Guy Boston Sports spotlighted Kyle Schwarber as the best one-off bet on the slate. Schwarber owns plus numbers versus four-seamers and curves—the two offerings Parker throws 75 % of the time. Parker’s splits against left-handed hitters are dreadful: 1.72 WHIP, 5.35 FIP, .282 average allowed and nearly as many walks as strikeouts. Schwarber’s 15.8 % barrel rate at Citizens Bank combined with Parker’s 43 % hard-hit profile sets up a multi-RBI game. The tout prefers Schwarber over 1.5 total bases or H/R/RBI over 1.5, adding that the Nats may hand him two cracks at that bullpen if Parker departs early.

Guy Boston Sports called Saturday a "Phillies spot" and is attacking their team total instead of laying −230. Mitchell Parker starts for Washington and “gives up four runs with his breakfast,” per the tout. Against left-handed bats Parker allows a brutal 1.72 WHIP, 5.35 FIP, .282 average, 14 % strikeout and 12 % walk rates. Philadelphia’s right-hand-heavy order crushes fastballs (Parker’s 58 % usage) and the Nationals’ bullpen used all three high-leverage arms Friday, leaving MLB’s worst relief corps stretched thin. Add a revenge narrative after Friday’s 5-4 Phillies loss and Citizens Bank’s top-five power factor, and the tout prefers Phillies team total over 5.5 to the expensive moneyline.

Kenny G flat-out refuses to lay –225 on Philadelphia, calling the number ‘insane’ given Aaron Nola’s collapse and a bullpen that ‘loses another game every night.’ Nola owns a 6.92 ERA and has been blasted in three consecutive outings, including 2.1 innings, seven hits and six earned versus these Nationals last week. The Phillies’ relievers coughed up Friday’s 5-4 defeat and rank among the league’s worst since the break. Kenny notes the club’s six-game division cushion may have led to complacency at the plate despite top-10 run and slugging ranks. Meanwhile Washington’s offense has quietly posted 5, 9, 5 and 9 runs in four of its last six and faces a philly staff with no form. With Mitchell Parker also struggling, Kenny leans to the over 9.5 but the actionable angle is simple: ‘there’s no way I’m laying –225 on the Phillies against anyone right now.’ Bettors should either take the big dog or pass.