JD Bets grabbed Detroit at +174 on the money line, trusting Reese Olson and an elite Tigers bullpen to outlast the free-falling Angels. Los Angeles has finally climbed above the .200 team average but still ranks 30th in the league at just 1.6 walks per game over the last 10—meaning they are unlikely to exploit Olson’s occasional control lapses (two walks in four of his last five). The Angels’ projected starter—referred to only as "J.K."—owns a 70 % hard-hit rate allowed in JD’s database and brings no reliable strikeout props. Detroit’s bullpen sports the best ERA in baseball; JD emphasized that any late lead would essentially be "a wrap." With no standout hitter props and total parked at 8.5, he made Detroit ML his lone play from this matchup.

Chris Ruffolo suggested betting Riley Greene to homer at +380. Greene is batting .450 with three bombs versus righties over the past week. Starter Jack Kahanowitz has surrendered a homer in three straight outings, and the Angels bullpen owns MLB’s worst HR/9 (1.8). Ruffolo believes Greene can get one off Kahanowitz or a shaky pen that bleeds power all season.

Brad Francis recommended Tigers ‑1.5 versus the Angels. Detroit has covered the run line in five straight games as a favorite following a loss, a data point Francis trusts. He wants to fade Jack O’Hanawakes again after a brutal 2024 campaign and a continuation of the command issues that plagued him last year. Meanwhile, Reese Olson has been 'damn solid' for Detroit, giving up two runs or fewer in four of his last five turns. Francis expects the Tigers’ pen to protect a multi-run cushion.

Kenny G leaned hard toward Detroit –167 and said it could become his official Lock of the Day. He likes Reese Olson’s 3.55 ERA and track record of five quality starts in six tries, plus a dominant 2.62 bullpen ERA that ranks No. 2 in baseball. Offensively Detroit sits seventh in runs and eighth in average despite scoring only twice on Saturday, with Zach McKinstry and Spencer Torkelson both above .300 and providing pop. Fading L.A. is the other half of the equation: rookie Jack Kohanowitz owns a 5.29 ERA, the Angels bullpen is a disaster at 6.60, Mike Trout is on the IL, and the lineup is dead-last in OBP and 29th in batting. With the Tigers still 21-13 overall and the Angels just 13-19, Kenny thinks Detroit should be north of –180 and expects a strong rebound after yesterday’s misfire.

He also played the UNDER, noting both starters can keep damage in check. Despite a 5-plus ERA, Kachinovich has yielded just two runs in each of his last two home outings. Olson posted back-to-back scoreless starts before a three-run hiccup and now faces the punch-less, Trout-less Angels lineup. Detroit’s offense is improved but not elite, and the Tigers’ bullpen reliability further suppresses late scoring. With both arms capable of six quality innings, the tout expects a tight, low-scoring getaway-day game.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Tigers on the money line. L.A. has lost 14 of 18 and has not strung together consecutive wins since early April. Starter Kenny Kachinovich has been tagged for 31 hits, 17 ER, and 12 walks in his last 26.1 innings, often unraveling in clusters. Detroit counters with Reese Olson, who has surrendered only 10 hits and three runs over his last 18 frames. The Tigers’ bullpen has been markedly steadier, and the Angels’ offense—27th in MLB and still without Mike Trout—offers little resistance. Until Los Angeles shows sustained competence, the tout is fading them. Play: Tigers ML.

Drew Martin laid the –160 with Detroit, continuing his season-long strategy of backing the Tigers and fading the Angels. He highlighted Reese Olson’s form—3-1 overall, wins in three of his last four decisions, and a 7⅓-inning scoreless gem against San Diego—as well as a Tigers offense he grades top-10 both season-long and over the past week. The opposing starter, 24-year-old Jack Kajanowitz, sports a 5.50 ERA/FIP blend, has lost four straight starts, and has allowed 27 hits and four walks in his last 20 innings, showing worsening control. Martin stressed the bullpen gap: Detroit ranks top-5 in his numbers while Los Angeles sits bottom-3. After Detroit took the first two games of the series in blowouts, he expects them to complete the job and is comfortable eating the 60-cent price.

Shubham Soni labeled Riley Greene one of the slate’s highest-upside props at +380. Greene is shredding baseballs: .419 average, five homers, 11 RBIs, two multi-homer games, and a 1.374 OPS across his last eight contests. He now faces Angels rookie Jack Kochanowicz (1-4, 5.29 ERA) who has struggled to get swings and misses and has allowed loud contact all month. Soni expects the Tigers’ budding star to keep the party going in friendly hitting conditions.

Francis played Detroit’s team total over 4.5, noting the Tigers have cleared that number in three of their last four road contests. They now face Kyle Hendricks, whom he labeled “way past his prime,” making this a spot where Detroit’s bats should stay hot and push five or more across again.

Tokyo Brandon advised taking Jack Flaherty "to record a win" at +125 against the Angels. He grades Flaherty as the 9th-best starter on a 1-30 curve while Kyle Hendricks ranks 27th with a brutal –12 K-BB differential, 6.65 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Detroit’s lineup ranks 10th and faces an Angels offense he slots 29th and now missing Mike Trout, producing little besides solo homers. Bullpen gap is another edge: Tigers 11th versus Angels 20th, so Brandon expects Detroit to protect a lead once Flaherty exits. He projects Flaherty for 16.7 outs (nearly six innings), satisfying the five-inning requirement for a win, trusts Detroit to be ahead when he leaves, and sees little chance L.A.’s pen mounts a comeback. Given all three conditions for a pitcher win are lined up, Brandon views the plus-money prop as the best way to extract value from the Tigers’ favorite status.

Palyo endorsed Spencer Torkelson over 0.5 HR at +400. Torkelson has nine long balls, a .237 ISO against right-handed pitching, and visits a favorable park against Angels righty Kyle Hendricks, whose 6.65 ERA, 5.70 SIERA, 6.5% swinging-strike rate, and 91.2% zone-contact percentage highlight his diminished stuff. All four homers Hendricks has allowed in 2025 have come from right-handed hitters. Torkelson’s batted-ball profile—45% fly-ball rate and 45% pull rate—mirrors elite power hitters, and he already took Hendricks deep earlier in the series. With Detroit’s top slugger entering with confidence, Palyo sees Hendricks’ strike-throwing style serving up another mistake at a generous price.

Bettor Mark said he is comfortable paying the Tigers –170 moneyline price, even if he refrained from labeling it an official play. He highlighted Detroit’s momentum after belting three ninth-inning homers Friday and pointed to Jack Flaherty’s return to ace form (2.80 ERA, 30% K-rate, 1.03 WHIP) against an Angels lineup that just watched closer Kenley Jansen cough up another lead. Mark noted Los Angeles will counter with Hendricks, who has been "horrible" since joining the rotation (6.12 ERA, opponents batting .308), and a bullpen he described as "taxed on the back end." He suggested pairing Detroit with the Giants in a parlay but believes the Tigers win straight up thanks to a clear starting-pitching edge, a fresher ’pen, and a Halos offense that ranks 25th in wRC+ the last two weeks.

Bettor Mark said he is betting UNDER 0.5 total bases for Taylor Ward at a juicy +155 (Bet365), grading it as a full-unit play. Ward has failed to record even a single base in six straight games, and Mark believes the market has not adjusted. Saturday he draws red-hot Jack Flaherty, who owns a 2.80 ERA, a 30% strikeout rate and is especially tough on right-handed hitters (.189 BAA). Meanwhile, the Angels’ offense has cratered, ranking 25th in wRC+ over the past two weeks, and their bullpen is exhausted after Jansen blew another save Friday. With Ward slumping and Detroit rolling, Mark sees strong positive EV in fading the Halos’ No. 2 hitter at plus money rather than laying juice on a traditional over/under.

Calling it his “lock of the day,” Kenny G laid the ‑180 with Detroit. He expects Jack Flaherty (3.34 ERA) to rebound from a shaky Houston start and trusts a Tigers bullpen that ranks third in MLB with a 2.62 ERA. Detroit’s offense is scorching—19 runs in the first two games of the series and Riley Greene just became the first player ever to hit two ninth-inning homers in one game. The Angels, meanwhile, have lost seven straight, hand the ball to Kyle Hendricks (0-3, 6.65 ERA, lasted only three innings versus Minnesota), and follow him with the league’s worst relief corps (6.60 ERA). Their bats have produced 1, 4, 3, 3, and 0 runs across the skid. Kenny doesn’t see Los Angeles keeping pace on either side of the ball and projects Detroit to jump ahead early and let its bullpen slam the door—something like 7-3 Tigers.

Dylan Rockford said he prefers attacking Detroit in the first-five market, laying –0.5 at plus money rather than paying juice on the full-game run line. His confidence stems from Jack Flaherty’s sparkling 3.34 ERA and the Tigers’ 12-3 record as favorites, contrasted by Kyle Hendricks’ 6.65 ERA and the Angels’ 2-8 skid since Mike Trout went back on the IL. Rockford noted Los Angeles’ early-season homer binge has vanished, leaving an offense that has averaged barely three runs per game over the past two weeks. Detroit’s young core keeps trending up, and Baez has surprisingly stabilized center field defense. With the Tigers building on last year’s playoff push and owning a bullpen edge, Rockford projected Detroit leading after five innings in roughly 63% of simulations, making any plus price on the F5 –0.5 a clear value play.

Scott Reichel recommended Detroit –1.5 at –110, pointing to an enormous starting-pitching gap. Jack Flaherty owns a 3.34 ERA but an even better 2.98 xERA and faces an Angels squad sitting 27th in OPS versus right-handers. Kyle Hendricks continues to flail with a 6.65 ERA and 2.1 HR/9; opponents are slugging .570 against his sinker. Reichel loves how balanced the 20-12 Tigers lineup looks—Javier Baez has reinvented himself as an on-base weapon in center, and Spencer Torkelson is finally barreling the ball. Detroit’s bullpen ranks seventh in K-BB%, while Los Angeles is bottom-five. Given comparable rest days and Detroit’s willingness to be aggressive on the base paths (fifth in steals), Reichel projects a 5-2 type game and prefers the plus-price run line to the heavy moneyline.

Mike Maher could not understand why Tyler Anderson remains "wildly available" given a year-and-a-half run of quiet productivity. Anderson’s ERA and WHIP have been starter-friendly since the second half of last season, and the Angels continue to give him a long leash in the rotation. Maher framed him as a friction-free stream: you will not get ace-level strikeouts, but you will bank solid ratios, the occasional win, and avoid the headache of volatile bullpen arms. In 12-team leagues he is the archetype of the Sunday waiver grab that holds down a fantasy staff while managers chase upside elsewhere, and Maher encouraged listeners to scoop him before the next quality start forces everyone to notice.

The computer fires on Tigers -175, calling for a 6-5 win and an Over 8 ticket. Jack Flaherty’s 3.34 ERA leads a 21-12 Detroit club against Kyle Hendricks, who has limped to an 0-3, 6.65 ERA start for the 12-19 Angels. Comerica’s warmer evening temps boost run projections, but Detroit’s lineup depth makes them safe chalk.

Kyle Purviance targeted the Tigers in the first-five-innings market against the Angels and Jose Soriano. He noted that Detroit sends ace-level lefty Tarik Skubal to the mound while Los Angeles is still without Mike Trout, stripping the lineup of its only elite bat versus left-handed pitching. Soriano, meanwhile, has struggled to locate his fastball and brings a 10.4% walk rate with just a 20% whiff rate into the start, numbers Purviance believes will let the Tigers’ contact-heavy order generate early traffic. With Skubal working on a 32% strikeout rate and sub-3.00 xFIP over his last four outings, Purviance expects Detroit to carry a lead through five and sees value in the Tigers F5 moneyline rather than the full-game price that exposes bettors to Detroit’s shaky bullpen.

Cash Out Sports Picks played the OVER, pointing to Hendricks’ bloated ERA near 7.00 and the fact that three of his last four starts have sailed over. Detroit has cashed four straight overs thanks to a hot offense, and even the struggling Angels have hit two consecutive overs. With both bullpens vulnerable and Detroit’s bats scorching, the tout expects another game that flies past the projected line.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended the Detroit Tigers, citing Detroit’s top-seven ranking in both runs scored and team ERA, contrasted with Los Angeles’ slide to the bottom of the league in those same categories. The Angels have dropped seven straight, and starter Kyle Hendricks has surrendered 17 runs in 23 innings (6.65 ERA) with erratic control (12 walks, 13 Ks). Tigers starter Reese Olson rebounded from one poor outing and previously strung together two scoreless starts, giving the tout confidence that Detroit’s momentum continues.

Peterson grabbed Over 8 (projected 8.7) largely because both starters can be taken deep. Jack Flaherty (3.34 ERA, 10.6 K/9) is giving up 1.4 HR/9 and now faces an Angels lineup that ranks second in home HR/AB. Opposite him, Kyle Hendricks has been a mess—6.65 ERA, 6.02 FIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 1.6 HR/9. With warm night-time temps in Anaheim and two shaky bullpens, Peterson expects the home-run parade to sneak past eight runs.

Collin Whitchurch played the NRFI at ‑135 (good to ‑150) in Tigers–Angels, riding Tarik Skubal’s utter shutdown form. Skubal’s underlying numbers are somehow better than last year’s Cy Young campaign: 1.34 ERA, 35% K-rate and a minuscule 3% walk rate. He faces an Angels lineup that ranks 29th in wRC+ versus lefties and brings only a mildly concerning Mike Trout matchup. On the other side, Detroit draws Jose Soriano, whose electric stuff is balanced by control issues, but Whitchurch still projects fewer than 0.35 first-inning runs from that half of the matchup. His model makes the true line ‑160, giving bettors a solid edge at current prices.

Whitchurch rounded out his walk-prop card with Jose Soriano over 2.5 walks against Detroit, another plus-money ticket. Soriano’s elite sinker/curve velocity comes with scattered command (11.8% BB-rate), and the Tigers own a top-6 walk rate versus right-handed pitching. Detroit’s lineup forces 4.05 pitches per plate appearance, pushing Soriano toward deeper counts where his control wavers. Collin expects the Angels to let Soriano work regardless of traffic, making three walks a realistic median outcome.

Collin Whitchurch is playing half-unit bets on both the Angels first-five moneyline (+145) and full-game moneyline (+150) against Tarik Skubal and Detroit. He acknowledged Skubal might be the best pitcher in baseball right now, but noted the Tigers are only 3-3 in his six starts, proving Detroit’s offense and bullpen still leave the back door open. Whitchurch believes the market has hit rock bottom on Los Angeles after a six-game skid and Mike Trout’s IL trip, creating a classic buy-low spot. He called starter Jose Soriano an underrated arm whose ground-ball profile can neutralize Detroit’s power, and pointed to Monday’s first-five cash versus Skubal as evidence Soriano can keep the game close early. By splitting exposure across F5 and full game he captures Soriano’s edge up front while still taking advantage of an inflated full-game price created by recency bias around the Angels’ bullpen meltdown last night.

Razzle called Tarik Skubal the safest pitcher tonight. Fresh off an 11-strikeout gem, Skubal faces an Angels lineup missing Mike Trout. His strikeout prop opens at 7.5 (pick-em) and he’s +100 for the win with the Tigers –192 on the board. The Angels’ projected order owns a collective 25% K rate versus lefties without Trout. Razzle expects another 100-pitch outing and double-digit K potential, making Skubal a priority spend in all formats.

JD Bets pounded Tarik Skubal OVER 7.5 strikeouts for Friday’s start in Anaheim. He noted that the Angels are a dream matchup for K props, ranking bottom-5 in strikeout rate all season and fanning 9.7 times per game over the last ten (9.6 per game at home). Skubal’s recent log shows 9, 11, 8, 6 and 4 punch-outs, good for a 6.7 average but a clear upward trend since a rough Seattle outing. Even though a couple Halo bats have had success against him in tiny samples—Jorge Soler is 2-for-4 with two bombs and Tim Anderson owns a .522 AVG in 23 career ABs—JD emphasized that L.A.’s overall .193 team average the past week makes sustained rallies unlikely. With Detroit entering as modest road chalk and the Angels ranking 28th in contact rate versus lefties, JD projected eight to ten Ks and called the 7.5 line “too generous to pass.”

Beermakersfan urged players to spend for Tarik Skubal after saving elsewhere. Skubal’s last four outings produced 27, 35 and 36 DK points and he now draws an Angels lineup that strikes out 28 % of the time versus lefties—second worst in MLB behind Colorado. With Mike Trout sidelined, the Angels’ power threat is neutered while their swing-and-miss remains. Beer projected 10+ strikeouts and another 30-point DraftKings ceiling, noting that the slate’s abundance of cheap bats makes the ace price tag easy to afford.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Detroit Tigers moneyline thanks to a massive pitching edge. Tarik Skubal is 3-1 with a 1.52 ERA and .223 opponent average over 29.2 April innings. Angels starter Jose Soriano is 1-4 with a 5.67 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, and a ghastly 10.38 ERA in two home outings. Detroit’s bullpen ranks 4th in MLB at 2.74 ERA, while Los Angeles’ relievers sit 29th at 5.49. The Angels also own the league’s worst batting average and could again be without Mike Trout. With superior rotation and relief arms and a functional offense, Detroit is the recommended side.

Bettor Mark is playing Tarik Skubal to "record a win" at even money in the Tigers-Angels clash. He highlighted that the Angels lead the league in strike-out rate, a perfect match-up for Skubal, whose earned-runs prop has been stuck at 1.5 because he keeps allowing one run or none. Detroit’s bats are trending up while Jose Soriano is a hittable opponent, so Mark expects early run support. He flatly stated he does not see Skubal falling to 3-3 or suffering another no-decision given how dominant he’s been and how punch-less the Halos look. The plus-100 price is, in his words, "a great spot for the Tigers."

Kenny G backed the Tigers at –170 on the road behind Tarik Skubal, calling it a standard-sized wager even with the juice. Skubal owns a 2.34 ERA and is coming off his best start of the year (6 IP, 4 H, 11 K, 0 BB) versus Baltimore. Detroit’s bullpen has quietly climbed to fourth-best in MLB with a 2.74 ERA, and the lineup is trending up with at least seven runs in each of its last two and top-10 marks in runs and slugging. By contrast, Jose Soriano sports a 4.50 ERA, the Angels have the second-worst bullpen in baseball (5.49 ERA), Mike Trout is out with a knee injury, and the offense ranks 24th in runs and 28th in batting average. With L.A. mired in a five-game skid and likely staring at six, Kenny felt the moneyline price was still palatable but passed on the −1.5 run line.

Mike Maher urged fantasy managers to panic-prepare after Mike Trout exited Wednesday’s game with soreness in the same surgically repaired knee that limited him to just 29 games last season. Maher noted that the Angels labeled the move as "precautionary," but Trout’s injury history tells a different story: last year he went down almost to the day and did not play a single game in May. Maher expects the Angels’ cautious approach to balloon into an extended absence and reminded listeners that Trout’s batting average was already sagging despite the power returning. He recommended lining up replacement outfielders now, exploring trade-away options if someone in your league is still optimistic, and assuming you may only get half a season—or less—of production from the future Hall-of-Famer yet again.

Just A Bet Outside went back to the well with Detroit, betting Tigers ‑1.5 at +105 for a full unit in Anaheim. Tarik Skubal has yielded just two earned and four hits or fewer in each of his last four starts, leading MLB lefties in ERA (1.72) and K-BB% (30.8). The matchup is pristine: the Mike-Trout-less Angels are bottom-five against left-handed pitching in wRC+, OPS, OBP and ISO over the past three weeks. Jose Soriano counters with 11 earned runs, 23 hits, seven walks and only eight strikeouts across his last 14 innings versus struggling Twins, Pirates and Rangers lineups—hardly a resume that inspires confidence. Detroit’s offense, by contrast, ranks fifth in wRC+ against righties during that same window and shows legitimate power throughout the order. Steven also trusts the Tigers’ rested pen, which regains Holton and Hannafin, while labeling the Angels’ bullpen ‘a disaster’ outside of perhaps one arm. With the superior starter, lineup, and bullpen plus nine guaranteed at-bats as the road side, he believes the run line should be ‑140 and happily scooped the plus-money price.

Just A Bet Outside hyped Tarik Skubal’s strikeout upside against the Angels, calling him a Cy Young front-runner and noting both matchup and form. The Angels own the 2nd-highest K-rate vs left-handed pitching over the past three weeks at 31%. Skubal has fanned 40 hitters in 34.2 innings and is fresh off an 11-K masterpiece against Baltimore (the 5th-highest K-rate vs LHP). Even though his road K-rate (26.4%) is weaker than at Comerica (31.3%), Steven expects the free-swinging Angels to neutralize that split. With Skubal striking out 35.1% of same-handed hitters and the Halos projected to start at least six lefty crushers, he recommended attacking the over on Skubal’s strikeout prop and slotting him into DFS lineups for ceiling.

Romanelli is laying the -1.5 with Detroit because Jose Soriano cannot be trusted at Angel Stadium. The right-hander owns pronounced home/road splits and chronic control issues, and the Angels are 1-4 in his last five starts with all four losses coming by multiple runs (scores of 5-0, 9-3, etc.). With Tarik Skubal carrying a sub-2.00 ERA and facing a slumping L.A. lineup, Romanelli predicts a one-sided Tigers victory and a comfortable run-line cover.

Joe Pisapia said the latest knee tweak is a flashing red light that this may be the high-water mark for Mike Trout’s 2025 value. Trout was pulled mid-game after jamming his knee on first base, and although the team downplayed the severity, Pisapia reminded listeners that similar ‘minor’ issues snowballed into lengthy absences the past two seasons. Trout is still hitting under .200 despite the early homer binge, and at age 33 the Angels have already hinted he will not play every day. Pisapia is taking Trout off all of his home-run prop cards and urged season-long managers in redraft to shop him now—while the multi-homer streak is fresh in everyone’s mind—rather than risk holding an elite name who could miss another two-plus months once the next flare-up hits.

JD Bets locked in Zach McKinstry to record a hit (−135) and even sprinkled the 1.5-hit alt line at +115 versus left-hander Yusei Kikuchi. McKinstry has a hit in eight straight and owns a .393 OBP against southpaws this year. Tigers hitters that have faced Kikuchi are 10-for-28 (.357) with two homers, including McKinstry’s 3-for-5 career line. Kikuchi is fresh off a six-earned-run, zero-strikeout implosion and sits below league-average in whiff rate, making contact likely. JD passed on Kikuchi strikeout and outs props because the lefty’s volatility is “all over the damn place,” preferring to back Detroit’s leadoff man to keep the streak alive.

Osborne played Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs for Gleyber Torres, spotlighting Torres’ career .357 average and .936 OPS in 28 at-bats against Yusei Kikuchi. The right-handed hitter is crushing lefties in 2025 with a .984 OPS and owns an .810 OPS on the road. With Detroit batting on the road he projects Torres for five plate appearances against a bottom-tier Angels bullpen (24th ERA last two weeks). Given the matchup and lineup spot near the top of the order, Osborne expects Torres to reach base multiple times and either drive in or score at least twice.

Osborne made Detroit –120 his best MLB play, citing edges in all three phases. Starter Casey Mize owns a 2.12 ERA, superior WHIP, lower FIP and far less hard contact than Angels lefty Yusei Kikuchi (4.31 ERA). Detroit’s bullpen has been lights-out with a 1.76 ERA over the last two weeks, while Los Angeles’ relief corps sits 24th in that span. Offensively the Tigers rank seventh in OPS versus left-handed pitching the past two weeks, whereas the Angels are dead last against righties. Team form supports the pick as well: L.A. is 3-12 in its last 15 and just 1-5 in Kikuchi’s starts, while Detroit is 4-1 behind Mize. Osborne argued the line should be much higher in the Tigers’ favor.

Dylan Rockford grabbed Detroit at −110, stressing the clear pitching and form advantage. Casey Mize is 4-1 with a 2.12 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP, while the Tigers’ bullpen grades top-five in FIP. Los Angeles counters with Yusei Kikuchi, still searching for his first win and sporting a 5.40 ERA compounded by a soaring 1.6 HR/9. The Angels have dropped five straight, averaging just 2.4 runs in that span, and were blown out by a scuffling Seattle offense on Wednesday. Travel concerns for Detroit are mitigated by a scheduled off-day and Mize’s 64% ground-ball rate that plays everywhere. Rockford sees value any time the demonstrably better team and pitcher come at near-even money and made Detroit −135 on his numbers.

Lindquist laid Detroit –124 (playable to –135) because he believes Casey Mize is being priced like an average arm when his underlying profile is far better. The former No. 1 pick owns a 2.44 expected ERA and a .289 xwOBA-con while keeping hitters out of the launch-angle sweet spot (<30 %). Yusei Kikuchi, meanwhile, has reverted to his 2022 chaos: a 12.9 % walk rate, 20 % K rate, and 9.6 % barrel rate. Lindquist reminded listeners how profitable it was fading Kikuchi two seasons ago and sees similar cracks—especially against a Detroit lineup that has quietly posted a top-10 wRC+ versus lefties. With Mike Trout nursing an injury and the Angels generally middling against right-handed pitching, Lindquist thinks the market should be closer to Tigers –135.

Bettor Mark leaned to Detroit at –120, calling the Tigers the most undervalued club in the market. Casey Mize draws Yusei Kikuchi, who is 0-4 with a 4.31 ERA and has struggled even more on the road. Mark could not find a logical reason the bookmaker opened the Tigers almost at a pick’em, noting Detroit’s quietly elite bullpen (top-7 in FIP) and a lineup that sits top-10 in hard-hit rate since mid-April. He said this ‘fishy’ number usually signals the books are daring bettors to take L.A., so he would rather be on the Tigers money line if he fires at all.

The tout saw a 4-1 or 4-2 final on the horizon and recommended the under. Mize limits both walks and hard contact, while the Angels offense has sputtered during a five-game skid. Detroit has stayed under in 16 of 30 games (two pushes) and Los Angeles in 14 of 28 (one push). With Kikuchi struggling to find the zone yet Detroit lacking explosive bats, Cash Out Sports Picks expects another tight, low-scoring contest in Anaheim.

Cash Out Sports Picks likes Detroit to keep rolling, citing Casey Mize’s 29.2-inning run in which he’s yielded only seven earned on 24 hits with 23 strikeouts. The Angels have dropped five straight and are 5-14 since a 7-3 start. Yusei Kikuchi’s club has lost five of his six outings as he’s been tagged for 32 hits and 15 earned runs, plus 18 walks in his last 25.1 frames. Given the divergent trends, the tout believes the Tigers should be even bigger favorites than the market implies.

Kenny G recommended laying the short –125 with Detroit, arguing that Casey Mize plus an elite bullpen is too much for an Angels club in free fall. Mize is 4-1 with a 2.12 ERA and just limited Baltimore to one run despite eight hits, showing he can escape jams. Behind him is a Tigers relief unit sporting a 2.74 ERA, fourth-best in MLB. Offensively Detroit has quietly scored 7, 4, 5, 7 and 6 runs in its last five and sits 11th in both runs and OBP thanks to Zach McKinstry and Spencer Torkelson setting the table. The Angels have dropped five straight, likely won’t have Mike Trout (knee), and rank 24th in runs and 29th in batting average. Kenny called Yusei Kikuchi (0-4, last start: 2 IP, 9 H, 4 R) a disappointment and noted Los Angeles’ bullpen is bottom-two with a 5.49 ERA. Even though road teams have struggled league-wide, Kenny believes the combination of Mize’s consistency, Detroit’s lockdown pen, and an anemic Trout-less Angels lineup makes the Tigers a bargain at minus money.

Just A Bet Outside laid a full unit on Detroit −124, saying the line should be closer to −160. Casey Mize owns a 2.12 ERA with an even better 1.93 xERA, 7.3 H/9, and sub-6 % walk rate, allowing one earned run or fewer in four of five outings. Yusei Kikuchi, by contrast, sports a 4.31 ERA/xERA match and the slate’s second-highest walk percentage (≈13 %), issuing eight free passes over his last two starts. Over the past three weeks the Tigers rank fourth in wRC+, fifth in OPS, and third in ISO versus left-handers, collecting the second-most hits (47) in that span. The Angels are dead last in batting average and third-worst in wRC+ against right-handers while carrying MLB’s lowest walk rate. Detroit’s bullpen posts the third-best ERA over the last three weeks; L.A.’s pen sits bottom-five even when rested. The Halos have dropped five straight and could sit Mike Trout after an in-game exit, further tilting the matchup. Given advantages in starting pitching, lineup splits, and relief corps, JABO declared the Tigers a clear value play.

Data Skrive flagged Logan O'Hoppe’s +450 ‘to hit a home run’ line for Thursday’s Tigers-Angels game as one of the juiciest prices on the board. O’Hoppe already has 8 bombs in 25 games, meaning he’s left the yard in 32% of his outings. The +450 tag implies just an 18% probability (roughly 5.5-to-1). Even if you regress O’Hoppe’s HR rate back toward last year’s 24-25% clip, the fair number still sits in the +300 range. If you’re hunting a plus-money swing with real upside, O’Hoppe’s current matchup and power pace make him worth a wager.

Zola warned fantasy managers away from starting Yusei Kikuchi on Thursday. The left-hander briefly looked like he was exiting his early-season funk but got shelled in his most recent outing. He now faces a Detroit lineup that ranks 11th in wOBA when a southpaw is on the bump. Given the matchup and Kikuchi’s volatility, Zola would leave him on the bench or your waiver wire.