Cash Out Sports Picks endorsed the Padres at American Family Field despite their recent seven-run, three-game funk. The reasoning: Milwaukee starter Freddy Peralta has yielded three earned in each of his last two outings and owns only one run allowed in his lone 2025 home start, suggesting volatility. San Diego counters with rookie Adam Burgard, who surrendered just two earned across five innings in his debut. While the Brewers are 19-11 at home, the tout believes Padres’ league-average .253 AVG versus right-handers plus Peralta’s wobble gives them a legitimate path to grind out a series-clinching win.

Kenny G leaned to Milwaukee at -116 after their walk-off win, citing both momentum and a friendlier pitching matchup. Freddy Peralta owns a 2.92 ERA and a 5-4 record, while San Diego is promoting reliever Ryan Burgert for only his second career start after allowing two earned over five frames last time out. The Padres’ offense sits 20th in runs and has scored three or fewer in five of its last six outings, whereas the Brewers rank ninth in runs even if their batting average (21st) and slugging (26th) are mediocre. Milwaukee is 18-11 at home versus the Padres’ .500 road mark. Given the current form of both lineups and Peralta’s reliability, Kenny feels the Crew deserve to be slight favorites.