Iain MacMillan sees Tom Hoge as an excellent candidate for first-round leader at Harbour Town due to his elite iron play (12th in SG: Approach) and solid birdie average (40th on Tour). Hoge is shorter off the tee, a weakness irrelevant at this precision-based course, and carries positive momentum from a T14 at the Masters. MacMillan predicts Hoge's ball-striking form will drive him to a strong opening round at RBC Heritage.

Brian Giuffra supports betting on Xander Schauffele to outright win RBC Heritage. After recovering from a rib injury, Schauffele showed positive signs at Augusta, finishing T8 while ranking 10th in strokes gained tee-to-green. Harbour Town suits his accurate iron play (3rd in SG: Approach). With strong previous results here (4th in 2023, T18 last year), Giuffra considers Schauffele primed to contend strongly at a favorable course.

Brian Giuffra is bullish on Aaron Rai finishing in the Top 10 at RBC Heritage (+270 odds). Giuffra points to Rai's strong accuracy off the tee and reliable iron play (ranked 40th in SG: Approach). Although Rai had an average finish (T48) at Harbour Town in 2023, his game has significantly improved since then, and Harbour Town's emphasis on precision makes it an ideal fit. Giuffra sees clear value at these odds, appreciating Rai's enhanced status and current form.

John Schwarb favors J.T. Poston in a head-to-head matchup prop bet against Justin Rose (-120 odds). Schwarb believes Rose may experience a letdown after an exhausting Masters week, reducing his motivation. Conversely, Poston holds strong motivation (70th in FedEx Cup points) and exceptional history at Harbour Town, recording four top-10s in his six appearances, making him a strong and motivated matchup play.

John Schwarb recommends targeting J.J. Spaun in first-round leader markets at Harbour Town due to his strong iron play, ranking second in strokes gained approach this season. Spaun has opened strongly several times this year, including a 66 at The Players. Although Schwarb isn't confident in backing Spaun to win outright, he views Spaun as undervalued in first-round leader betting because of his ability to jump out to quick starts on courses that emphasize iron play.

Iain MacMillan singles out J.T. Poston as a sneaky longshot at RBC Heritage (75-1 odds). Poston showcases impressive course history at Harbour Town, with finishes of T6 (2019), T8 (2020), T3 (2022), and T5 (2024). Given that driving accuracy is crucial at this venue and Poston ranks 26th on Tour in that metric, MacMillan believes Poston is worth a bet at this attractive price point due to his excellent course fit.

Brian Giuffra identifies Tom Hoge as a strong longshot pick at the RBC Heritage based on his recent superb iron play. Hoge was fourth in strokes gained approach at the Masters, finishing T14. Prior to that, he had impressive performances, including T3 at The Players and T5 at Valero Texas Open. While his putter held him back at Augusta, Giuffra notes Harbour Town's putting surfaces present an easier test, giving Hoge excellent value at 100-1 to win.

Cody Williams highlights Viktor Hovland as an intriguing outright option, noting that although he was somewhat inconsistent at the Masters, Hovland has notably gained strokes on approach for six straight events. Additionally, he's showing encouraging improvement in his putting and around-the-green performance. Given his elite iron play from 125-200 yards and a recent Valspar victory, Williams considers Hovland's game and trajectory perfect for Harbour Town this week.

Matt Vincenzi sees Justin Thomas as an excellent outright pick at the RBC Heritage despite his struggles at the Masters. Vincenzi points out that performing poorly at Augusta usually doesn't impact Harbour Town. Thomas has proven his ability to play well at Harbour Town, finishing T5 last year. Thomas' short game and consistently strong putting, which has improved this season (positive strokes gained putting in seven of nine starts), fit perfectly at Harbour Town, a course well-known to reward experienced players with strong short-game skills.

Iain MacMillan is bullish on Collin Morikawa winning the RBC Heritage because Harbour Town demands exceptional accuracy, a perfect fit for Morikawa as one of the Tour's most accurate golfers. After a winless period despite strong play, MacMillan believes this event and course setup give Morikawa the ideal chance to finally break through.

Brady Kannon identifies Michael Kim as a high-upside betting option at triple-digit (105-1) odds for the RBC Heritage, acknowledging the golfer's poor history at Harbour Town and correlated events but stressing dramatic recent improvement. Kim has recently shown strong results (2nd at WM Phoenix, 4th at Arnold Palmer Invitational, and multiple other top-15 finishes), plus a solid performance finishing 27th at the Masters, marking significant progression from his prior career form. Statistically, Kim ranks third in SG: Tee to Green over recent rounds, 11th in approach play, 12th in scrambling, and 13th on critical par-4 scoring from 400-450 yards. Kannon considers Kim’s improved play and attractive long odds worthy of a small wager to win and a top-20 finish bet.

Brady Kannon considers Bud Cauley an appealing play for RBC Heritage due to his excellent recent performances, including finishing sixth or better in three consecutive starts. High finishes at the Players Championship (6th) and Valspar Championship (4th) indicate strong current form, further supported by Cauley's solid statistical profile: 10th in Greens in Regulation gained, 20th in Scrambling, sixth in hole proximity from 175-200 yards, and fourth in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green over his past 36 rounds. Given his quality statistical fit for a tight, demanding layout like Harbour Town, Kannon is backing Cauley to win outright and finish in the top-20.

Brady Kannon sees Lucas Glover as a worthy candidate at Harbour Town, despite missing the Masters cut. Glover recently placed third at the Players Championship and eighth at Valspar, both strongly predictive events for RBC Heritage success. Crucially, Glover holds multiple top-20 finishes in his extensive history at RBC Heritage, with additional top-10 results across every key correlated course identified for analysis. From a statistical perspective, Glover leads the field in Fairways Gained, while ranking sixth in SG: Approach and sixth from 150-175 yard approaches. He is also 10th in scoring on Par 4s measuring 400-450 yards, a metric deemed significant by Kannon. He has wagered on Glover outright and to finish top-20.

Brady Kannon believes Daniel Berger offers solid betting value at the RBC Heritage at 45-1 odds due to his suitability for the Harbour Town course setup. Berger holds notable results at comparable courses, including a win at Colonial in 2020, third place previously at the RBC Heritage, and second-place finishing at the RSM Classic. His recent form is solid, coming off a 21st-place finish at the Masters and a 20th at the Players Championship. Berger ranks ninth in the field on Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, third in Fairways Gained, 13th in Greens in Regulation Gained, and 18th in Scrambling over the past 36 rounds, aligning well with Harbour Town's precision-oriented style. Kannon has bet Berger to win outright and to finish inside the top-20.

Brady Kannon highlights Corey Conners as a strong contender at the RBC Heritage due to his outstanding recent form, boasting five top-10 finishes in just 10 starts, including high-profile results such as sixth at the Players Championship, eighth at Valspar, and another eighth-place finish at the Masters. Additionally, Conners has valuable top-10 finishes at each of the correlated courses identified as predictive for Harbour Town, such as TPC Sawgrass, Sea Island and Innisbrook. Statistically, he leads the current field in Greens in Regulation gained over the past 36 rounds, and also ranks within the top 20 for hole proximity from 125-200 yards out, fitting the course demands well. Kannon recommends betting Conners to win outright as well as to record a top-10 finish.

Brady Kannon emphasizes Patrick Cantlay as an elite option at the RBC Heritage, citing outstanding course history and stats tailored to Harbour Town. Cantlay's past performances here include a runner-up finish, four separate third-place finishes, and an additional seventh-place result. Further support comes from recent form, highlighted by two top-5 finishes this season and a 12th-place showing at the recent Players Championship. Cantlay also rates highly statistically for this specific event, ranking 16th in Strokes Gained: Approach and ninth on Par 4 scoring from 400–450 yards over his last 36 rounds. Kannon strongly advocates playing Cantlay to win as well as finishing inside the top 10.

Lack spotlighted Si Woo Kim (+550) as a valuable sleeper pick for RBC Heritage, based on his established success on Pete Dye-designed, short, positional courses. Kim holds victories at TPC Sawgrass, Sedgefield, and Waialae—strong course comps for Harbour Town Golf Links—as well as a runner-up finish at Harbour Town itself in 2018, underscoring his fit and betting appeal this week.

Powers recommended Matt Kuchar (+850) at RBC Heritage based on recent form and proven track record. Kuchar earned a top-20 at Valero, gaining strokes everywhere except off the tee, and at Harbour Town Golf Links, the approach game outweighs driving performance. Historically strong here, Kuchar boasts a win, a runner-up finish, and three consecutive top-20 finishes at Harbour Town, making him a solid betting play.

Hennessey advised betting Lucas Glover (+600) for RBC Heritage, citing his T-3 finish at TPC Sawgrass. This standout performance at another positional, shorter golf course with a premium on ball placement indicates that Glover still has the skill to compete on similarly styled courses like Harbour Town Golf Links.

Stewart recommended Corey Conners (+210), who arrives at RBC Heritage with exceptional recent consistency. Conners has four top-10 finishes in his last five starts, posting positive strokes gained across all major statistical categories during those events except for a minor putting performance hiccup at Valero. Stewart believes Harbour Town’s layout aligns ideally with Conners' current form, making him an appealing wager.

Gdula identified Aaron Rai (+330) as a strong fit for Harbour Town Golf Links despite only a T-48 finish in Rai’s lone appearance. Rai ranked 14th in ball-striking that week. More importantly, Rai ranks first in field accuracy over his last 50 rounds, a crucial skill for success at the narrow and precision-driven Harbour Town course.

Mayo pointed out Aaron Rai (+330) as a compelling bet for RBC Heritage, highlighting Rai’s impressive high-end tee-to-green ability. Rai led the Masters field in tee-to-green performance in Round 1, endured a brief slump over two rounds, then rebounded convincingly with a +2.3 tee-to-green performance on Sunday. Harbour Town's shorter layout perfectly complements Rai's strengths, and Mayo notes strong event crossover to the Wyndham Championship, a tournament Rai notably won at Sedgefield Country Club last year.

Tour coach highlighted Sungjae Im as a strong betting target at +350 after a quiet top-10 finish at Augusta that potentially signals a form turnaround. He emphasized Im's outstanding iron control, a skill crucial to succeeding at Harbour Town Golf Links. Sungjae has translated this strength into consistent results, registering four consecutive top-25 finishes at Harbour Town, further solidifying his value heading into the RBC Heritage event.

Lack recommended Sepp Straka (-125) over Robert MacIntyre following both missing the cut at The Masters. He emphasized Straka’s excellent fit at Harbour Town, citing two previous top-five finishes at this event. Straka’s strengths in driving accuracy and exceptional short-to-mid iron play align perfectly with this Pete Dye course. Lack also referenced Straka’s victory at The American Express as further proof of his suitability for these shorter, precision-focused layouts, boosting Straka's appeal as a bounce-back play.

Powers backed Sepp Straka (-110) versus Sungjae Im, despite Straka’s disappointing missed cut last week. He noted Straka's resilience in Round 2 and additional rest advantage coming into this week. Straka's consistent iron play, gaining strokes with his irons in 12 of his last 13 events, stands in stark contrast to Sungjae Im, who has now lost strokes on approach in four consecutive appearances, relying instead on his short game to salvage results. Powers believes Straka’s superior iron skill positions him for success this week.

Hennessey identified value in betting Collin Morikawa (+162) over Scottie Scheffler, expecting Morikawa to strongly contend or even threaten victory. Hennessey didn't specify exact reasons here but referenced previous analysis that justified fading Scheffler, making Morikawa an attractive and actionable selection to finish within the top five.

Gdula favored Michael Kim (-110) to beat Maverick McNealy, highlighting their similar recent play with one major difference: Kim’s significantly stronger around-the-green game. The small greens and scrambling demands at Harbour Town make short-game skills critical, offering Kim a distinct advantage in this matchup.

Stewart favoured Patrick Cantlay (-120) to beat Justin Thomas at the RBC Heritage, citing Thomas' ongoing driver issues, including recent struggles at Augusta National despite wide fairways. Cantlay, meanwhile, boasts spectacular form at Harbour Town, finishing top-seven in six of his seven starts. Additionally, Cantlay demonstrated strong approach and putting at the Masters, increasing Stewart’s confidence in him thriving at Harbour Town, especially compared to Thomas' driver troubles.

Mayo backed Ryo Hisatsune (-105) over Joe Highsmith, admitting some affection for long-shot Japanese golfers but mainly citing Hisatsune's strong recent play. Hisatsune has two top-five finishes in his last three starts, has gained strokes on approach four straight tournaments, and averaged over three strokes gained per event on the greens across his last three starts. Mayo doesn't believe Hisatsune can outright win against elite competitors but expects his current form combined with Harbour Town’s inclusivity compared to other elevated events will allow him to remain competitive headed into Sunday.

Tour coach recommended betting on Brian Harman (+100) over Akshay Bhatia, highlighting Harman's strong fit at Harbour Town, which emphasizes precision and placement. Harman recently showcased exceptional iron play and accuracy at San Antonio, excelling even when strong off-the-tee games were critical. Tour coach believes this skill set aligns ideally with this week's venue, elevating Harman's chances of success at Harbour Town.

Kelley Bydlon remains optimistic about Ludvig Aberg's trajectory despite his disappointing finish at the Masters. Bydlon pointed out that Aberg was competitive and hung in contention until he faltered on the final two holes with a bogey and triple bogey. Still, Bydlon expects him to be 'a monster' this season, seeing his Masters result as evidence Aberg is not yet at an elite level but trending strongly upward. Bettors and fantasy players should look for opportunities to capitalize on Aberg's future breakout potential at more favorable odds after this performance.

Kelley Bydlon recommends betting Tom Hoge for a top-20 placement and strongly considers him for a first-round leader wager at the RBC Heritage. Typically known exclusively as an elite approach player, Hoge enters RBC Heritage exhibiting rare strong form in putting and short-game categories, gaining strokes with the putter in three consecutive tournaments. His recent finishes—T14, T5, and T3—demonstrate marked improvement in form. Even though his Harbour Town course history is modest, a T18 finish last year signifies potential here. Kelley sees current improved putting form paired with his consistently elite irons as justifying Hoge for confident placement betting this week.

Despite recent disappointing performances which cost Kelley Bydlon money at the Masters, he remains committed to Sepp Straka for a top-20 bet at RBC Heritage. Kelley justified this wager based on Straka's consistently excellent approach numbers and elite par-5 scoring, two crucial factors at Harbour Town. Straka has previously shown strong ability on this course, finishing T5 and T3 in recent years, further bolstering confidence in his betting value despite mixed recent form.

Kelley Bydlon is continuing to ride Corey Conners' hot streak with a sizeable top-10 bet at the RBC Heritage. Conners has consistently gained strokes across all categories recently, notably ranking top-20 in both approach and around the green metrics. His recent form is stellar, recording a T8 finish at the Masters, T18 at Valero, T8 at Valspar, sixth at the Players, and third at Arnold Palmer Invitational. Also, Conners boasts strong course history at Harbour Town, including finishes of T12 and T4. Kelley acknowledges Conners' limited win potential outside the Valero Texas Open but maintains confidence in his consistency for placement markets like top-10 this week.

Kelley Bydlon strongly recommends betting Russell Henley outright, as well as for top-five and top-ten placements at RBC Heritage. Henley ranks top 20 in approach stats, notably excels in the critical 150-200 yard range, and consistently demonstrates accuracy off the tee—crucial at Harbour Town. He also ranks eighth around the green and seventh in bogey avoidance. Despite missing the cut the previous week, Henley had a strong round on Friday, suggesting he's quickly rebounding. His past record at Harbour Town, with finishes of T12, T19, and T9 over the past four years, further supports Henley's strong betting value this week.

Kelley Bydlon likes Justin Thomas as an outright value bet at RBC Heritage because the course setup limits driver use, forcing players to club down off the tee. Kelley highlighted JT's elite approach game as a key driver of expected performance. He pointed out that JT's recent struggles largely stem from spraying tee shots with his driver, so the reduction in driver usage will greatly benefit him. Additionally, Thomas has surprisingly gained strokes with his putter in three consecutive events, addressing a usual weakness. JT also has a history of success at Harbour Town, finishing tied for fifth at last year's RBC Heritage, reinforcing the positive outlook on this wager.

Wes Reynolds endorsed Daniel Berger as an outright bet at long odds of 50-to-1 for RBC Heritage. Berger delivered consistent recent form highlighted by ranking sixth in greens-in-regulation at Augusta (T21 finish). Reynolds emphasized Berger’s historical success at similar technical, less-than-driver courses such as his wins at TPC Southwind, Pebble Beach and Colonial. Berger's past Harbour Town results, including a third-place finish in 2020, further highlight his potential undervaluation and suitability, solidifying him as a strong bet in this event.

Wes Reynolds sees Sungjae Im as a valuable outright bet at 40-to-1 odds at the RBC Heritage, despite typically avoiding Masters contenders due to inflated prices. He observed Im improving his ball striking significantly over Masters weekend and highlighted Im's consistent Harbour Town results: 13th, 21st, 7th and 12th in his last four starts. With three Top-5 finishes already this season, Im enters Harbour Town in promising form as he pursues his first PGA Tour victory in over three years, adding strong motivation and increasing betting value at the available odds.

Kelley Bydlon enthusiastically supports Daniel Berger as both an outright and top-20 bet at RBC Heritage, highlighting Berger’s strong recent form and excellent suitability for the Harbour Town layout. Berger’s recent consistent finishes include a T21 at Masters, top 20 at Players, and T15 at Arnold Palmer Invitational. Harbour Town's setup benefits Berger, who ranks highly across key metrics including approach, par-5 scoring, driving accuracy, good drives and short game categories. Bydlon additionally pointed to Berger's past Harbour Town results—finishing T-3rd in 2020, T-13th in 2021, and T-21st in 2022—as further positive indicators supporting this wager.

Wes Reynolds identified Tommy Fleetwood as highly motivated to achieve his first-ever PGA Tour victory at RBC Heritage. Reynolds noted Fleetwood witnessing Rory McIlroy achieving a major career milestone emotionally, which could inspire him to overcome his own long-standing challenge of earning a win in America. Despite finishing T-21 at Augusta due to poor putting, Fleetwood ranked third in strokes gained tee-to-green behind only McIlroy and Patrick Reed. Harbour Town's emphasis on accurate ball striking aligns perfectly with Fleetwood's current strength, making him a promising bet at attractive 33 to 1 odds.

Wes Reynolds bet Patrick Cantlay outright at RBC Heritage at a price of 20-to-1, highlighting Cantlay's consistently strong performances at Harbour Town and Pete Dye-designed courses. Despite an ongoing winless streak of two and a half years, Cantlay's recent results at this event are impressive, placing 3rd, 3rd, 2nd, missed cut, followed by 3rd, 7th, and another 3rd. Reynolds identifies this course as highly suitable for Cantlay due to his strong past results on Pete Dye layouts, making him an ideal candidate to break his winless drought.

Kelley Bydlon decided against betting Ludvig Aberg at the RBC Heritage despite liking his talent and long-term potential. Bydlon has played Aberg frequently previously, but cited significant concerns about his shaky approach numbers, critical at Harbour Town due to high demand for precise iron play. Given the course's setup emphasizing accuracy on approach, Aberg's recent inconsistent iron performances raised enough red flags for Bydlon to pass on him despite thinking the player will likely have substantial success later in the year.

Kelley Bydlon expresses reservations about betting Collin Morikawa outright at the RBC Heritage, despite Morikawa ranking highly (third overall) in his statistical models. While praising Morikawa's tee-to-green game and consistent accuracy, Kelley questions Morikawa's ability to effectively close out tournaments right now, noting concerns raised from his performances including at The Masters. Despite high statistical ratings and an appealing outright price (11-1), doubts linger about Morikawa's current form under pressure and his clutch putting performance, making Bydlon hesitant to back him outright at this point despite recognizing his overall quality and fit for the course.

Lack is hesitant to back Justin Thomas at RBC Heritage despite acknowledging his strong course history and solid course fit. Thomas has not convincingly completed four strong rounds consistently over the past two and a half years, casting considerable doubt on his ability to compete effectively across the tournament entirety. Given this considerable inconsistency, Lack finds Thomas’s current betting odds unworthy of investment.

Powers recommended fading Corey Conners, believing that his taxing experience at the Masters likely exhausted him physically and mentally. Powers argues better value exists further down the board, specifically citing Jordan Spieth who has superior course history at Harbour Town, boasts 13 career wins on Tour, and is available at a notably better price than Conners.

Hennessey advised caution when betting Scottie Scheffler at RBC Heritage, highlighting that the defending champion showed concerning signs during the Masters. Specifically, Scheffler lost strokes off the tee in three of four rounds at Augusta, consistently battling a left miss. Harbour Town severely punishes errant driving, so these recent woes should put significant pressure on Scheffler’s chances this week.

Stewart is bearish on Shane Lowry’s chances at RBC Heritage, citing potential distractions from Rory McIlroy’s career-defining Masters win, suggesting Lowry likely celebrated heavily with his close friend, negatively impacting his preparation. Additionally, RBC Heritage notoriously hasn't suited Lowry historically. With the upcoming Zurich Classic demanding Lowry and Rory attention as defending champions next week, Stewart believes this week's tournament will be overlooked and Lowry’s performance compromised.

Gdula highlighted reservations about Corey Conners at RBC Heritage due to his limited short-game improvement. Though Conners' around-the-green play has shown slight recent progress, it still trails significantly behind other favorites. Harbour Town features some of the smallest greens on Tour, amplifying the importance of scrambling and putting—skills where Conners consistently struggles. This combination makes him a weak value at his current odds.