Geoff Ulrich advised fading Min Woo Lee at a 32.5 finishing-position line, arguing the Aussie’s power advantage is neutralized by Philadelphia Cricket Club’s 7,100-yard Par 71 and demanding greens complexes. Since winning in Houston on a much longer US-Open-style setup, Lee has crashed to T-49 and T-61 results while hemorrhaging strokes on approach. Ulrich expects Quail Hollow next week to suit Lee far better, but until the irons rebound he sees little chance of Lee cracking the top half of this field, let alone the top 32, on a venue that punishes errant approaches and requires deft scrambling.

Ulrich urged players to take the “Worse Than 27.5” side on Taylor Pendrith again this week. The Canadian has now lost strokes around the green in nine consecutive tournaments and missed last week’s cut on the same TPC Craig Ranch track where he won in 2024. Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course places a premium on placement and scrambling—two areas where Pendrith struggles—and offers little room to exploit his power advantage. With a Pick6 line that effectively requires a top-40% finish, Ulrich views Pendrith as over-valued given his erratic putting, shaky wedges, and ill-fit for a classic Tillinghast layout.

Geoff Ulrich recommended taking Patrick Cantlay to finish better than 16.5 at the Truist Championship. Cantlay has gained on approach in seven of his last eight starts and owns four top-13 finishes during that span despite a “wonky” putter refusing to heat up. Ulrich noted Cantlay’s history of thriving in short-field signature and playoff events—nine T-15 or better results in his last 15 PGA outings, six of which came against elite fields. He has already won two FedEx Cup playoff events in this Mid-Atlantic corridor, and Ulrich believes the combination of elite iron play, course-management skills, and a modest finishing target makes Cantlay a strong Pick6 anchor even if the putter remains average.

Geoff Ulrich liked Sungjae Im to beat the 22.5 finishing-position line on DraftKings Pick6. Ulrich pointed out that Im has gained strokes off the tee and around the green in five straight starts, a profile that helped him to a T-5 at Augusta and a T-11 at Harbour Town. Although Im’s irons have been cold, Ulrich expects the Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Tillinghast design to reward steady driving accuracy and sharp short-game work more than pure ball-striking. Im tallied six top-12 finishes over a seven-event stretch last summer, so Ulrich framed this as a “buy-the-dip” spot on a golfer whose all-around game suits a 7,100-yard track with fast, tiered greens and heavy bunkering.

Landon Silinsky recommended betting Justin Rose to win the Truist Championship at +6500, citing both recent form and a proven record on similar northeastern tracks. Rose has already produced three top-eight finishes in 2025—Pebble Beach, the Masters, and the Arnold Palmer Invitational—and finished T3 or better in two of them. Silinsky stressed Rose’s history in the Philadelphia area: he won the 2013 U.S. Open at Merion and was runner-up at the 2018 BMW Championship at Aronimink, courses that, like Philadelphia Cricket Club, are sub-7,200-yard par-70 Bentgrass layouts. Statistically, Rose flashed ceilings in elite fields this season, gaining 7.04 strokes on approach at Augusta, 4.1 at Bay Hill, and 2.95 at Pebble. He has finished runner-up at the last two majors, suggesting he is close to another marquee victory. In a limited, no-cut Signature Event without Scottie Scheffler, Silinsky sees Rose’s combination of course fit, big-event pedigree, and elite approach play as mispriced at 65/1.

Landon Silinsky said Daniel Berger is his favorite outright bet at the Truist Championship at +4000. Silinsky pointed out that Berger has finished T25 or better in 8 of 11 starts this season, highlighted by a pair of top-three showings at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and RBC Heritage. Over his last 24 measured rounds (since the Genesis Invitational), Berger ranks 6th in the field in Total Strokes Gained and 23rd or better in Ball-Striking, Tee-to-Green, and Putting. He gained 7.2 strokes ball-striking at Harbour Town in his most recent start, suggesting the back injury that sidelined him for 18 months is no longer an issue. Philadelphia Cricket Club is a 7,119-yard par 70 that demands sharp wedge play and Bentgrass putting, both of which suit Berger; he ranks 24th on Tour (9th in this field) in proximity from 75-125 yards, better than Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Viktor Hovland. With no cut and World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler skipping the event, Silinsky believes Berger’s all-around form and trending ball-striking make him undervalued in this Signature Event.

The SportsLine model recommends grabbing Daniel Berger at 40-1 before the number shortens. Berger surged to a solo 3rd at the RBC Heritage thanks to a Sunday 65 and carried momentum from a closing-round 69 at the Masters that earned him T-21. Statistically he profiles perfectly for the Truist test, ranking 9th in total strokes gained, 7th in SG: tee-to-green, 12th in total driving, and 8th in driving accuracy. Currently 16th in the FedEx Cup, Berger has demonstrated an ability to ‘solve’ courses over four days—his final-round scoring average ranks among the field’s best—which the model views as key if he’s on the first-page of the leaderboard come Sunday. At an implied win probability of just 2.4%, McClure’s simulations show meaningful edge relative to the 40-1 market price.

McClure’s model sees Corey Conners as undervalued at 30-1. Conners is coming off a T-8 at the Masters where he opened with a 4-under 68 and posted red numbers in each of the first three rounds, giving him four top-8s in his last five events. Despite a mediocre T-49 at the RBC Heritage, he sits 8th in the current FedEx Cup standings and has been a steady under-par scorer since a 3rd at Bay Hill in March. Conners also owns back-to-back strong showings at this venue—T-13 last year and T-8 the year before—indicating a solid fit for the Philadelphia Cricket Club layout. With two PGA Tour victories already on the resume, the model believes his true odds are closer to the mid-20s, creating actionable value for outright tickets or each-way bets.

Mike McClure’s proprietary SportsLine model flagged Tommy Fleetwood as a prime outright bet at 28-1 for the 2025 Truist Championship. The simulator likes Fleetwood’s current form—six finishes of 21st or better in his last seven starts, including a 7th at the RBC Heritage—and points to elite ball-striking metrics (12th in total strokes gained, 9th in SG: approach, 10th in SG: tee-to-green this season). Course history is another plus: Fleetwood has landed inside the top-15 in each of the past three editions of this tournament when it was the Wells Fargo. With many stars sitting out ahead of the PGA Championship, the model projects Fleetwood’s win probability as greater than the implied 3.4% that a 28-1 ticket suggests, making him a ‘longshot’ worth backing.

Matt Gannon recommended laying –115 with Ben Griffin in the head-to-head market against Sam Stevens. Gannon noted that Griffin has been "a little bit more consistent for a little bit longer," whereas Stevens is riding the momentum of only one strong finish. The bigger reason, according to Gannon, is Griffin’s measurable jump in distance this year—he looks noticeably longer and more confident with the driver, which should play at Philadelphia Cricket Club’s driver-heavy setup. Although Griffin’s PGA reputation is as a Bermuda-grass specialist, Gannon said a recent conversation with the player revealed he grew up as an elite bentgrass putter before college golf pushed him toward Bermuda. With the tournament returning to bentgrass, Gannon believes Griffin’s childhood comfort on the surface plus his new-found length give him multiple avenues to outscore Stevens over four rounds.

Matt Gannon’s favorite placement is Thomas Detry +230 for a top-20. Detry ranks eighth in this field in strokes-gained off-the-tee over the past two months and owns multiple eight-plus stroke putting weeks on bentgrass since last summer. With only 70 players and no cut, Gannon is happy to ride Detry’s volatile flatstick in hopes it pairs with the elite driving he showed at the Houston Open (+4.4 SG OTT). If Detry posts his typical two-stroke gain off the tee and merely average irons, Gannon sees a realistic path to a Sunday tee time inside the final five groups, cashing the ticket comfortably.

Matt Gannon singled out Andrew Novak for positional markets, noting the Cricket Club rewards all-around games rather than a single spike skill. Novak sits inside the top third of the field in both strokes-gained off-the-tee and approach over his last 36 rounds, while his bentgrass putting has historically trended positive. Gannon compared the required build to TPC San Antonio, where Novak finished T-9 earlier this spring, and predicted the eventual winner’s strokes-gained chart will look ‘balanced across the board, maybe one spike category.’ That template lines up perfectly with Novak, making top-20 and top-30 tickets attractive.

Dom Cintorino added Akshay Bhatia at 70-1, arguing the market over-reacted to a quiet month. Bhatia still owns a recent T-5 at THE PLAYERS, ranks top-20 in the field in strokes-gained approach over the last 24 rounds, and has positive bentgrass putting splits. Matt Gannon’s on-site notes that a right miss is the course’s big no-no actually help Bhatia, whose miss is almost always left. Dom said if the 22-year-old finds a neutral putting week he has the ceiling ‘as high as anyone here’ and is exactly the type of volatile profile he wants in a limited-field outright pool.

Dom Cintorino circled Robert Macintyre at 60-1, saying the Scot’s left-to-right ball flight and underrated power are perfect for a driver-first setup that could turn brutal if forecasted wind and rain materialize. Macintyre thrives when scores hover around par—he hung around at a windswept Open at Royal Portrush and nearly stole the Scottish Open last summer—so Dom believes a tougher Cricket Club only improves his equity. With benign bunkering reducing around-the-green stress and rough described as ‘lush and fluffy,’ his occasional chipping issues are masked. Cintorino expects Bob to hang all week and give bettors a live ticket Sunday in a field that ‘falls off a cliff’ after the top names.

Matt Gannon flagged Maverick McNealy in the mid-40/50-1 range as his favorite play inside the second tier. Gannon said Philly Cricket Club plays materially longer than the carded yardage because soft fairways kill rollout and several tee shots force players to lay back for angle. That puts a premium on long-and-straight, McNealy’s calling card. He compared the visuals to Torrey Pines—where McNealy has gained over a stroke per round in his career—and noted the medium-to-small bentgrass greens mirror what Maverick grew up on in northern California and routinely sees at Bethpage, a future major site he wants to prep for. With wedges in hand on half the par-4s and confidence in mid- and long-iron play trending up, Gannon thinks this week sets up as McNealy’s best chance to contend since his Pebble Beach runner-up two seasons ago.

Dom Cintorino opened his card with Wyndham Clark at 55-1 (he personally grabbed 66-1 on Monday) and called the number too tempting for a no-cut event at Philadelphia Cricket Club. He likes Clark’s modern, driver-heavy profile on a layout that offers virtually no penalty for a mild miss—only three or four tee shots even bring out-of-bounds into play. Soft, rain-soaked fairways remove roll-out, giving Clark multiple full-wedge approaches where he gains strokes. Dom acknowledged the nagging back soreness that flared in Florida but said at this price the risk is baked in; if Clark looks comfortable early, the odds will crater. With only 70-odd players in the field and Clark’s proven win equity (U.S. Open, Wells Fargo) he believes the outright ticket is worth firing despite the health caveat.

Dom Cintorino advised fading Collin Morikawa at the 14-to-1 outright price. He questioned why books have Morikawa shorter than equally talented peers—Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, and Ludvig Aberg—despite Morikawa’s middling recent form. Morikawa nearly finished dead last at RBC Heritage and has not truly contended since the Arnold Palmer Invitational weeks ago. Until Morikawa converts contending form into a win, Dom is comfortable letting the market overprice him, preferring value on other sub-20 options rather than pay a premium for Morikawa’s reputation.

Dom Cintorino said his betting card is likely to start with Patrick Cantlay at 20-1. He highlighted Cantlay’s history on Northeast bentgrass tracks and his elite performance in no-cut formats like Memorial and BMW at Caves Valley. Cantlay’s season has been solid off the tee and on similar green complexes, and Dom noted the broader betting community finally views this as a classic ’Cantlay course.’ Despite expected popularity, Dom believes the combination of accurate driving, strong iron play, and proven success on comparable venues justifies the number and makes Cantlay the best anchor option below the favorites.

Matt Gannon recommended betting Viktor Hovland at 25-1, calling Philly Cricket Club the most Hovland-friendly layout he has ever walked. Gannon spent Monday charting the track and reported it is driver-heavy with several mid-to-long-iron approaches, exactly Hovland’s strengths. Around-the-green difficulty—normally Hovland’s Achilles heel—is almost nonexistent: bunkers are flat and benign, rough is lush and fluffy, and the bentgrass surfaces are predictable. Gannon compared the setup to Olympia Fields and Muirfield Village, both venues where Hovland has already won, and sees no reason the Norwegian cannot replicate that success in a no-cut field.

Matt Gannon said he is passing on Rory McIlroy at the current 4-1 outright price. Gannon acknowledged Quail Hollow–style venues usually fit Rory’s game and expects McIlroy to play well, but argued the number is unbettable in a no-cut, limited-field event where Rory could treat the week as tune-up work ahead of his Grand Slam push at the PGA, U.S. Open and Open Championship. Gannon’s season-long ROI philosophy rarely makes room for sub-6-1 tickets, so he prefers to allocate bankroll elsewhere rather than force a single-bullet wager on an extremely short favorite.

Brian Giuffra took Brian Harman Top-20 at +200 because the lefty regularly thrives when weather turns sour, as evidenced by his Genesis top-20 during difficult conditions. Harman’s accurate driving, bentgrass putting pedigree and 19th-ranked proximity stats all set up well for a soggy Wissahickon.

Cody Williams sprinkled Ryan Gerard Top-30 at +150, arguing the market is ignoring Gerard’s recent surge—three top-12 finishes in four starts prior to last week. On a short course that rewards short-game artistry and solid approach numbers, Williams thinks Gerard cracking the top half of the signature-event field is well within range.

Brian Kirschner wagered Daniel Berger Top-20 at +130 after noting Berger has finished inside the top 20 in five of his last eight PGA Tour starts. Kirschner believes another big finish at an elevated event would bolster Berger’s Ryder Cup candidacy and likes his steady tee-to-green play to navigate Wissahickon.

John Schwarb paired his FRL play with Denny McCarthy Top-10 +360, trusting the Tour’s short-game wizard on a layout where nobody owns course reps. With signature-event FedExCup points on the line, Schwarb sees McCarthy’s putting carrying him into late-Sunday contention.

Matt Vincenzi doubled down on Patrick Cantlay with a Top-10 ticket at +400. Over his last 24 rounds Cantlay ranks 6th in SG: Approach and 15th off-the-tee, ideal traits for a course where precise placement precedes tricky putts. Vincenzi expects Cantlay to be firmly in the mix all weekend.

Iain MacMillan grabbed Alex Noren Top-20 at +300 in his first PGA Tour start since last October. MacMillan reminded bettors that Noren finished 12th on Tour in total strokes-gained last season and wants to see if he flashes 2024 form now that he’s healthy after a leg injury.

Brian Giuffra chose Brian Harman +5000 FRL saying the softer Thursday conditions will reward his laser-like accuracy. Harman, fresh off a win at the Valero, ranks 19th on Tour in proximity on approach and owns two career wins on bentgrass. His lowest scoring average this year comes in Round 1, further justifying the wager.

Cody Williams took Russell Henley +3500 FRL, pointing to the fit: a relatively short course emphasizing approach and short game. Henley gained at least 0.38 strokes on approach, around the green and with the putter over his last 20 rounds and finished T8 at RBC Heritage—another obvious comp. Williams expects that balance to translate to a low opener.

Brian Kirschner backed Keegan Bradley +4000 FRL by recalling Bradley’s first-round lead at the 2022 BMW, the last time the Tour debuted a bentgrass course in the Northeast. Kirschner believes Bradley consistently elevates his game in the region and is always live to open hot.

John Schwarb played Denny McCarthy +4500 for FRL. McCarthy sits 35th in FedExCup points thanks to finishes like T5 at Genesis and T14 at Players. Schwarb noted McCarthy is one of the Tour’s best putters and his Round-1 scoring average is his lowest of any round this season, making him an ideal rabbit on a brand-new track.

Matt Vincenzi took Hideki Matsuyama +3500 for FRL, spotlighting his success in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast and at Baltusrol (T5, 2016 PGA—another Tillinghast). Matsuyama ranks 2nd over his last 50 rounds on approaches from 100-150 yards, a distance range likely to decide birdie looks on Philadelphia Cricket’s multi-tiered greens.

Iain MacMillan pivoted from Rory’s +450 outright to +1200 First-Round Leader. With Scottie Scheffler absent, McIlroy is first in the field in true strokes-gained over the past four months, out-gaining the next closest player by 0.45 strokes per round. MacMillan wants to capture that early ceiling in Rory’s first individual start since winning the Masters.

Brian Giuffra also grabbed Justin Rose +6500, staying with his European theme. Seven of Rose’s career wins came on bentgrass, including the 2013 U.S. Open at Merion and 2011 BMW at Aronimink, both down the road from Philly Cricket. Rose ranks 21st in SG: Approach over his last eight events and is rolling the rock exceptionally well, making him dangerous on Wissahickon’s sloping greens.

Cody Williams loves Ryan Gerard at +12000, arguing the 7,100-yard par-70 suits the youngster’s deft short-game and efficient iron play. Gerard missed the cut last week but logged three top-12 finishes in his previous four starts. Williams thinks Wissahickon is his best fit yet and worth a flyer.

Brian Kirschner doubled down on Harris English at +10000. He referenced English’s 2021 Travelers win, past success on northeast bentgrass and his current form—victory at Torrey Pines, 18th in Houston, 12th at Augusta. Kirschner believes English is positioned for another PGA Tour win on a soft, target-golf setup.

John Schwarb fired at Harris English +9000, reasoning that Wissahickon is the type of "artistry" track where elite putting shines. English finished T12 at the Masters and routinely gains with the flat stick, giving him sneaky ceiling despite middling ball-striking.

Matt Vincenzi’s long-shot ticket is Justin Rose at +6500. Rose owns winning memories in the Philly area, capturing the 2013 U.S. Open at nearby Merion and prefers bentgrass greens. Vincenzi noted Rose’s strong showing at the Masters as proof the 43-year-old still competes on big stages, making him live on another classic test.

Iain MacMillan tossed a dart at Patrick Rodgers at +12000 after Jason Day’s withdrawal opened a spot. Rodgers already proved he can hang in a signature event with a T3 at Genesis and posted T15 at last week’s CJ Cup. MacMillan conceded Rodgers must sharpen his irons but likes the "playing with house money" mindset for a talented putter on difficult greens.

Brian Giuffra stayed on the Year-of-the-Europeans narrative, grabbing Shane Lowry at +3700. He pointed to forecasted rain and potential wind on a classic, shorter course—conditions in which Lowry traditionally excels. On Tour this season Lowry is 11th in SG: Approach and 12th in distance-to-hole, indicators he can hit the correct quadrants on Wissahickon’s demanding greens. Already a solid bentgrass putter, Lowry hasn’t won since the 2019 Open but Giuffra sees the course and conditions lining up for a breakthrough.

Cody Williams pegged Corey Conners at +3000, citing a "complete game" perfectly tailored to Wissahickon. Over his last 20 rounds Conners ranks 4th in SG: Tee-to-Green thanks to accurate driving and pinpoint irons, while sitting 10th in scrambling over the last 16 rounds—critical on a green complex loaded with bunkers and subtle slopes. Williams believes that all-around profile gives the Canadian real winning upside in Philly.

Brian Kirschner jumped on Viktor Hovland at +2800, arguing the 2023 FedEx Cup champ owns more true win equity than peers in his price band. Hovland’s best performances—wins or near-wins at Oak Hill, Muirfield Village and Olympia Fields—have come on classical bentgrass courses featuring moderate scoring, the exact profile of Philly Cricket Club. With soft conditions and precise iron play expected to separate the field, Kirschner believes Hovland’s ball-striking sets him up to contend deep into Sunday.

John Schwarb selected Justin Thomas at +1800, calling him the "favorite hot hand" in a week with no course history. Thomas ended his victory drought at RBC Heritage and has rested since, positioning him to attack a fresh venue before tackling next week’s PGA Championship. Schwarb thinks Thomas’s confidence and elite approach play can overcome Wissahickon’s tricky green complexes.

Matt Vincenzi backed Patrick Cantlay outright at +2200, noting his repeated success on A.W. Tillinghast designs (T8 at Ridgewood CC) and in the Mid-Atlantic corridor, including wins in Maryland and Delaware. Cantlay ranked 1st in strokes-gained off-the-tee and 15th in approach in his last start at Harbour Town, proof his ball-striking remains elite. With Philly Cricket playing wet and demanding precise placement, Vincenzi expects Cantlay’s combination of accurate driving and high-end iron play to thrive on the bentgrass greens.

Iain MacMillan said this is the week to finally use his annual Tommy Fleetwood ticket because the Englishman checks every box at Philadelphia Cricket Club. Over the past three months Fleetwood ranks 4th in the field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green, and he is coming off a solo 7th at RBC Heritage. MacMillan highlighted Fleetwood’s "underrated scrambling" as a major edge on Wissahickon’s heavily bunkered, back-to-front sloping greens where getting up-and-down will be critical. With rain softening the short, 7,100-yard par-70 layout and wind lurking later in the week, MacMillan believes Fleetwood’s all-weather shot making gives him real win equity at +2800.

Mike McClure’s SportsLine model tabbed Corey Conners as a prime value at +3000 to win the 2025 Truist Championship. Conners has five top-10s in 11 events this season and has finished T-8 or better in four of his past six starts. Statistically, the Canadian profiles perfectly for Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon layout: 15th in GIR (69.84%), 19th in strokes gained off the tee (+0.468) and 20th in driving accuracy (66.33%). The model gives him a significantly greater win probability than the 3.2% implied by his odds, making Conners a recommended outright and top-five wager for bettors hunting a longshot payday.

Mike McClure said his SportsLine projection system expects Ludvig Aberg, a 16-1 co-favorite, to miss the top five at the 2025 Truist Championship. The model pointed to Aberg’s shaky recent form—T-54 or worse in three of his last four PGA Tour starts with two missed cuts—and damning approach numbers. Aberg ranks 110th in strokes gained: approach (-0.068) and 135th in GIR (63.98%), while also sitting outside the top 100 in scoring average (70.79), strokes gained: putting (-0.248) and driving accuracy (58.29%). McClure advised bettors to fade Aberg in outright and placement markets and search for more reliable ball-strikers at shorter odds.

Eric Cohen backed Jordan Spieth at +220 for a top-10 finish. Cohen highlighted Spieth’s torrid close at the Byron Nelson—13-under over the final 36 holes to grab solo fourth—as evidence the former FedExCup champ’s ball-striking and confidence are peaking. Spieth now has four straight top-20s, and Cohen believes the incremental weekly improvement suggests a win is coming later this summer. Until then, Cohen wants exposure via the top-10 market, arguing the generous +220 price underrates Spieth’s combination of elite short game and recent tee-to-green uptick on a course that should reward creative shot-making.

Eric Cohen said Shane Lowry is a strong +105 top-20 wager at DraftKings (and +125 at Caesars if you want a better standalone price). Cohen pointed out that Lowry would be riding seven consecutive top-20 finishes if not for an 81 in the final round of the Masters, and the Irishman still sits at a career-best 12th in the OWGR. Cohen emphasized Lowry’s elite approach play and short-game prowess—two skill sets he believes will be decisive on the never-before-seen Wissahickon Course at Philadelphia Cricket Club. The tout acknowledged Lowry rarely closes tournaments but consistently plants himself on the first or second leaderboard page, making a top-20 finish the safest way to monetize his form in betting cards and parlays.

Neil Parker wagered on Collin Morikawa to post a Round-1 Top-20 finish at +100, arguing Philadelphia Cricket Club perfectly suits the two-time major champion’s elite iron game. Morikawa enters the week 14th on tour in adjusted scoring average, 4th in birdie-or-better rate, and 8th in bogey avoidance. He’s also gained strokes in every major category this season, ranking 2nd tee-to-green, 1st on approach, and 4th in driving accuracy. Parker expects those strengths to translate immediately on Thursday, creating early leaderboard equity without needing Morikawa to sustain the pace for four days.

Neil Parker took Andrew Novak for a Top-30 finish at -112, citing the rookie’s three-event tear: a victory at the Zurich Classic team event, a solo 2nd at the RBC Heritage, and a T3 at the Valero Texas Open. During that stretch Novak ranks 5th in this field in true strokes-gained tee-to-green and 10th in putting, while also sitting above tour average in adjusted scoring average and bogey avoidance—and he actually leads the entire PGA Tour in putts per round this season. Parker expects the well-rounded form to travel after a week of rest.