Despite Paul Skenes’ dominance, Cash Out Sports Picks sides with Philadelphia on the money line. Pittsburgh has dropped five of Skenes’ last seven starts because its lineup supplies almost no run support (29th in MLB scoring). Phillies lefty Cristopher Sanchez brings a 3.15 ERA (2.90 on the road) and has conceded only 11 runs in his last 34.1 innings. Skenes, meanwhile, owns a 4-6 record thanks to the anemic bats behind him. The tout expects a repeat of last month’s 1-0 Philly win over Skenes, arguing the Phillies’ superior roster eventually breaks through while Pittsburgh’s bats stay silent.

Cash Out Sports Picks took the Phillies on the moneyline, praising Ranger Suarez’s dependability (quality start last time out, strong career numbers vs Pittsburgh) and noting that even with Aaron Nola still shelved and Zack Wheeler on paternity leave, Suarez remains the one healthy arm Philadelphia can lean on. The tout hammered home how bad the Pirates offense is—29th in OPS and scoring just 3.16 runs per game—arguing that their weaknesses will be ‘magnified’ by Suarez’s strike-throwing profile and the Phillies’ deep lineup. Despite the Phils’ recent slump (.586 June OPS) he expects a breakout against a Pittsburgh club that “never scores,” making the road favorite worth backing.