Kenny G is eyeing the Royals at +105 as home dogs, contingent on who Texas ultimately starts. He trusts 26-year-old lefty Noah Cameron, who owns a 2.47 ERA and has allowed only one total earned run over his last two appearances. Kansas City’s bullpen has matched Texas all season, and the lineup is suddenly warm with five or more runs in six of the last eight games despite ranking 28th in season-long runs. Kenny cited the Rangers’ shoulder concerns for Jacob deGrom, uncertain starter, and an anemic offense that sits 26th in batting average and 24th in scoring, making the Royals a live side in a wild-card race they trail by just 2.5 games.

Ruffolo played Bobby Witt Jr. over 1.5 total bases against Jack Leiter. He highlighted Witt’s .622 slugging percentage versus right-handers sitting 94 mph or slower—Leiter’s average four-seam velocity. The young Ranger has allowed a 49% hard-hit rate at Triple-A and was tagged for five extra-base hits in his lone MLB outing. Kauffman Stadium’s deep gaps reward Witt’s line-drive profile, and Kansas City projects for 4.9 implied runs, their second-highest mark of August. Ruffolo thinks Witt can clear the prop with a single swing and prefers the over at anything better than ‑120.

Kenny G advised laying the –130 with Kansas City. Michael Wacha’s five-game run of two or fewer earned runs, a 1.50 ERA in that span, and his June dominance of the Rangers give the Royals a clear starting-pitching edge. Texas drags a 25-37 road record into Kauffman, while KC is 33-29 at home and 4-1 in Wacha’s last five. Add in a top-tier Royals bullpen versus a shaky Texas pen and an offense that has topped six runs in five of six, and Kenny expects Kansas City to "keep on rolling" toward the wild card.

Eric Lindquist recommended betting the Over 2.5 earned runs on Jack Leiter Monday in Kansas City. He noted Kauffman Stadium has played much more hitter-friendly lately with steady wind blowing out, and the Royals’ bats finally broke through for late homers from Jonathan India and Adam Frazier in Sunday’s eighth inning. Lindquist expects that momentum to carry over against Leiter, who is still finding his footing in the majors and rarely pitches deep enough to erase early damage. With the market still hanging 2.5 at standard juice, he views this as a straightforward fade of the young right-hander in a park upgrade for KC hitters.