Will Hill wagered on Chicago to record the game’s first first down. He pointed to recent coin-toss behavior: the Bears elected to receive the opening kick two weeks ago and have shown an aggressive script starter, while the Giants have deferred every time they’ve won the toss this season. With better than a 50-50 chance Chicago begins on offense against a bottom-five Giants run D, Hill likes the plus-money edge.

Tafur took the Giants +4.5, calling the number 'suspiciously low.' He believes Chicago’s 5-3 record is inflated and worries the Bears could be looking ahead to next week’s divisional tilt with Minnesota. Even after losing RB Cam Skattebo, Tafur trusts Jaxson Dart’s playmaking to keep New York within the spread.

Eric Moody urged managers to fire up Jaxson Dart. The dual-threat passer has topped 19 fantasy points in five of his past six and now faces a Bears defense that’s allowed the seventh-most QB fantasy points. Chicago’s run D is strong at the second level, but its pass coverage leaks big plays, and Moody likes Dart’s supporting cast of Tyrone Tracy, Wan’Dale Robinson and Theo Johnson. He projects roughly 250-2 through the air with 40+ rushing yards, placing Dart inside his top-8 QBs and making him a contrarian GPP stack.

Calling this a true toss-up, MacMillan took the Giants at +164. He underlined Chicago’s paper-thin resume: a ‑1.5 average scoring margin and 22nd-ranked DVOA that sits adjacent to New York’s 23rd. He prefers Jaxson Dart (16th in EPA+CPOE) over Williams (23rd) in high-leverage moments and sees value in the plus odds.