Guy Boston Sports leaned to the Mets at –125 and suggested a Braves team-total under. He trusts Clay Holmes, who carries a 2.2 ERA over his last five starts, to rebound from a shaky three-and-two-thirds, five-run outing against Atlanta just 10 days ago. Holmes’ sinker/slider mix normally gives the Braves trouble. On the flip side, Cal Quantrill’s fastball and cutter are pitches the Mets handle well, and he expects New York’s lineup—despite recent lulls—to be superior in a vacuum. As long as the price stays south of –130, he is comfortable paying the freight to back the Mets’ side.

Clay Holmes brings a 3.64 ERA (3.41 on the road) and a 105-53 K/BB ratio into Truist Park, while Cal Quantrill is sitting on a 5.50 ERA and has yielded 20 hits and 15 runs in his last 12 innings. New York’s slumping price of +125 looks generous to Cash Out Sports Picks, who pegs the Mets as the sharper side given the pitching gap and Atlanta’s recent 4-10 skid.

Kenny G leaned to the Mets –125, arguing Clay Holmes is set for a bounce-back after holding Seattle to one run over five frames in his last outing. He acknowledged Holmes was rocked by Atlanta on Aug 12 (5 ER in 3.2 IP) but noted the Braves’ lineup is currently 17th in runs and 18th in batting average while dealing with injuries. Opposing starter Cal Quantrill owns a 4-10 record and 5.50 ERA and was blasted by Boston in his last start. Kenny also flagged Atlanta’s 32-31 home record and mediocre bullpen metrics since July (4.52 ERA). With the Mets offense coming off a 12-run breakout and still clinging to the final Wild Card spot, he sees New York as the sharper side even if it remains only a ‘lean.’