Kenny G backed the Reds at -125, pointing to several converging factors. Zach Lattell has flashed ceiling starts since the trade—holding both the Cubs and Brewers scoreless—but simply lacked consistency. Kenny expects a "bounce-back spot" because Lattell now has a few weeks of NL Central familiarity and faces a St. Louis lineup that has fallen to 16th in runs and 26th in slugging over the past month. On the other side, Matthew Liberatore is fading (4.27 ERA, three straight short outings, walk issues resurfacing), so Kenny is not banking on length from him, and notes the Cincinnati bullpen has quietly improved down the stretch while St. Louis’ normally elite pen will be asked to cover early. The Reds are 36-28 at home versus the Cards’ 29-37 road mark, giving Cincy a 15-win delta in home/road splits. All told, he sees the modest money-line juice as value with playoff-hungry Cincinnati in its own park.