Drew Martin said the Athletics are worth a play in Baltimore because Luis Severino has completely flipped the script, winning four straight after dropping five in a row and sporting an ERA on the road that is literally half of what he shows at Sacramento’s band-box home park. Oakland also enters the day as a top-five lineup by wRC+, while Baltimore sits bottom-five. On the other side, Cade Povich has been lit up for nine earned in his last 10 innings, so Oakland owns both the starting-pitching and current-form hitting edges.

Cash Out Sports Picks liked Oakland as a value side. The A’s have won five of nine and allowed only 12 runs in their last four. Baltimore has dropped five of eight since trading veteran bats, and Sunday starter Cade Povich, fresh off the IL, surrendered four runs in his return and eight earned in his lone 2024 outing versus Oakland. Even with Luis Severino scratched, the tout trusted the Athletics’ deeper bullpen and recent momentum to deliver on the money line.

Kenny G offered a light lean to Oakland at +110. He is comfortable fading Cade Povich (2-6, 5.25 ERA) whom he described as having “not been having an amazing time,” especially after getting knocked around in Philadelphia and dealing with injuries. Baltimore’s bullpen has struggled all season and its lineup has cratered to 20th in batting average and 18th in runs, with key bat O’Neill back on the IL. Oakland hands the ball to 22-year-old Luis Morales, an unknown who allowed just one run over two relief innings in his lone MLB appearance; Kenny sees hidden upside if Morales can give four competitive frames before turning it over to the A’s shaky pen. With both relief units unreliable, he acknowledged Over 9 is live in the daytime heat but ultimately preferred the Athletics money-line as the better fade of Baltimore.

Kenny G said the Athletics are worth a straight money-line play at -105, laying out a fairly detailed pitching and bullpen edge. He expects JT Ginn to rebound from his rough start against Arizona, noting the right-hander had strung together four quality outings before the Diamondbacks tagged him. On the other side, Tomiuki Sagano owns a 4.42 ERA and was shelled by these same A’s on June 8. Kenny hammered Baltimore’s biggest problem – a 4.77 bullpen ERA that ranks near the bottom of MLB – and contrasted it with Oakland’s quietly solid offense (13th in runs, 8th in average) that has scored 6-1-16-4-2-5-5 runs in its last seven. Oakland’s 28-32 road record isn’t stellar but is passable in today’s league context, while Baltimore sits only .500 at home and has lost three of its last four. With comparable starters and two bad pens, Kenny wants the better lineup and declared Oakland the side to bet.