Danny Brasco favors Michal Oleksiejczuk against Sedriques Dumas, specifically targeting an inside-the-distance finish. Though acknowledging Dumas' wrestling ability, Brasco sees a clear talent gap favoring Oleksiejczuk based on his extensive UFC experience and superior level of recent competition, exemplified by a quality striking performance against ranked opponents like Kevin Holland. Brasco specifically highlights Oleksiejczuk's switch to the elite Fighting Nerds gym. After experiencing a tough defeat to standout prospect Caio Borralho, Oleksiejczuk proactively joined Borralho's camp and now benefits from training and corner assistance from Borralho, significantly elevating his overall skill ceiling and likelihood of finishing Dumas inside the distance.

Billy Ward agreed with Sean Zerillo in evaluating Michal Oleksiejczuk as a strong betting option inside the distance against Sedriques Dumas at UFC 314. Ward described Dumas skeptically as taller but not particularly skilled or notably athletic, emphasizing he's perceived wrongly just because he's wild. Given these significant concerns regarding Dumas' technical ability and overall cardio, Ward strongly favors betting on the fight finishing inside the distance in Michal Oleksiejczuk's favor rather than the fight lasting the full three rounds. Ward recommended betting on Oleksiejczuk via KO or inside the distance as optimal plays.

Sean Zerillo likes Michal Oleksiejczuk at around -200 odds against Sedriques Dumas at UFC 314. Zerillo underscored Oleksiejczuk's recent training camp with Caio Borralho and Team Fighting Nerds, notably improving his grappling skills and defensive composure. Most importantly, Oleksiejczuk has specifically cited significantly improved cardio as a key preparation aspect which traditionally has been a weakness, typically fading if his fights extend beyond round one. Zerillo believes Oleksiejczuk's cardio improvement and striking technique should let him weather any early grappling threat from Dumas— who Zerillo critiques as a less skilled fighter—and finish inside the distance. Zerillo recommended multiple betting angles here including Oleksiejczuk inside the distance at +115 and specifically by knockout at +150.

Sedriques Dumas, according to Kunath, is an undervalued DFS asset at UFC 314 due to his significant wrestling and grappling advantage over Michal Oleksiejczuk. Kunath argues plainly that Dumas' path to victory lies in relentless grappling pressure, top control, and takedowns rather than striking exchanges, where Oleksiejczuk holds a substantial advantage. Specifically, Kunath noted that if Dumas can take the fight beyond the first round and maintain consistent top position, an 85-point or higher DFS performance is likely. Even though he recognized Oleksiejczuk's threat for a quick finish, Kunath emphasized Dumas' wrestling upside as a key differentiator among underdog plays.

Matty Betss recommended looking at the late KO props for Michal Oleksiejczuk, specifically rounds 2 (+650) and round 3 (+1000), against opponent Sedriques Dumas. While he doesn't believe Dumas is significantly chinny or will be finished early, Matty sees a scenario where Michal's aggressive striking style, toughness, and experience against elite competition could gradually wear down Dumas, potentially setting up a late-round stoppage as fatigue sets in. Matty provided curiosity about Oleksiejczuk's improved preparation, mentioning his recent training with the 'Fighting Nerds' gym as a positive indicator of continued striking refinement.

Kunath recommends Sedriques Dumas as a live betting opportunity if his fight against Michal Oleksiejczuk reaches the second round. While acknowledging Oleksiejczuk's known early-round knockout threat, Kunath highlights Oleksiejczuk's severe grappling deficiencies and demonstrated poor performances in fights extending beyond the first round (only one decision win in UFC career, losing nearly all fights beyond round one). Conversely, Dumas shows far superior wrestling skills and cardio, has taken minimal damage historically, and faces a must-win scenario to maintain his UFC roster spot. Dumas also possesses significant motivation advantages—Oleksiejczuk has hinted at retirement and lost four of his last five fights, signaling declining commitment. Kunath expects Dumas's strategic wrestling and endurance to earn him a decision victory or late submission if the fight passes the first round.

Bedtime MMA predicted Michal Oleksiejczuk to earn a late-round TKO victory against Sedriques Dumas. While critical of Oleksiejczuk in general, he acknowledged Oleksiejczuk's fundamental boxing and superior striking capabilities. Bedtime MMA also criticized Dumas for his predictable wrestling-heavy approach and lack of versatile striking skills. Given Dumas's limited offensive arsenal and Oleksiejczuk's ability to melt opponents with pressure boxing, Bedtime MMA expects Oleksiejczuk to weather an early round of wrestling adversity and secure a TKO finish late in round two or early round three.

Dave Ross recommended taking Michal Oleksiejczuk via KO (+155) instead of his heavily juiced moneyline now above -200. Ross reasoned that while Oleksiejczuk has faced high-level competition consistently, leading him to be a rightful favorite, betting him straight at over a 2-to-1 favorite is prohibitive. Given Oleksiejczuk's fighting style as primarily a knockout or bust talent, the safer and higher payoff approach is betting specifically on a KO victory rather than risking inflated moneyline odds.

Matty Betss identified good potential value on Michal Oleksiejczuk KO wins in rounds two (+650) or round three (+1000) against Sedriques Dumas. Matty noted Dumas isn't particularly chinny, predicting he'll be durable enough to survive early exchanges, but could become vulnerable as the fight progresses. Given Oleksiejczuk's aggressive striking and KO power, as shown in fights including when he put down Kevin Holland (who rarely gets finished), Matty sees significant profit opportunity leveraging those round-specific knockout props rather than betting Michal straight at shorter odds.