Bill Harrelson backed Edward Cabrera to clear 4.5 strikeouts Tuesday against the Padres. Harrelson noted Cabrera has topped this number in 10 straight starts and in 16 of his last 20, including six punch-outs versus Baltimore in his most recent outing. On the season Cabrera has cashed the over in 81% of his 16 appearances, a dramatic jump from last year’s 55% hit rate. He averages five innings and six strikeouts during the current streak, and Statcast shows his major pitch metrics sitting in the league’s upper percentiles. Market support is strong as both Fliff and Sleeper have posted a higher K line than PrizePicks/Underdog. Despite recording only four Ks in his lone 2024 meeting with San Diego, Harrelson trusts Cabrera’s improved form and expects him to stay hot.

Brad PickDawgz played Edward Cabrera over 4.5 strikeouts against San Diego, noting the right-hander has eclipsed this number in ten straight starts. Calling Cabrera ‘a dog’ who isn’t getting enough attention, Brad expects at least five punch-outs, making the over his preferred side despite the transcript’s brief slip saying ‘under’.

Cash Out Sports Picks liked the Marlins money line, stressing that Edward Cabrera provides a clear mound edge over the Padres’ erratic starter Colex. Miami generated plenty of traffic in Monday’s loss and should convert more chances at home. With Cabrera poised to steady things and San Diego unlikely to enjoy the same breaks, the tout expects Miami to even the series.

The tout sided with Miami, noting Yuri Perez just spun 7 scoreless versus Baltimore and the Marlins have won 4 of his last 5 outings. Padres starter Vasquez owns only 50 strikeouts against 46 walks in nearly 100 IP and carries a 4.57 road ERA (2-3 record). Miami’s bullpen has steadied and the club is playing its best ball of the season, sitting surprisingly near .500. All signs point to Perez and the relievers giving the fish the edge.

Rockford matched Bamford’s position, pricing Miami to –135. He highlighted Eury Perez’s ridiculous LoanDepot numbers: 2.53 ERA, 0 HR allowed, .132 BAA, and a 5-2 team record in seven home starts. He views the Marlins lineup as the more consistent unit, while Randy Vasquez struggles away from Petco and faces a Fish club hitting .257 at home. San Diego’s road slash line sits at .243/.308/.388. With the Marlins boasting a bullpen advantage as well, Rockford sees clear value on the home side.

Bamford laid –130 with Miami, noting the club had won four straight and Eury Perez’s last four starts—games in which the lineup supplied 36 runs of support. Perez blanked Minnesota over six innings his last time at LoanDepot Park and owns a 2.53 home ERA. While Randy Vasquez has guided San Diego to four consecutive wins, Bamford trusts Miami’s current form, especially with the Padres slashing a middling .243/.309/.382 on the road. He is comfortable up to –135.