Guy Boston Sports targeted George Springer’s hits-plus-runs-plus-RBI line at 1.5, calling it a strong over against Miami spot-starter Jansen Junk. Junk throws sliders 46 % of the time; Toronto owns the league’s best run value versus sliders over the past 30 days, and Springer’s personal pitch-mix rating is "green" against both Junk’s slider and four-seam fastball. Junk typically lasts only 4–5 innings and allows about three earned runs, leaving Springer another couple of plate appearances against a bottom-ten Marlins bullpen. With a favorable roof-closed hitting environment and the Jays’ 5.1 implied total, the tout expects Springer to cash the combo in three trips or fewer.

Kenny G likes Toronto at –130 in Miami, framing it as a perfect get-right spot for Jose Berrios. Berrios was torched for 10 hits and six earned by Texas last time out but had been solid the five starts prior; the Marlins have never faced him, giving an edge to the veteran’s deep arsenal. Miami counters with Jansen Junk, who has surrendered at least three earned in five straight turns and was ‘shelled by the Yankees’ during that run. Once Junk exits, a Marlins bullpen sporting a 4.10 ERA (bottom-10 in MLB since the break) takes over. The Blue Jays lineup, even while banged up, still ranks first in batting average and OBP and seventh in runs, while Miami sits 18th in runs and 17th in slugging, producing 2–5 runs in six of the last seven games. Kenny concedes Berrios’ volatility could keep this play from his pinned comment, but if you trust the right-hander to regress toward his season-long 4.00 ERA, he calls Toronto a strong value side.