Drew Martin advised betting Milwaukee, noting the club’s 70-44 record has been ‘money printing’ and that Quinn Priester has personally cashed 10 straight starts on the way to an 11-2 mark. Priester’s near-60 % ground-ball rate should play well against a Mets lineup that has dropped a couple games coming into Sunday. Martin expects bettors will still get a digestible price because Priester has not been catching heavy market steam start-to-start.

Kenny G also advised taking Milwaukee at –125. The Brewers have won eight straight overall and are 38-20 at American Family Field. Priester’s 12-game personal team win streak underscores the edge over Manaea, whose Mets have lost six straight and travel with a 25-33 road mark. Milwaukee’s lineup ranks 6th in runs and 3rd in batting average, whereas New York’s bats have produced two runs or fewer in four of their past five games. Kenny summed it up: “These winning streaks aren’t happening by accident—this is an elite team and that Mets offense is slumping.”

Kenny G said to lay the short price with Milwaukee at −125. He pointed to the Brewers’ 36-20 record at American Family Field, their 31-24-1 under trend that reflects how well the pitching staff has suppressed scoring, and the fact that Brandon Woodruff “has been very, very good” since returning from the IL. On the other side Kodai Senga “hasn’t looked great recently,” and a Mets bullpen that owns the 23rd-ranked ERA since the All-Star break is vulnerable once Woodruff exits. New York is just 25-31 on the road, so Kenny expects Milwaukee’s hot bats to scratch out enough off Senga or the pen to cash the ticket.

Kenny G is laying –125 with Milwaukee. Brandon Woodruff has been lights-out since returning (3-0, 2.22 ERA, five straight Brewers wins, no more than two earned in any start, four outings of 6+ IP). The right-hander has not yet faced the Mets, whose scuffling offense has scored two runs or fewer in five of its last seven. Kodai Senga has a glossy 2.31 ERA but has been shaky: four innings, four earned in his most recent turn and constantly rescued by run support. Milwaukee owns the league’s sixth-best offense by runs and third-best batting average over the last two weeks (5/7/3/14/8/16 runs). The Mets bullpen (3.77) is solid but has logged heavy mileage; Brewers pen is improving (3.97). Home/road splits are decisive: Milwaukee 36-20 at home, New York 25-31 away. Kenny expects Woodruff to neutralize the Mets early and the Brewers bats to break through either against Senga’s shaky command or New York’s relief. Play: Brewers ML –125; under 8 and NRFI are smaller leans.

Cash Out Sports Picks said Milwaukee is the play behind Brandon Woodruff’s dominance. Woodruff is 5-0 with a 2.22 ERA and microscopic 0.64 WHIP, allowing just seven runs in 28.1 innings. The Brewers have lost only once since July 27 and are 7-0 in their last seven vs NL East opponents. Kodai Senga’s 2.31 ERA is respected, but New York has just one win since July 28 and the tout notes they "plunge deep when slumps hit." Home-field edge plus the hotter lineup and bullpen push the recommendation: Brewers money-line.

Harrelson’s bonus play is Tyler Soderstrom over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs, which pairs with his Senga fade. Soderstrom has hit this mark in 8 of his last 10 games, including seven straight, and has posted exactly three combined H+R+RBI in each of his last four. That run pushes him to 14-for-20 (70%) despite a 53% season baseline. He has gone over in four of his last five road starts, averaging 3.2 in that split, and has cleared the number in two of three career plate appearances versus Senga. DraftKings, Fliff, and Sleeper are all juicing the over, reinforcing Harrelson’s confidence that Soderstrom continues his multi-category tear in Queens.

Bill Harrelson said he is fading Kodai Senga’s run prevention, recommending the more-than 2.5 earned-runs prop for Friday’s start against Oakland. Senga has allowed 3+ earned runs in 8 of his last 10 outings and 12 of his last 20. During that ten-game window he is averaging only five innings and 3.6 earned runs while grading in the bottom 25th percentile of MLB starters by Harrelson’s model. Oakland, meanwhile, ranks top-10 in team batting average over the past 30 games, making this a tougher matchup than casual bettors realize. Harrelson also noted that Fliff and DraftKings already have the over juiced, signaling market agreement that the 2.5 line is soft. He expects at least three runs surrendered and views the prop as one of his strongest plays of the slate.

Eric Pathy advised taking the New York Mets at +115 on the overnight line in Milwaukee. He expects the Brewers’ six-game winning streak to stall after a travel day, a spot he calls a “freeze” for hot teams. Pathy added that Milwaukee has only been profitable this season when listed as an underdog (26-26 as a dog) and is roughly break-even when favored, so tonight’s favorite role sets up poorly for them. With the market still riding Milwaukee’s recent run, Pathy sees value in fading the streak and grabbing the Mets at plus money.

Just A Bet Outside hammered the alternate Brewers team-total of 1.5 runs, arguing Milwaukee’s offense is far hotter than the line implies. The Brewers have scored at least two runs in 19 of their last 20 home games (5.5 per game) and in 18 of their last 20 contests against a right-handed starter (5.35 per game). Over the past three weeks they own the No. 2 wRC+ versus righties (trailing only Toronto), the fifth-highest slugging percentage, and a .297 team batting average. Even the supporting cast is flaming: Isaac Collins is hitting .500, Andrew Vaughn .400 with two homers, Joey Ortiz .375, and Bryce Terang .348 over the last seven days. Kodai Senga is trending the opposite direction—4, 3 and 4 earned runs allowed his last three starts, 11 walks in his last 12 innings, no outing longer than five frames, and those appearances came against the Giants, Angels, Rockies, Nationals and Royals, none of which are top-tier lineups. With Senga’s command issues, Milwaukee needs “a walk and a blast” at any point over nine guaranteed trips to the plate. The bet cashes with only two runs, whether off Senga or New York’s middle-of-the-road bullpen.