Cody Saftic mirrored Paul’s handicapping but hammered home that Brown’s –250 price tag is dangerous in a matchup tailor-made for Dalby’s stalling tactics. Cody highlighted Brown’s vulnerability to body-lock trips—Zaleski dos Santos secured four takedowns despite 20 % career accuracy—and the Jamaican’s struggles disengaging from the fence. Dalby, 40, owns just 28 % takedown accuracy himself, yet consistently wins minutes by pinning foes to the cage and emptying the gas tank late (the ‘Homer Simpson’ strategy). Still, Saftic trusts Brown’s 6'3" frame and 78-inch reach to rack up touch-and-go strikes in open space and believes his cardio has held up far better than Dalby’s recent opponents. He is playing Brown by decision at plus money and may sprinkle the split-decision variant but warned listeners not to rely on the money line in what he called a “tight and greasy” fight.

Paul Shaughnessy expects a greasy, low-impact slog where Nicholas Dalby stalls with clinch control while Randy Brown snipes from range. Brown’s improved offensive grappling and 78-inch reach should edge the cards, but Paul pointed out that Dalby’s last four UFC wins came via decision, two of them split. Dalby routinely holds opponents against the cage—exactly the position that cost Brown vs Brian Battle and allowed Elizeu Zaleski to rack up four takedowns. Because Brown fights in a full-size cage here (not the Apex) and owns significant height/reach advantages, Shaughnessy still picks him to win, but he hates laying –250 on a bout likely to reach the judges. His preferred wager is “Fight Ends in Split Decision” at +400 (half-unit) with a lean to Brown on the cards.

Kunath called Randy "Rude Boy" Brown a mismatch for Nicolas Dalby, comparing the bout to “coughing baby versus hydrogen bomb.” Brown owns huge measurable edges—4" height, 6" reach, youth, and far superior hand‑speed. Technical edges follow: better footwork, multi‑strike combinations, and calf‑kick diversity that Dalby simply cannot replicate. Dalby’s lone path is to pin Brown against the fence and knee the body for 15 minutes, but Brown’s range weapons and underrrated whizzer defense should keep him off the cage. Brown’s proven gas tank (three straight fights clearing 100 total strikes attempted) lets him maintain pace. Kunath’s advice: take Brown by unanimous decision (-120 prop) and fade Dalby in DFS, as his clinch‑heavy style carries no ceiling if he can’t control.

MMA Guru picked Randy Brown to defeat Nicolas Dalby, predicting either a late‑second‑round TKO or a clean 30‑27 decision. Brown’s 6'3 frame and five‑inch reach advantage blunt Dalby’s trademark head‑kick counters, and Dalby lacks the concussive power that has troubled Brown in past losses. Guru praised Brown’s recent evolution into a strategic round‑manager—citing competitive showings against Chaos Williams and Brian Battle—and said the Jamaican is now comfortable winning on points if the finish is not there. Dalby, nearly 40, remains a durable "fraud checker," but Guru expects him to struggle initiating wrestling exchanges without getting caught in Brown’s clinch knees or guillotine. Recommendation: Brown moneyline, with sprinkles on decision and TKO props.

Bedtime MMA took Randy "Rude Boy" Brown by unanimous decision over Nicolas Dalby. He called Dalby "perfectly acceptable" but noted Brown’s sizable reach, superior foot positioning, and underrated jab that will keep the Dane on the end of long straights and uppercuts all night. Brown’s robbery loss to Brian Battle proves he can hang with faster athletes than Dalby, and Bedtime believes the New Yorker’s rangy boxing—"flicking that jab right in his mush"—will bank at least two rounds without needing high‑variance grappling or knockdowns. He sees no reason to overthink it: Brown out‑points Dalby from range.