Joey P likes Atlanta to eclipse 7.5 wins but is timing the market instead of laying the current –130 juice. He plans to watch the Week-1 home matchup with Tampa. If the Falcons drop that opener—"even in a close game"—he expects public over-reaction to flip the price to plus money. At that point he will bet the over, trusting Michael Penix Jr. and a favorable NFC South schedule to get Atlanta to at least eight victories. The strategy lets him ride his bullish season outlook while squeezing extra value out of a likely one-week swing.

Best Ball Guy said Baker Mayfield is a smash pick any time he drifts past pick 90 in Underdog’s Eliminator drafts. He loves that Mayfield opens the season on the road against Atlanta, a defense that just lost A.J. Terrell and finished 27th in pressure rate, making a Week-1 touchdown binge very realistic. Eliminator’s half-PPR scoring magnifies passing TDs, and Mayfield’s 4.6% touchdown rate from 2023 plus sneaky scramble value (three rushing scores) fits that scoring perfectly. The unique Week-9 bye means drafters can pair him with a different-bye quarterback—Best Ball Guy specifically likes coupling Mayfield with Brock Purdy—without ever taking a zero. Because stacking isn’t mandatory in the format, the Buccaneers’ concentrated target tree of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Trey Palmer already captures most Mayfield splash plays, giving him an attractive floor/ceiling combo for a fraction of the cost of other entrenched starters.