Kunath believes Abdel-Wahab is the younger, heavier-handed fighter and unquestionably the better credentialed wrestler. If the bout turns into extended boxing or clinch work, he expects Hamdi to land the cleaner, harder shots while stuffing enough takedowns to bank rounds. Usman’s tendency to hear the final horn makes the decision prop especially attractive, and Kunath views Hamdi as the rightful, if slight, favorite who should move to 5-0.

Millz Young said Hamdy Abdelwahab is the side to back at ‑165 because his game fits the classic heavyweight judging template. Abdelwahab averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes and carries noticeably more pop in his punches than Mohammed Usman, who tends to fight off the back foot and let bouts drift to the scorecards. Millz expects Abdelwahab to bank early control time, wrestle when he needs to, and win a decision in a fight he thinks is almost certain to go the distance.

Bedtime MMA backed Muhammad “Mo The Motor” Usman to get past Hamdi Abdul-Hab in the Baku curtain-jerker. He argued Usman is the far more proven commodity, citing UFC wins over Junior Tafa and Zac Pauga and noting his only losses came to ranked heavyweights Mick Porkin and Thomas Peterson. Conversely, Hamdi’s spotless 5-0 mark hides serious red flags: a four-year hiatus, split-decision ‘robberies’ over Jamal Pogues and Don’Tale Mayes, and zero quality victories. Bedtime labeled Hamdi a “fat sweaty Paulo Costa” and questioned if he is UFC-level at all. He expects Usman’s experience, cardio, and sturdier résumé to sway the judges and suggested playing the Usman money-line or decision prop.