Kenny G said he is "leaning toward the Mariners at –190" because Bryan Woo has, in his words, "been throwing the ball really well," while Tampa’s projected starter Adrian Hauser cannot be trusted after his last blow-up outing. The Rays offense remains ice-cold on the road (25-30 overall, 31-22-2 to the under) and Seattle owns strong splits in Safeco, sitting 35-25 at home and ranking 10th in MLB in both runs scored and slugging. Even though –190 is a steep price, Kenny feels the pitching edge and park factors justify backing Seattle.

Kenny G leaned to Seattle –190, citing contrasting momentum and pitching. The Mariners have won six straight and sit 35-25 at home, while Tampa is 25-30 on the road and has dropped 7-of-10 after a 7-4 defeat Saturday. Bryan Woo (9-6, 3.02) just spun seven frames of two-hit ball against Chicago and, despite occasional post-length let-downs, pairs with a sturdy Seattle bullpen to form a trustworthy run-prevention unit. Adrian Hauser (6-3, 2.54 overall) looked nothing like that line in his Rays debut: 5.2 IP, 11 hits, 5 ER in Anaheim. Tampa’s offense, once top-five, has scored 4-2-5-7-1-0-4 across its last seven and Kenny questioned whether it can wake up in spacious T-Mobile Park. With Seattle’s lineup scoring 7-3-4-8-8-8-5 and ranking 10th in runs and slug, he prefers laying the number with the hot home side.

Kenny G is taking the plus-money Rays (+105) in Seattle. Drew Rasmussen has quietly gone 9-5 with a 2.81 ERA and Tampa is 3-0 behind him since the All-Star break, including 5.1 shutout innings against the Dodgers his last time out. Luis Castillo owns a solid 3.22 ERA but lasted only 4⅓ versus Texas and Kenny notes the right-hander “can have a stinker every once in a while.” The Rays lineup, now 11th in runs and 10th in average after scoring 5 and 7 two of their past three, is heating up, while he’s “not 100 % sold” on a Mariners offense that still sits 18th in average. Bullpens are essentially a wash (3.69 vs 3.68 ERA), so Kenny is happy to take the proven road arm and a live bat at a dog price.

Bill Harrelson recommended the less-than 5.5 strikeouts line on Drew Rasmussen in Seattle. Rasmussen has failed to reach six punch-outs in nine of his last ten starts and 16 of his last 18. His lone meeting with the Mariners last season produced only two strikeouts. On the 2025 campaign he has exceeded 5.5 Ks in just 4 of 22 starts (18%), and if you include 2024 he is 22-for-26 to the under. Books are already moving the number, and Harrelson views that steam as confirmation. With Seattle’s strikeout rate sitting near league average and Rasmussen rarely working deep into games, he projects another 4-to-5 K night and calls the under one of the best value props on the board.

Eric Lindquist told listeners to target the over on Jacob Lopez strikeout props, suggesting a full "K ladder" when lines open for Lopez's outing against Washington. He expects bookmakers will hang numbers that are "too low" because the Nationals lineup has thinned after Alex Call was shipped out, leaving few reliable right-handed bats and possibly forcing lefty Luis Garcia into a left-on-left matchup. Given those roster constraints, Lindquist anticipates an elevated strikeout ceiling for Lopez and plans to bet the overs as soon as markets post.