Welsh locked in Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 Ks at –110, noting the lefty has cleared that number in three of his last four outings while carrying a 28% overall whiff rate. Liberatore’s sweeper owns a 42% whiff rate and should feast on a Cincinnati lineup striking out 26% of the time versus southpaws, third-worst in the league. The early getaway game means normal bullpen arms could be restricted, increasing Liberatore’s leash. Welsh expects 90 pitches and projects 6-7 strikeouts if the slider is anywhere near the zone.

JD Bets took Nolan Arenado over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs, leaning on the third baseman’s dominance of Andrew Abbott. Arenado is 6-for-13 (.462) with a 1.40 OPS and a homer off the southpaw, and Abbott has surrendered 5+ hits in eight of his last ten starts. St. Louis ranks 8th in wRC+ versus left-handers, while Cincinnati’s bullpen had to cover 18 innings during yesterday’s double-header, setting up plenty of late-game plate appearances. JD likes the spot, noting Arenado’s alternating hot-cold pattern the last ten games puts him "due" for a multi-hit day in hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.

Scott Reichel leaned to the full-game under 8.5 in Thursday’s Liberatore vs Andrew Abbott matchup. Cincinnati’s offense has cooled off—shut out in both ends of Wednesday’s doubleheader—and now faces a lefty, Liberatore, who has been "fine" so far. Abbott has likewise been steady, and Reichel does not expect either lineup to explode after playing 18 innings the previous day. He projects something in the 4-3 range and believes 8.5 is a tick too high for two competent southpaws and a Reds lineup suddenly sputtering.

Scott Reichel advised betting the Cardinals team-total under (3.5 or 4.5 depending on the book) rather than laying full-game juice. He pointed to Andrew Abbott’s microscopic .118 batting average against, the wind blowing in at Great American Ballpark, and St. Louis’ brutal 4-13 road record. Reichel added that the Reds’ struggles versus left-handed pitching plus a potential Liberatore bounce-back create a low-variance scoring environment in which St. Louis may lose its ninth-inning plate appearance. With Abbott missing bats and keeping the ball in the yard, Reichel is willing to “dare the Cards to hit” and expects them to finish with three runs or fewer.

Mark locked in St. Louis at +105 after Cincinnati’s bats produced just one run across a weather-forced double-header the day before. With Matthew Liberatore facing Andrew Abbott, he views the pitching as a wash but notes the Reds rank bottom-5 in OPS over the last week. The spot favors the better-rested Cardinals inside the division, so Mark is simply playing the number on a team he trusts more offensively right now.

Kenny G leaned toward the Reds at –122 despite admitting it will not make his pinned card. He cited a significant starting-pitching edge: Andrew Abbott, 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA, should rebound after an uncharacteristic five-walk outing in Colorado, while Cardinals lefty Matthew Liberatore, although sporting a 3.19 ERA, faces regression and brings a St. Louis club that is just 3-12 on the road. Cincinnati’s bullpen grades slightly above league average and gives them another small edge over a Cards relief corps that only recently dipped to a 4.04 ERA thanks to Wednesday’s double-header shutout. Kenny also pointed to the Reds’ elite ceiling on offense (24-run explosion vs Baltimore earlier this month) and the Cardinals’ potentially unsustainable 3rd-best team batting average. With the Redlegs in an immediate revenge spot after being outscored 15-1 in yesterday’s double-header, he thinks the short home favorite is worth a look.

In addition to the Burke fade, Final Round noted Willson Contreras’ success versus Reds lefty Andrew Abbott: 3-for-5 with a homer (.600). Contreras has a hit in 10 of his last 11 contests, so the host recommends leveraging that micro-history for single-game or parlay hit props.

Cash Out Sports Picks played the Under, citing that the first two games of the set averaged just five total runs and that eight of the last ten Cardinals-Reds matchups have stayed below the number. Liberatore has worked at least six innings in five straight starts while giving up two or fewer in three straight and has not yielded a homer in that span. Abbott’s lone home start was solid and he historically handles Great American Ballpark well. Both offenses are slumping—St. Louis scored three or fewer in four of the last five, Cincinnati was shut out Wednesday—so the tout sees another low-scoring divisional tilt.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended the Cardinals money-line, noting St. Louis owns strong splits versus left-handed pitching and now faces Andrew Abbott, who has allowed nine runs in his last three starts against them and four runs in his most recent outing overall. Meanwhile, Matthew Liberatore has surrendered only four total runs across his last three starts and limited the Reds to one run over 7.2 innings in their previous meeting. The tout expects Cincinnati’s offense, already shaky versus southpaws, to remain quiet, allowing St. Louis to capitalize and take the series finale.

Erik Halterman labeled Matt McLain a prime get-right target for managers willing to stomach early ugliness. McLain is hitting .162 through 20 games, but that comes with a .190 BABIP—less than half the .385 mark that fueled last year’s .290 rookie average. Statcast pegs him for a .233 xBA, which is more than enough when paired with his bankable pop and wheels. He already has four homers and four steals this season, leaving him with 25 HR and 22 SB per 600 plate appearances in his young career. The underlying power metrics back it up: 17% barrel rate and 52% hard-hit percentage. Strikeouts remain a concern at 33%, yet Halterman compared the profile to Jazz Chisholm—raw contact but game-changing fantasy tools. The missed 2024 season due to shoulder surgery adds doubt, but that doubt is what creates the buying window. Pounce now before the BABIP normalizes and the counting stats pile up in Great American Ball Park.

Greg Peterson backed the Reds at -120, noting that Andrew Abbott’s 3.60 ERA and 12.0 K/9 give Cincinnati a clear starting–pitching edge while their bullpen enters the double-header with a 3.46 ERA. St. Louis counters with Matthew Liberatore, whose career road ERA (5.86) and HR/9 (1.1) are far worse than his home numbers, and a relief corps that ranks 25th with a 4.80 ERA. Peterson’s own line made the Reds -136, creating what he called meaningful value on the current price.

Guy Boston leaned to the St. Louis Cardinals money-line in both halves of today’s double-header, calling it a classic plus-money arbitrage spot. He argued the series is basically 50/50: the Reds’ recent offensive surge came at altitude in Colorado and they managed only three runs in Monday’s opener, suggesting regression now that they are out of Coors. He added that Brady Singer has been excellent but is probably due for a stumble, while Miles Mikolas, though untrustworthy, should keep St. Louis in it. In a true coin-flip series, getting roughly +130 in each game creates a scenario where winning only one contest still turns a profit. Boston also reminded viewers that double-headers introduce quirky bullpen and lineup decisions that often favor the deeper roster—another checkmark for St. Louis.

Adam Rosenberg played Miles Mikolas under 3.5 strikeouts at –104. The Reds are the hottest offense over the past two weeks and rank top-10 in contact rate during that span. Mikolas has stayed under this number in four of his last five and owns just a 6% strikeout rate on the road. With a double-header on deck, Rosenberg expects the veteran to pitch to contact and cede innings to the bullpen rather than chase Ks.

Bryan Power went back to the well with Cincinnati’s team total over 4.5 in Game 1 of the Cards–Reds doubleheader. He trusts a Reds offense that is third in MLB runs scored and plays in the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. The matchup is Miles Mikolas, who owns a 5.70 ERA over five starts with St. Louis losing every outing. Power reminded listeners the Cardinals bullpen sits bottom-six in ERA and that St. Louis is an abysmal 2-12 on the road, surrendering 6.14 runs per game away from Busch Stadium—the second-worst mark in baseball. He also cited Monday’s game in which Cincinnati went 0-for-8 with RISP yet still plated three; positive regression with men on base should push them past five runs today. With weather improved after Tuesday’s rainout, Power expects the Reds to cash the over before the late-inning relievers even arrive.

Malcolm Bamford hammered the over 9.5 in Cardinals-Reds. He doubts either southpaw: Steven Matz is transitioning from the bullpen and prone to spectacular blow-ups, while Andrew Abbott, though unbeaten, just posted his worst outing and still hasn’t faced a quality lineup. Both bullpens have been vulnerable, and Cincinnati’s offense can explode at any moment in Great American Ball Park. Bamford thinks any total below ten is short because one crooked inning from either pen could cash the ticket, especially if Matz’s command wobbles early.

Dylan Rockford laid –130 on Cincinnati and would bet them to –150 behind Andrew Abbott. The Reds are 7-3 in their last ten and a perfect 3-0 in Abbott’s starts, while St. Louis is a fade on the road at 2-12 with a bottom-10 bullpen. Rockford expects a bullpen day for the Cardinals because Steven Matz has been working in relief; that relief corps is already over-taxed. Meanwhile, the Cards offense has gone ice-cold, averaging just 2.4 runs per game over the past five. In a hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, Rockford trusts the hotter lineup and sharper starter to extend Cincinnati’s surge and potentially push for the division lead.

Kenny G said the Reds at -136 are his favorite side in the day-game opener because everything tilts Cincinnati’s way. He pointed to Brady Singer’s 4-0 record and 3.62 ERA, noting his last start (6 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, 0 BB vs Miami) and that the club is 5-0 behind him. Miles Mikolas, meanwhile, is 0-2 with a 5.70 ERA and the Cardinals are 0-5 in his starts. Kenny hammered the matchup context: St. Louis owns a 4.70 bullpen ERA, has scored only two total runs in its last two games, and is an abysmal 2-12 on the road. Conversely, Cincinnati has won five straight, owns a bullpen he called "well above average," and has exploded for 38, 6 and 8 runs in its last three games. He also cited hot bats from Gavin Lux, Noelvi Marte, Austin Hays (5 HR) and Elly De La Cruz (.270, 5 HR, constant stolen-base threat). With the Reds 7-6 at home and the price shortening, Kenny declared Cincinnati the clear betting side and a strong candidate for his pinned-comment best bet.

Joe Pisapia advised treating Matt McLain as a classic buy-low after a miserable April (.111 over the last two weeks, .190 BABIP). While the 32 % strikeout rate is ugly, his 52 % hard-hit rate and elite barrels remain, and he already has four homers and four steals—a 20/20 pace. Statcast shows he is crushing fastballs by quality (.288 xAVG vs .184 actual) but lifting too many balls with little pull (≈20° launch angle, 10 % pulled air). Pisapia expects those timing issues to normalize once rust wears off following his lost 2024 season and suggests offering a fringe top-150 piece to land him before the BABIP corrects.

Willson Contreras is 3-for-5 (.600) against Andrew Abbott and enters Wednesday on a 10-game hitting streak. The tout recommends continuing to back Contreras in the hits market.

Ron took Cincinnati on both the moneyline and –1.5 because Andrew Abbott has historically pitched better at Great American Ball Park, while Steven Matz, though solid in relief, is being stretched out and faces a Reds lineup that handles left-handed pitching far better than the Cardinals. Cincinnati also owns the superior bullpen and home-field advantage, and St. Louis has been dreadful on the road this season.

Eric Lindquist re-fired on the Cardinals +1.5 run line in Game 1 after Tuesday’s wager was voided by the rainout. He admitted Miles Mikolas is a problem (12.3 % K-rate, .348 xwOBA, “worst contract in baseball”), but still likes the run-line because the market keeps tilting too hard toward Brady Singer, whose 28.6 % strike-out rate and .284 xwOBA have pushed the price from –125 to –136 overnight. Lindquist expects Singer to win the pitching matchup yet thinks St. Louis keeps it within a run thanks to a deeper bullpen and a lineup that owns a .332 wOBA versus right-handers over the past two weeks. He told listeners to “just bet it” again at the worse number rather than abandon the edge.

Drew Martin grabbed the Cardinals +110 in the makeup of a double-header, highlighting Steven Matz’s bounce-back form: a 1.93 ERA and 14-to-3 K/BB ratio across both relief and one five-inning start. He contrasted that with Reds southpaw Andrew Abbott, who walked five in four innings his last outing and owns lingering control issues. Martin pointed out Cincinnati’s lineup ranks poorly versus left-handed pitching while St. Louis sits top-10 against southpaws. Warm 75-degree hitting weather helps the superior offense. He is listing Matz and fading Abbott’s command, expecting the Redbirds to steal one in the Queen City.

Drew Dinsick also recommended grabbing Under 9.0 runs despite Great American Ball Park’s hitter-friendly reputation. He pointed to several converging factors: totals have cashed Under in four of the Cardinals’ last five thanks to a slumping offense that sits 26th in wRC+ over the past two weeks; early start times in Cincinnati historically mute run production by roughly 0.4 runs because of heavier, more humid morning air; and both clubs will be managing arms carefully ahead of Game 2, likely limiting high-leverage bats to fewer total plate appearances. Abbott has allowed two or fewer earned runs in three of four non-Coors starts, and Matz, even in short bursts, owns a 1.80 ERA with a 26 % strikeout rate. Add in the fact that Reds games have stayed Under in six of Abbott’s last nine home outings, and Dinsick’s simulations show only 7.6 median runs, giving nearly a full-run cushion versus the posted total.

Drew Dinsick said the best way to attack Wednesday’s opener of the double-header is to ride the Cincinnati Reds at the current ‑125 moneyline price. His model makes the Reds a ‑145 favorite after accounting for three key edges: (1) recent form – Cincinnati is 7-3 over its last ten while St. Louis has stumbled to 3-7, (2) home dominance – the Reds have won 4 of their last 5 at Great American Ball Park against NL opponents and have covered the run line in three straight there, and (3) a red-hot top of the order – Gavin Lux is on a 12-game hitting streak, slashing .512 (22-for-43) and lengthening the lineup behind Elly De La Cruz. While Andrew Abbott’s 3.60 ERA looks middling, Dinsick noted that his lone blow-up came at Coors Field; in every other start he has kept the ball on the ground at a 52 % clip. Conversely, Steven Matz has worked only 20 total innings all year and lasted just two outs in his last appearance, forcing Oliver Marmol to lean on a shaky Cardinals bullpen that owns the 6th-worst FIP (4.72) over the past two weeks. With Cincinnati’s bats cooking and the Cards’ pen overexposed, Dinsick trusts the Reds to take Game 1 straight up.

Peterson laid -125 with Cincinnati in Game 2, citing a massive bullpen gap and starter advantage. Steven Matz has dazzled in relief (1.80 ERA overall) but has just one 2025 start and a recent history of blowups when stretched out (6.12 ERA as starter in 2024). Reds southpaw Andrew Abbott counters with a 3.60 ERA and 12 K/9, and he can hand the ball to a pen sporting a 3.46 ERA. St. Louis relievers sit 25th at 4.80, making late innings a liability. Peterson hung Reds -146, locking in the price discrepancy.

Brad Francis played the Reds money line around –140, largely because he “is not a Miles Mikolas guy.” He expects Cincinnati’s lineup to “smack him up at home” if the weather allows the game to be played—heavy rain is in the forecast, so bettors should monitor postponement risk. Even with that caveat, Brad feels the pitching edge and home setting justify laying the modest price with the Reds.

JD Bets targeted Miles Mikolas’ walk prop—listed at 1.5—for an Over play. He noted the right-hander has failed to stay under two free passes in 80 percent of his starts this season, and now faces a Reds lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB at drawing walks (5.1 per game). Great American Ball Park’s lively atmosphere and a Cincinnati batting order stacked with patient lefties such as TJ Friedl and Elly De La Cruz further increase the risk of deep counts. JD summed it up by saying, “two walks, that’s all we need,” and considers the Over on Mikolas walks an easy single-leg or parlays piece alongside other props.

JD Bets said the Reds at –132 are his favorite wager on the board. He rattled off four separate edges in Cincinnati’s favor: (1) the offense is on a heater, averaging 7.3 runs and 12 hits over the last ten games; (2) the lineup has a long track-record of success against Miles Mikolas, with TJ Friedl (.357), Elly De La Cruz (.364) and Spencer Steer (.500) all owning gaudy career numbers off him; (3) Mikolas’ 80 percent hit-rate to the Over on his walk prop points to extra traffic on the bases; and (4) the Reds have the superior starting pitcher and will enjoy Great American Ball Park’s hitter-friendly confines. JD concluded that St. Louis would need to overcome home-field, pitching, offensive and matchup disadvantages all at once—something he “doesn’t see happening”—making the Cincinnati moneyline a stand-alone play and a strong parlay anchor.

Guy Boston targeted Jordan Walker UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at –135 on BetMGM. Walker has failed to eclipse this line in eight of his last ten outings, posting just 0.8 combined H/R/RBI across that stretch. For the season he is under in 16 of 26 games (62 %), averaging 1.35. He produced a goose egg in Monday’s series opener versus Cincinnati and now faces left-hander Andrew Abbott, whose 2.92 ERA and sub-.200 opponent average versus right-handed hitters amplify Walker’s recent woes. With the rookie’s ground-ball heavy profile and near-bottom-quartile hard-hit rate, Boston expects the slump to continue, making the under a value play despite modest juice.

Guy Boston played Gavin Lux OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at –140 on BetMGM. Lux has cashed this number in 9 of his last 10 contests, averaging 3.4 H/R/RBI, and in 10 of his last 11 per Outlier (3.7 average). Season-long he is 15-for-27 (56 %) on the over. The hot streak includes last night’s three-hit, one-run, one-RBI effort against St. Louis. He faces Miles Mikolas, who is carrying a 5.70 ERA and allowing a .281 average overall; those figures worsen versus left-handed hitters. Lux owns a .400 average and 179.7 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year and has tallied multiple H/R/RBI in four of seven prior meetings with the Cardinals. A small five-PA sample against Mikolas already includes success, and Cincinnati’s Great American Ball Park boosts offense. With elite splits and a soft opposing arm, Boston sees Lux staying hot.

Bettor Mark’s fourth best bet is Reds 1st-5 moneyline at –135. He highlighted Brady Singer’s 4-0 start and sub-3 ERA as the main edge over Miles Mikolas, whose command has wavered early in 2025. Great American Ball Park remains one of MLB’s most homer-friendly venues, so Mark wants no part of the full-game bullpens and instead isolates the superior starter. Cincinnati is 16-13 but has played better than its record after shaking off a brief slump; Mark believes their sneaky postseason upside shows up here. The objective is a quality start from Singer and an early lead before turning it over to a volatile relief corps.

Bryan Power went right back to the Reds team-total Over 4.5 after it burned him last night. He trusts a lineup sitting third in MLB in runs scored, pointing out that Cincinnati went 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position and grounded into three double plays Monday yet still won 3-1. He expects those stranded-runner woes to regress against Miles Mikolas, whose 5.70 ERA has produced an 0-5 team start record for St. Louis. Power also hammered the matchup advantage once Mikolas exits: the Cardinals bullpen owns the sixth-worst ERA in baseball. With Great American Ball Park’s homer-friendly dimensions and Cincy’s top-10 barrel rate, he forecasts a “crooked number” tonight and believes five runs is the floor rather than the ceiling.

Malcolm Bamford’s favourite ‘degen’ angle is the YRFI at roughly –115. Miles Mikolas games have started 4-1 to a first-inning run and Brady Singer is a perfect 5-0, giving a combined 9-1 clip. Cincinnati is scoring 5.4 runs per game overall and St. Louis has coughed up at least one first-inning tally in six of Mikolas’ last seven road outings. Malcolm also notes the Cards are 2-11 away from Busch and believes Mikolas’ rare scoreless gem versus the Braves was an outlier he will not replicate. One loud swing from either side should cash before fans are settled.

Eric Lindquist said Cincinnati is his favorite wager on Tuesday, laying –125 because Brady Singer is in a completely different class from Miles Mikolas right now. Singer has opened 2025 with a .284 xwOBA and a 2.97 expected ERA, while Mikolas is running a 12.3 % strike-out rate and allowing a .284 expected batting average— numbers Lindquist called “the second-worst contract in baseball behind Rendon.” Mikolas has topped three strikeouts only once all season and continues to get barreled despite six frames of damage control against Atlanta. With Great American Ball Park boosting offense and the Reds’ lineup healthier than it was in Colorado, Lindquist believes the pitching gap plus park factor easily justify playing Cincinnati at anything –135 or better.

Lonte Smith laid –135 with Cincinnati and paired it with the OVER 9.5. The Reds have ripped off four straight wins, plating 5+ runs in every game, and now return to Great American Ball Park where they average 5.4 per night. He is not buying Miles Mikolas’ six-scoreless ‘mirage’ against Atlanta—pointing to just 11 strikeouts in 17.2 innings and a swinging-strike rate under 7%. Brady Singer has been steady (4-0, 3.62 ERA, never more than three earned in a start) so Lonte trusts him to keep the Cards competitive enough to push the total. St. Louis is 2-11 on the highway and their bullpen has the fourth-worst xFIP over the last two weeks, which should allow Cincinnati to keep the scoreboard operator busy.

The tout recommended the Reds money-line, calling the price "undervalued." Cincinnati has won four straight at home versus St. Louis, while the Cardinals are just 2-12 this season as road underdogs. Brady Singer is 4-0 and "locked in," and the Reds lineup has a track record of punishing shaky pitching staffs like St. Louis’. The Cardinals remain hamstrung by mound woes and an offense failing with runners in scoring position, making Cincinnati the sharper side.

Kenny G advised laying –135 with the red-hot Reds. Cincinnati has ripped off five straight wins and starts Brady Singer, who is 4-0 with a 3.62 ERA; the club is 4-1 in his five outings. Singer just logged six innings of two-run ball in Miami and has allowed three or fewer earned runs every start. Kenny contrasted that with Miles Mikolas: 0-2, 5.70 ERA, and the Cardinals are 0-5 when he pitches despite his best outing (6 scoreless at Atlanta) last time out. The St. Louis bullpen has collapsed to a 4.70 ERA (bottom-seven), while the Reds pen is holding steady at 3.46. Offensively the trajectories are opposite: Cincinnati has scored 38, 6, 8 and 5 runs in its last four, buoyed by Elly De La Cruz’s .270 average plus hot bats from Gavin Lux and Austin Hays, whereas the Cardinals have produced just two total runs in their past two games and have fallen to 10th in runs after once leading MLB. St. Louis is also a disastrous 2-11 on the road. Kenny said the under 9.5 is worth a look, but Reds –135 is the wager most likely to land in his pinned comment.

Brian Howard is locking in Reds ‑0.5 in the first five innings at even money. He explained that Miles Mikolas’ 15.8% strikeout rate means Cincinnati will constantly put the ball in play, and several Reds crush four-seamers: Matt McLain carries an 85% hard-hit rate and .353 xBA, Blake Dunn owns a .344 xBA, and Elly De La Cruz has a +4 run value versus heaters. On the other side, Brady Singer’s heavy sinker/slider mix profiles well; only one Cardinal shows an xBA over .300 versus sinkers, while his slider generates whiff rates north of 30% across the lineup. Howard expects Cincinnati to "hang ten" early and thinks the first-five run line is the safest play, with a full-game double-result as an optional bonus.

Just A Bet Outside paired Elly De La Cruz for 1+ hit in a parlay, noting the switch-hitting phenom brings a 12-game hitting streak and a .375 average over the last week into a matchup with Miles Mikolas. Mikolas is surrendering 10.3 H/9, owns a soft 12.3 % strikeout rate and is getting torched by left-handed bats to the tune of a .319 average. Because Elly will bat lefty and Mikolas rarely misses bats, the host expects at least four or five balls in play from Cincinnati’s leadoff man. Add in St. Louis’ shaky middle relief, and De La Cruz’s chances of extending the streak make him a strong single-prop or parlay piece.

The tout highlighted Spencer Steer as a secondary but still strong play against Miles Mikolas. Steer is 6-for-13 with a homer (.462) lifetime vs the Cardinal right-hander and has hits in six of his last eight contests. With Mikolas’ four-seam and sinker getting shelled, Steer’s gap-to-gap approach lines up for at least one knock and potentially extra-base damage. He is recommended for ladder props (hit/1.5 TB) and as a value bat in Reds stacks for DFS tournaments.

It's The Final Round said Elly De La Cruz is a premium hit-prop target against Miles Mikolas. He broke down Mikolas’ pitch mix (32% four-seam, 29% slider, 15% change-up, 13% curve) and noted that De La Cruz owns a .400 BA vs four-seams (8-for-20, 2 HR), .357 vs sliders (5-for-14, HR), and .364 vs curves (4-for-11). Mikolas has been hammered on those same offerings, surrendering a .545 BA on his four-seam (6-for-11) and .238 on the slider while showing no feel for the curve. In their personal history De La Cruz is 4-for-11 (.364) off Mikolas. Wrap that with an 11-game hitting streak and knocks in 17 of his last 20, and the tout expects De La Cruz to clear 1.5 total bases or “record a hit” props with room to spare, making him a strong DFS core play as well.

Peterson advised laying the -128 moneyline with Cincinnati, saying he makes the Reds -150. St. Louis is 0-5 behind Miles Mikolas, whose 5.70 ERA comes with just 4.9 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9, and the Cards’ bullpen sports a 4.80 ERA (25th). Cincinnati counters with Brady Singer, riding a 3.62 ERA, sharper 3.12 FIP and a perfect five-for-five streak of three earned runs or fewer. With the starting-pitching gap and bullpen edge, Peterson believes the current price undersells the Reds.