Smylie Kaufman backed Cameron Young for a bounce-back showing at Detroit Golf Club. Even after Young "laid an egg" on the weekend at the Travelers, Kaufman noted that Young’s track record in Detroit is excellent and the setup is tailor-made for bombers. Young averages north of 315 yards off the tee and ranks top-10 on Tour in strokes-gained off-the-tee, both key stats on a course where fairways are wide and greens are receptive. Kaufman expects putting inside 10 feet to separate the field; Young gained strokes on the greens in two of his last three starts, signaling his flat stick is trending. Pair that with a weaker-than-usual Rocket field and Kaufman believes Young has legitimate win equity, making him viable for outrights, top-5 bets, and as a high-ceiling anchor in DFS lineups.

Smylie Kaufman said Luke Clanton is his favorite sneaky play for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Kaufman emphasized that Detroit Golf Club is a relatively soft Donald Ross design where driving distance plus a hot putter inside 10 feet is usually the winning combo. Clanton, whose ball-speed numbers rank among the longest hitters on any tour he’s played, fits that profile perfectly. Kaufman added that Clanton finally avoids the pressure-cooker pairings he drew in his first two PGA Tour starts (Rory McIlroy in Canada, Jordan Spieth at the Travelers). Teeing off in an afternoon group with fellow rookies Kevin Velo and Brett White should let the rookie settle in and attack a course he can overpower. Kaufman expects Clanton to contend for a top-10 and is comfortable taking outright tickets and DFS shares at his depressed price because the course rewards exactly what Clanton does best—hit it miles and make short putts.

Drew Stoltz stuck with Luke Clanton for a top-20 ticket at +190 despite the rookie missing the cut at the RBC Canadian Open and settling for T34 at the Travelers. Stoltz reviewed Clanton's scorecards and saw encouraging aggression: plenty of birdies but four costly bogeys on his closing nine kept him out of last week's top-20. Stoltz expects rapid improvement as the former world No.1 amateur acclimates to pro golf and believes Detroit Golf Club rewards frequent drivers—Clanton's greatest weapon—making a cleaned-up card good enough for a top-20 cash.

Colt Knost pivoted off the trendy Luke Clanton play and wagered on Cameron Young to finish inside the top 20 at +140 on Fanatics Sportsbook. Knost said Young is 'starting to play better' and relayed that Trevor Immelman personally predicted Young would win this week—a call Knost trusts because Immelman's week-of reads are 'normally right.' Rather than chase the outright, Knost likes the top-20 market to capitalize on Young's improving form at the Detroit Golf Club birdie fest while limiting volatility.

Fitzmaurice opened his card with Ben Griffin at +2200 outright and a +210 top-10 "kicker," insisting the market still has not caught up to Griffin’s current heater. Griffin owns back-to-back top-6 finishes, has gained strokes on approach in seven straight starts, and ranks 12th in putting over that span. Fitzmaurice expects the Rocket Mortgage’s soft greens to accentuate Griffin’s confidence with the flat stick and likes how his 17-under scoring average in 2025 sets up for another shoot-out. With course fit and form aligning, Fitzmaurice is comfortable anchoring his betting and one-and-done exposure to the North Carolina native.

Pat Fitzmaurice tossed Jake Knapp onto his long-shot card at 80-1, pointing out that the Californian marries 320-yard power (top-10 in driving distance) with a surprisingly solid putter—72nd in strokes-gained putting. Fitzmaurice argued that combination is tailor-made for Detroit, where generous fairways let bombers attack and the event routinely turns into a putting contest. With Knapp already flashing a T3 and T12 in similar birdie fests this season, Fitzmaurice sees enough upside to justify an outright sprinkle and DFS exposure.

For placement props, Bo McBrayer grabbed Doug Ghim at +400 to finish inside the top-20. While Ghim is not a prototypical bomber, McBrayer loves his aggressive iron play and ability to pile up birdies on receptive setups like Detroit Golf Club. Ghim ranks top-30 on Tour in proximity from 125-175 yards and consistently gains on approach at sub-par venues. McBrayer views the price as a solid way to exploit his high floor without needing a spike-putting week to cash an outright.

McBrayer finished his card with Patrick Fishburn at 120-1, revealing the Utah bomber graded No. 1 in his custom model. Fishburn leads this field in strokes-gained off-the-tee, sits fourth in both overall ball-striking and par-5 performance, and cracks the top-10 in birdie-or-better percentage. Even his worst stat in McBrayer’s database is 57th, underscoring a balanced profile ideal for a Rocket Mortgage shoot-out. McBrayer thinks the market simply does not recognize the ceiling of a player who can "come from deep" and shock casual bettors.

Bo McBrayer called 75-1 on Michael Thorbjornsen a "massive mis-price" after the 22-year-old landed elite looper J.J. Jakovac—Collin Morikawa’s two-time major-winning caddie. McBrayer believes Jakovac’s course-management chops will be worth multiple strokes for a still-raw talent whose wrist injury is now “great.” Detroit Golf Club rewards aggressive wedge play and streaky putting, exactly the profile McBrayer sees in Thorbjornsen’s amateur résumé. Because of the caddie upgrade and clean bill of health, he is comfortable laddering the rookie across outright, top-10 and top-20 markets.

Bo McBrayer said he is firing on Kurt Kitayama at 65-1 because the Chico, California bomber has quietly turned into a birdie machine in 2025. Kitayama now ranks inside the top-15 in par-5 scoring and has tightened up his wedge numbers, two areas McBrayer believes decide shoot-outs at Detroit Golf Club. He noted Kitayama’s ball-striking has "vastly improved," flipping the narrative from grind-it-out specialist to someone who can win 22-under events when the putter merely cooperates. With a soft setup expected and odds likely to shorten, McBrayer is "loading up the wheelbarrow" on the outright ticket before Thursday.

Pat Fitzmaurice advised passing on Collin Morikawa at the top of the outright board despite his world No. 5 status and runner-up finish here in 2023. Fitzmaurice stressed the Rocket Mortgage routinely devolves into a putting contest—winners average nearly 1.5 strokes gained putting per round—and Morikawa sits 109th on Tour in that metric. Detroit’s generous fairways neutralize Morikawa’s elite iron play while exposing his below-average birdie conversion rate. With only four of six winners here priced shorter than 25-1 and several streaking putters in the mid-tier, Fitzmaurice says the +1200 market leader is "all name value, no edge" and prefers allocating bankroll elsewhere.

Bo McBrayer opened his outright card with Harry Hall at 30-1, pointing to seven consecutive top-20 finishes that show the Englishman’s floor is unusually high for this price range. McBrayer reminded listeners Hall gutted out IV treatment before Saturday’s tee time at the Travelers and still cashed a big check, calling it proof he is a gamer. Detroit Golf Club’s bomb-and-gouge setup rewards Hall’s blend of length and a "magical short game"—he sits top-20 in birdie-or-better percentage and ranks well above field average on bent/poa blends. On a track where winners routinely push −22 or lower, McBrayer values Hall’s aggressive scoring attitude and hot putter, labeling 30-1 a mis-price before markets catch up.

Pat Fitzmaurice said the betting market still undervalues Keegan Bradley’s chances of automatically qualifying for the 2025 U.S. Ryder Cup squad. Bradley’s Travelers win vaulted him to eighth in U.S. points—only two spots outside the guaranteed top-six—and Fitzmaurice noted that continued strong iron play and a revived putter make further points accumulation likely. With several summer events still offering elevated points and Bradley historically excelling on Donald Ross courses, Fitzmaurice recommended wagering on the YES side of any ‘Will Keegan Bradley make the team?’ prop before his odds shorten.

Bo McBrayer advised staying away from Tommy Fleetwood in outright-winner bets until the Englishman shows he can close on Sunday. McBrayer pointed out that Fleetwood now owns 42 PGA-Tour top-10s without a victory and gave away a three-shot Sunday lead at the Travelers by shooting the only over-par round among the final four groups. On that back-nine collapse Fleetwood lost strokes off the tee, had an "atrocious" approach game, three-putted multiple times, and played ultra-conservatively while Keegan Bradley attacked. McBrayer concluded the pattern shows a persistent mental block, making Fleetwood a fine finishing-position play but a poor outright ticket until further notice.

Giuffra grabbed Wyndham Clark Top-20 at +160. Clark quieted recent PR drama with a T17 at Travelers and now heads to a venue perfect for his profile: prodigious length with little penalty for inaccuracy. Crucially, he gained on approach for the first time since April’s RBC Heritage and owns two Top-20s in two Rocket starts. Add a lethal wedge game on Detroit’s short par-4s and Giuffra sees another high floor finish.

Kirschner played Jake Knapp Top-20 at +320. Knapp’s a true bomber and arrives fresh after skipping both the U.S. Open and Travelers. He posted a Top-30 in Canada and finished T31 at last year’s Rocket, proving comfort with Detroit GC’s lines. Kirschner trusts that combination of raw length and extra rest to unlock a Sunday top-20.

MacMillan’s bold prop is Morikawa to MISS the cut at +400. The two-time major champ hasn’t logged a top-10 since THE PLAYERS in March and limped to T42 at Travelers while actually losing strokes with his vaunted irons—an alarming signal for a player who lives and dies with approach play. With form sliding and no course history edge, MacMillan is comfortable fading the betting favorite.

Giuffra sprinkled Cameron Champ at +10000 for First-Round Leader. Champ, fighting to retain his Tour card, showed life with a T9 at the RBC Canadian. He’s still one of the longest hitters on Tour, has flashed peak-level irons recently and owns a historically reliable putter. Detroit GC’s light rough rewards his length and masks wayward drives, making an opening-round 63 within reach if the putter cooperates.

MacMillan went back to the well on Keith Mitchell for First-Round Leader at +6000. Mitchell leads this week’s field in Round-1 strokes gained and actually tops the entire PGA Tour in opening-round scoring average (67.5). With no signature-event nerves and a course that rewards his driver, MacMillan expects another lightning-fast start.

Brian Giuffra independently landed on Stephan Jaeger at +7500, reinforcing the case. Giuffra highlighted Jaeger’s length, sharp short-to-mid-iron play and reliably hot putter—skills that produced back-to-back top-10s in Detroit (2022-23). Although Jaeger’s driver has been erratic since the Truist, the Rocket’s forgiving rough minimizes that weakness. He also finished T6 in Mexico on a similar profile course, convincing Giuffra to run it back.

Brian Kirschner circled Stephan Jaeger at +7500. Jaeger feasts on courses that reward frequent driver usage and already owns a 2024 win (Texas Houston Open). With finishes of T3 at Sony, T6 Mexico, T11 Houston and two prior Rocket Classic top-10s, Kirschner sees ample ceiling. Familiarity with Detroit GC plus a recent stretch of top leaderboard appearances make Jaeger his preferred longshot.

At +8000, Iain MacMillan pegged Emiliano Grillo as his favorite longshot. Grillo has quietly rattled off four consecutive top-25 finishes, including a T19 at the U.S. Open where he gained strokes in all four major facets. He now ranks inside the Tour’s top-50 in both approach play and putting, a combo MacMillan believes converts perfectly to Detroit’s wedge-heavy, birdie-or-bust setup.

Brian Giuffra grabbed Hideki Matsuyama at +3300 despite a 2023 missed cut in Detroit. Matsuyama has gained strokes on approach in two straight starts and with the putter in five of his last six, signaling upward momentum. Giuffra noted the course’s minimal rough negates Hideki’s season-long driver inaccuracy, allowing his elite irons to shine. In birdie-fests Giuffra wants a player who can fire four low rounds, and Matsuyama’s track record of going nuclear when the putter cooperates fits that profile.

Brian Kirschner fired on Davis Thompson at +4000 as his outright. Thompson finished runner-up here last year, and Kirschner called him an elite driver tailor-made for Detroit’s bomber-friendly setup. Although 2024 has been inconsistent, Thompson flashed upside at Genesis, THE PLAYERS and the Travelers, where he gained nearly seven strokes on approach. With the irons suddenly scorching and proof he can close (2023 John Deere win), Kirschner sees Thompson ready to contend again on forgiving fairways.

Iain MacMillan backed Harry Hall at +4000 to win the Rocket Classic, pointing to Hall’s stellar recent form. Over the past four months Hall ranks 5th in this field in total strokes gained and sits 4th on the entire PGA Tour in birdie average—both critical at Detroit Golf Club where winning scores push into the -20s. Hall just finished T9 against a far stronger Travelers field, so MacMillan believes the weaker Rocket lineup makes this the right week to pounce.

Brady Kannon backed Cameron Young at 27-1 to win the 2025 Rocket Classic, arguing Detroit Golf Club is almost tailor-made for him. The Ross design rewards length with little rough penalty, and past champions such as Bryson DeChambeau and Tony Finau support the bomber narrative. Young ranks 5th in this field in Birdies or Better Gained over his last 24 rounds, has already finished 6th and runner-up in two prior Rocket Classic starts, and arrives in form after making every cut during a seven-week gauntlet that produced three top-10 finishes (Truist, RBC Canadian, U.S. Open). With a watered-down field and improved wedge play, Kannon said this is the ideal week for Young to shed his seven-time runner-up label and finally close the door on Sunday.

Cody Williams urged bettors to include Rico Hoey at +9000 on their outright cards, noting Detroit Golf Club suits Hoey’s skill set perfectly. Hoey debuted here last year with a T6 despite actually losing strokes off the tee; now he enters ranking 19th in SG: Off-the-Tee and fifth in Good Drive Percentage over his last 24 rounds. Even better, he sits eighth in SG: Putting on bent/poa over the past 36 rounds and fourth in Birdie or Better rate over the last 24, metrics Williams highlighted as critical in the low-scoring "putting contest" environment DGC often produces. With proven success in easy-scoring conditions and a weaponized driver now firing, Williams believes Hoey’s win probability is far greater than the implied 1.1 percent baked into 90-1 odds.

Cody Williams recommended taking a dice-roll on Emiliano Grillo at +7000, arguing no one in the field is striking the ball better right now. Grillo tops the model’s SG: Approach rankings and is sixth in both SG: Total on comp courses (DGC, TPC Twin Cities, Silverado, Craig Ranch) and Proximity from 100-150 yards, while ranking ninth in Good Drive Percentage. He has finished T24 or better in four straight starts—including a top-20 at the U.S. Open—while gaining 1.75 strokes per round with ball-striking over his last 24 rounds. Williams acknowledged Grillo is losing strokes with the putter, a concern in what can devolve into a putting contest, but maintained the 70-1 price more than compensates for that risk given his current tee-to-green ceiling.

Cody Williams said Ben Griffin is his favorite outright bet at +2200 on FanDuel for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Williams pointed to Griffin’s scorching five-tournament run—win at Colonial, runner-up at Memorial, T10 at the U.S. Open, and two other top-14 finishes—as proof the 27-year-old has "leveled up." The numbers back it up: over his last 12 rounds Griffin is gaining 0.53 strokes off the tee and 0.84 strokes on approach, a massive turnaround from his previous two Rocket Mortgage starts where he actually lost strokes in both categories. With the Detroit Golf Club historically rewarding hot ball-strikers who can go low (four of six winners have reached −23 or better) and this year’s field notably weaker than recent majors and signature events, Williams believes Griffin’s improved tee-to-green profile and streaking putter give him legitimate win equity well above the implied probability of 4.3 percent.

Kenny Kim revealed Akshay Bhatia as the third pillar of his cash-game cornerstones at $8,400. Bhatia ranks top-5 in birdie-or-better percentage over the last 24 rounds, is averaging +2.5 SG:Approach across his last five starts, and finished runner-up at Detroit a year ago. Kim highlighted Bhatia’s proficiency from 100-150 yards, length that turns both par-5s into scoring holes, and comfort on Poa/Bent greens—all factors that reduce missed-cut risk while providing a high birdie floor critical for cash formats. Kim summed it up: “I’m out on him in outrights this week, but for cash games he’s the safest birdie machine on the board.”

Kenny Kim urged large-field GPP players to move off Lee Hodges if projections crown him the highest-owned option in the $7,200 tier. Kim emphasized that in weak-field, birdie-fest events like the Rocket Mortgage Classic, top-owned 7K chalk carries an outsized bust rate while providing zero leverage when it does succeed. Even though Hodges fits the course, Kim prefers pivoting to similarly priced upside plays such as Ryan Gerard or Kurt Kitayama, banking on a 10-12 % ownership swing to create a meaningful edge. Bottom line: unless Hodges’ ownership craters late, fade him and let the field eat the risk.

Byron Lindeque called Steven Fisk at $6,900 his favorite salary-saver, noting the DraftKings price underrates a player who sits 21st in strokes gained on easy courses, 13th off-the-tee on tracks longer than 7,200 yards, and 16th in a Detroit-specific weighted approach bucket focused on 100-150-yard wedges. Fisk is also 17th in par-5 scoring and grades well out of the rough, an overlooked skill given Detroit’s bluegrass. Recent form isn’t empty either—made cuts at the RBC Canadian (T43) and Charles Schwab (T66) are solid for a 6K flier. Because DraftKings lists him as only the 70th-priciest golfer, Lindeque sees a 20-spot value gap and wants heavy GPP exposure before the crowd catches on.

Kenny Kim labeled Max McGreevy his “Hustler play of the week,” pushing 5 % DFS exposure and an outright at 110-1 with eight places. Kim said McGreevy rockets from 43rd to 9th in his model once the easy-scoring filter is applied—a perfect match for Detroit Golf Club’s birdie fest. The Oklahoma native has gained strokes on approach in eight of his last ten starts and off the tee in nine of his last eleven, giving him a quietly elite tee-to-green profile for this field. He also ranks top-10 in proximity from 100-150 yards over the past 24 rounds, the wedge band that generates most Rocket Mortgage scoring chances. While the putter is volatile, Kim pointed out every positive week has been a spike: +6.1 (Mexico), +3.3 (CJ Cup), +2.7 (Honda), +2.3 (Canada). One more spike on Detroit’s Poa/Bent mix, Kim says, and McGreevy can cash both DFS lineups and outright tickets.

Byron Lindeque is "very much in" on Keith Mitchell for both DFS and top-20 wagers, arguing that Detroit Golf Club is tailor-made for Mitchell’s skill set even though his course history stinks. Mitchell ranks 6th in the field in strokes-gained off-the-tee over the past 24 rounds and is top-10 in birdies on par-5s—two stats that correlate strongly with past Rocket Mortgage leaderboards. Lindeque pointed out that Detroit is the Tour’s 12th least-sticky course for repeat success, so poor prior results matter far less. He used Lucas Glover’s breakout at River Highlands as an example of course-fit eventually winning out over history. With ownership projected under 8 % and odds of +280 for a top-20, Lindeque sees Mitchell as a high-leverage add to rosters built around popular chalk like Luke Clanton or Ben Griffin.

Kenny Kim tabbed Wyndham Clark as his favorite tournament play in the $8K range, reminding listeners that 44 % of Clark’s 30 career top-20s have come in June, July, or August. Clark just gained 1.4 strokes on approach at the Travelers, signaling the end of a brief iron slump, and he has missed only one cut all season. Kim expects ownership around 10 % because Clark has become “Patrick Reed-level unlikable,” a bias he is happy to exploit. Detroit’s birdie fest aligns with Clark’s +0.71 strokes-gained putting average on Bent/Poa mixes and his ability to rack up par-5 birdies (5th on Tour). Kim plans to start large-field GPP builds with a Patrick Cantlay–Ben Griffin chalk core, then gain leverage by adding Clark in place of the more popular Min Woo Lee or Rickie Fowler.

Byron Lindeque advised pivoting to Max Homa at just $9,000 on DraftKings instead of chasing Hideki Matsuyama. Lindeque’s split-stat database shows Hideki ranking dead last among all $9K-and-up golfers in birdie-or-better gained on easy tracks, while Homa sits inside the field’s top 10 thanks to eight positive putting weeks in his last nine starts. Detroit’s 80 % driver usage and sub-560-yard par-5s play directly into Homa’s mix of length and red-hot putter, yet early ownership projections have him in single digits because gamers are gravitating toward Cantlay, Griffin, and the “play Hideki when no one plays him” narrative. Lindeque called Homa a “pure leverage smash”—$500 cheaper than Matsuyama, comparable win equity, and a much friendlier course fit. He suggested building tournament cores around Homa and even sprinkling an outright at 28-1 before the number shortens if the forecasted calm conditions hold.

Kenny Kim argued Collin Morikawa could become the leverage play of the week in DFS if early ownership projections remain below 20 percent. Morikawa hasn’t played a non-signature event all season and still ranks third in Kim’s model for easy-condition scoring and sixth in birdie-or-better gained on easy tracks. While a mediocre iron week at the Travelers has the community spooked, Kim pointed out this will be the easiest course Morikawa has seen since posting a 5th-place at Pebble Beach. With no Scheffler, McIlroy or Schauffele in the field, Morikawa is the lone “elite of the elite.” If his ownership truly stays in the mid-teens, Kim plans to jam him into both cash and GPP builds, betting on a bounce-back ball-striking performance against soft competition.

Byron Lindeque called Cameron Davis an auto-bet at +280 for a top-20, noting the Aussie has finished inside the top-20 in all four Rocket Mortgage starts, including his 2021 victory. Even in down form, Davis has been “the most profitable bet at Detroit” over the last six years, and Lindeque sees no reason books should be hanging nearly 3-to-1 on what amounts to a course-horse prop. With two reachable par-5s tailor-made for Davis’s high-launch driver and a second-shot layout that masks his shaky wedges, Lindeque expects another comfortable T20 and suggests loading the placement prop rather than chasing a repeat victory.

Kenny Kim fired a moon-shot on former Haskins, Hogan and Nicklaus award winner John Pak at between 500-1 and 900-1, pointing to a sneaky iron heater that makes those odds “mis-hung.” Pak has gained with his irons in six of his last seven tournaments, banking 23.1 strokes in that span—almost four strokes per start. He briefly held the lead at Colonial, a course with a similar approach-shot dispersion to Detroit, and flashed a +4.1 SG-Putting week there as well. Kim acknowledged Pak’s weaknesses off the tee and around the green but argued Detroit’s generous fairways and minimal short-game demands mitigate those flaws. Kim’s actionable play: sprinkle the massive outright number and grab the 200-1 with 12 places for insurance.

Kenny Kim took a swing on Adam Hadwin at 140-1 each way, arguing the Canadian’s skill set lines up perfectly for Detroit’s Ross greens and wedge-heavy approach pattern. Hadwin grades out No. 1 in this field from 100-125 yards over the past two months and owns eight top-10s since the start of 2023, every single one on Bent or Poa-blend putting surfaces—the same mix he’ll see this week. Kim added that Hadwin’s past results at Detroit are quietly strong, giving him “pop-up upside” at triple-digit prices. With eight places paid on the outright ticket, Kim likes Hadwin as a high-floor, high-ceiling option who can out-putt the field if his wedges stay warm.

Byron Lindeque said Aldrich Potgieter is a must-add outright and DFS flier at 110-1 because Detroit Golf Club rewards raw length and minimizes chipping, a perfect recipe for the 19-year-old South African bomber. Lindeque noted Potgieter ranked top-5 in carry distance on the Korn Ferry circuit and will be able to “drive some of the short par-4s” this week, especially if Friday’s forecasted 20-30 mph tailwinds materialize. Potgieter already flashed upside with a 6th-place finish at Colonial, a tight, less-than-driver layout, proving his game is not one-dimensional. Over his last eight starts he owns two top-6 finishes mixed with five missed cuts, the boom-or-bust profile ideal for large-field GPPs and long-shot outrights. Lindeque summed it up: at triple-digit odds you are buying elite distance and spike potential on a course where bombers historically separate.

Kim grabbed Emiliano Grillo at 66-1 (eight places), highlighting a scorching tee-to-green stretch: 27.2 SG T2G over his last five starts (5.5 per event). Grillo is No. 1 in the field with wedges, a critical 100-125 band this week, and has flashed spike-putting weeks (+7.7 Houston, +3.1 U.S. Open). Four top-25s in five outings suggest the ball-striking is stabilizing; if the putter cooperates on the Poa/Bent mix, Kim says the Argentine can contend.

Kenny Kim sees value in Byeong Hun An at 55-1 (eight places). An posted back-to-back top-15s in non-majors, showed improved irons, and remains one of the longest hitters in the field—perfect for Detroit’s 80% driver usage. He rates among the best from 100-125 yards because length leaves him wedges in, and Poa has historically been his least-bad putting surface. Kim predicted earlier this year that An would win; he believes "this could be the week."

Kim grabbed Akshay Bhatia at 35-1 with eight places, citing elite birdie production and strong approach trends (averaging +2.5 SG:Approach over his last five starts). Bhatia finished runner-up in Detroit last year, sits top-5 in birdie-or-better percentage over the past 24 rounds, and ranks high from 100-150 yards—the key wedge band this week. Kim admits recent finishes are merely average but is betting the ceiling in a low-scoring shootout.

Kenny Kim fired on Luke Clanton at 33-1 (eight places). Detroit Golf Club is the first PGA venue Clanton has seen twice; he finished top-10 here last season as a rookie and rates No. 1 in Kim’s easy-condition scoring filter—jumping from 23rd to 8th overall when birdie-fests are isolated. Clanton has gained with his irons in four straight starts, ranks near the top from 100-150 yards, and owns multiple +4-stroke putting weeks on Poa/Bent blends. Kim believes the sophomore’s combination of length, wedge prowess, and spike-putt potential makes him a live outright despite the presence of bigger names.

Lindeque plans to lay juice on Hideki Matsuyama NOT finishing top-10 via PlayProfitX’s yes/no market. Matsuyama has cracked the top-10 only 7% of his starts in the past year and ranks outside the top-30 in the model’s easy-course scoring and comp-course performance buckets. Lindeque is comfortable paying the premium because "no other books let you short the placement," and he has excess bankroll there after recent wins.

Lindeque loves Ben Griffin at +220 for a top-10. Griffin owns a 33% top-10 rate over the last 12 months—best in this field—and sits No. 1 in Lindeque’s "upside" rankings that weigh birdie-making and finish distribution. The North Carolinian also checks the comp-course boxes (TPC Craig Ranch, Scottsdale) and scores well on easy tracks. With sportsbooks still pricing him like a volatile mid-tier, Lindeque calls the +220 number "criminally soft."

Byron Lindeque is again playing Patrick Cantlay top-20, this time at −105. His placement tool has Cantlay inside the top-20 in 55% of starts, translating to a calculated 22% expected edge at the posted price. Lindeque called Cantlay "auto-cash" last week as the Californian hovered between 10th and 20th throughout. While a plus-350 top-five is tempting, Lindeque prefers the steadier payout on a golfer who grades out elite in easy-course scoring and possesses previous top-five Rocket Mortgage finishes.

Lindeque recommended betting Keegan Bradley top-20 at −105. His data shows Bradley landing that finish "more than half the time," making the near-even price a value. Although Bradley’s outright ceiling looks limited in the model, his steady driver-plus-putter combo fits Detroit Golf Club’s back-and-forth routing and smaller Ross greens. Lindeque views the placement prop as a safer way to capitalize on Bradley’s floor while avoiding the captaincy distractions he discussed earlier in the show.

Byron Lindeque said a Collin Morikawa top-20 ticket at −135 is still under-valued. His placement model shows Morikawa finishing inside the top-20 56% of the time over the past year, while his top-10 rate sits at just 17%. Morikawa ranks second overall and first for "safety" in Lindeque’s six-category model that weighs distance on 7,200-plus-yard layouts, easy-scoring dominance, and Donald Ross history. Lindeque noted Morikawa hasn’t cracked a top-10 since publicly declaring he “doesn’t owe us anything,” so he prefers the low-variance placement rather than outright or top-10 wagers.